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23 Sumter Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 66.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.8

$85,000

23 Sumter Dr · Martinsburg, WV 25403
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Manufactured
Manufactured home Built 1988 Fair condition $77/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained manufactured/mobile home located in a gated community setting. This home offers a comfortable and affordable living option with lot rent of $575/month, which includes water service. Enjoy the added privacy and security of a gated community while benefiting from low-maintenance living. Conveniently located and ready for its next owner. Buyer must be approved by the community. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Built 1988

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $85,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$231,959) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $650 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.9% in Martinsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#29 in WV, #4,057 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
  • Berkeley County Schools (other): math 21% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #24 of 55 in WV (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 474 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 162d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,460 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berkeley County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93% ✓
Cap rate
16.25%
Cash-on-cash
35.58%
DSCR
2.58
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$231,959
List price
$85,000
Delta
-63.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
391 Fancy Filly Cir 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,100 (0%) 1mo $125,000 $114 84
208 Stoney Lick Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,183 (+8%) 5mo $305,000 $258 49
164 Appomattox Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 858 (-22%) 21mo $48,000 $56 46
606 Fancy Filly Cir 0.45mi 2/2.0 (-1) 975 (-11%) 15mo $75,000 $77 43
70 Vaquero Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+18%) 0mo $100,000 — 40
569 Perspective Pl 1.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (+8%) 17mo $335,000 $282 33
139 Dartmouth Ln 1.46mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+16%) 15mo $299,900 $234 27
310 Perspective Pl 1.27mi 3/2.0 1,338 (+22%) 18mo $342,000 $256 25
296 Nocking Point Blvd 1.24mi 3/2.5 1,340 (+22%) 18mo $274,000 $204 23
38 Mengel Rd 1.17mi 3/2.5 1,285 (+17%) 18mo $256,000 $199 23
154 Ran Rue 1.22mi 3/2.5 1,364 (+24%) 20mo $245,000 $180 22
1118 Nipetown Rd 1.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-17%) 18mo $269,000 $295 16

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$27,686
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
35.4%
Equity multiple
4.26×
Total profit
$77,658
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25403

Home prices YoY
-15.2%
Active inventory
474
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,637 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax est. 1.5%
−$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
−$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
−$0
Lot rent leased land?
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$344
Net cashflow
$650

Break-even live

Break-even rent $814
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $709 -5% $679 +0% $650 +5% $621 +10% $591
Rent -10% $521 -5% $585 +0% $650 +5% $715 +10% $779
Rate -1.0pp $693 -0.5pp $672 base $650 +0.5pp $628 +1.0pp $606

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
148 Olga Dr Martinsburg, WV 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,995 $1.39 162d 1 0.77mi
618 Dripping Spring Dr Cherry Run, WV 2.0 2.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 51d 1 1.26mi
87 Changing Season Way Cherry Run, WV 3.0 2.5 1440 $2,330 $1.62 162d 1 1.45mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Land lease of $575 per monthLand lease years remaining: 0

Exterior

Parking
Driveway
Utilities
Electric utilities for heating, cooling, and hot waterCommunity water serviceCommunity septic
Home design
Manufactured homeAbove-grade living area approximately 1,100 finished square feetLand lease ownership
Construction
Aluminum sidingAbove grade structure
Exterior features
Community waterCommunity septic tankTidal water not present

Interior

Bedrooms
Three bedrooms on the main level
Bathrooms
Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
Heating & cooling
Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)Electric hot water
Interior features
Estimated living areaNo basement

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-10-30
    pricedays on market $85,000 Active
  2. 2026-10-29
    days on market $95,000 Active 195 DOM
  3. 2026-10-28
    days on market $95,000 Active 194 DOM
  4. 2026-10-27
    days on market $95,000 Active 193 DOM
  5. 2026-10-26
    days on market $95,000 Active 192 DOM
  6. 2026-10-25
    days on market $95,000 Active 191 DOM
  7. 2026-10-24
    days on market $95,000 Active 190 DOM
  8. 2026-10-23
    days on market $95,000 Active 189 DOM
  9. 2026-10-22
    days on market $95,000 Active 188 DOM
  10. 2026-10-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 187 DOM
  11. 2026-10-20
    days on market $95,000 Active 186 DOM
  12. 2026-10-19
    days on market $95,000 Active 185 DOM
  13. 2026-10-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 184 DOM
  14. 2026-10-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 183 DOM
  15. 2026-10-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 182 DOM
  16. 2026-10-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 181 DOM
  17. 2026-10-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 180 DOM
  18. 2026-10-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 179 DOM
  19. 2026-10-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 178 DOM
  20. 2026-10-11
    days on market $95,000 Active 177 DOM
  21. 2026-10-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 176 DOM
  22. 2026-10-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 175 DOM
  23. 2026-10-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 174 DOM
  24. 2026-10-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 173 DOM
  25. 2026-10-06
    days on market $95,000 Active 172 DOM
  26. 2026-10-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 171 DOM
  27. 2026-10-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 170 DOM
  28. 2026-10-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 169 DOM
  29. 2026-10-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 168 DOM
  30. 2026-10-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 167 DOM
  31. 2026-09-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 166 DOM
  32. 2026-09-29
    days on market $95,000 Active 165 DOM
  33. 2026-09-28
    days on market $95,000 Active 164 DOM
  34. 2026-09-27
    days on market $95,000 Active 163 DOM
  35. 2026-09-26
    days on market $95,000 Active 162 DOM
  36. 2026-09-25
    days on market $95,000 Active 161 DOM
  37. 2026-09-24
    days on market $95,000 Active 160 DOM
  38. 2026-09-24
    days on market $95,000 Active 159 DOM
  39. 2026-09-22
    days on market $95,000 Active 158 DOM
  40. 2026-09-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 157 DOM
  41. 2026-09-20
    days on market $95,000 Active 156 DOM
  42. 2026-09-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 154 DOM
  43. 2026-09-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 153 DOM
  44. 2026-09-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 152 DOM
  45. 2026-09-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 151 DOM
  46. 2026-09-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 150 DOM
  47. 2026-09-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 149 DOM
  48. 2026-09-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 148 DOM
  49. 2026-09-11
    days on market $95,000 Active 147 DOM
  50. 2026-09-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 141 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,640
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$1,092
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,571
− Management
−$1,571
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$6,897
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,655
After-tax cash flow
$6,145/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,500–$16,500 screening

This well-maintained mobile home in a gated community offers a comfortable living option with low maintenance. Minor repairs and updates to the interior and exterior can significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Need cleaning
  • Minor Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
  • Minor Landscaping — Overgrown and needs trimming

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
  • Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and appearance ↑
  • Both Replace worn exterior siding — Fresh siding improves curb appeal and durability ↑
  • Both Trim and landscape — Neat landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 37/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Potomack Intermediate School F WV #128/377 Nat'l #21,283/41,679 Middle Spring Mills Middle School F WV #63/109 Nat'l #9,410/14,009 High Spring Mills High School D- WV #10/110 Nat'l #6,809/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berkeley County Schools
NCES district ID
5400060
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$54,599
Composite
26.16/100
National rank
#7273
State rank
#24 of 55 in WV
B Composite livability gradescore 75/100

Livability — Martinsburg

Score
75/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#4057

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Berkeley County · 127,359 people
City population
55,439
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
16,470
Household income
$87,512
Rent vs Own
18.6% rent · 81.4% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Berkeley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,359 people
By 2030
134,684 · +5.8%
By 2040
148,219 · +16.4%
By 2050
159,300 · +25.1%
By 2075
179,920 · +41.3%
By 2100
183,896 · +44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berkeley

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.8) · D 31.2% · R 67.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -35.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.8 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…