587 Whooping Creek Rd · Carrollton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.2/10.0
$184,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this adorable cottage-style bungalow sitting on a peaceful 1-acre lot in the beautiful Central School District of Carrollton! This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is filled with cozy character and thoughtful updates, making it the perfect option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking quiet country living. Step inside to a warm, inviting layout featuring brand-new carpet in the living room and two of the bedrooms, along with a convenient separate laundry room. The home offers a bright and welcoming atmosphere throughout, making everyday living comfortable and easy. Out back, you'll find a large porch perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee
Key facts
- 2 car carport
- Generous lot
- Front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing accepts Conventional, FHA, and USDA financing
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family house (residential); Built in 1952; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition roofing; Built in 1952
- Exterior features: Level, open and private lot; One-acre lot; Vinyl siding; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Country kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); One level living; Family room and an additional multipurpose room; Country-style kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Mud room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($911/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (16.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $154k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.3% in Carrollton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#113 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
- Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 58% / reading 51%, grade C, #185 of 1,228 statewide, top 16%, 972 students, 51% FRL); Central Middle School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C+, #60 of 470 statewide, top 13%, 967 students, 52% FRL); Central High School (math 41% / reading 37%, grade F, #59 of 424 statewide, top 14%, 1,280 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $185k implies a 637% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.76%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $223,907
- List price
- $184,900
- Delta
- 0.49%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 325 Julia Rogers Cir | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-11%) | 15mo | $215,000 | $249 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-25,188
- Equity at exit
- $27,569
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-15,959
- Equity at exit
- $15,987
Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30116
- Home prices YoY
- -2.6%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,538 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,104/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $76
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $181 | -5% $128 | +0% $76 | +5% $24 | +10% $-29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-46 | -5% $15 | +0% $76 | +5% $137 | +10% $197 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $169 | -0.5pp $123 | base $76 | +0.5pp $28 | +1.0pp $-21 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,225
- Closing costs
- $5,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1367 Stripling Chapel Rd Unit A Carrollton, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1367 Stripling Chapel Rd Unit A Carrollton, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-17status $184,900 Under Contract 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $184,900 New 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricestatusdays on market $184,900 New 1 DOM
-
2026-04-08$225,000 New 1087-char remark
-
2026-04-07historical
-
2026-03-30historical
-
2026-03-24price $235,000
-
2026-01-28price $235,000
-
2026-01-07$240,000 Active
-
2025-11-17$240,000 New
-
2016-02-10price $22,000
-
2015-06-04price $25,100
-
2014-10-22price $22,000
-
2012-09-12historical
-
2012-09-11soldstatus $25,100 Sold
-
2012-09-11soldstatus $25,100 Sold
-
2012-08-29historical
-
2012-08-29status Pending
-
2012-08-29price $25,100
-
2012-08-15$22,000 Active
-
2012-08-15$22,000 New
-
2006-07-07soldstatus $75,000
-
1993-04-10soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,104 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,701 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$597/yr (+$50/mo · 54.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,450
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,357
- − Property taxes
- −$1,104
- − Insurance
- −$924
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,476
- − Management
- −$1,476
- − Depreciation
- −$5,379
- Taxable loss
- −$2,267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$544
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,455/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carroll County
- NCES district ID
- 1300840
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,692
- Composite
- 35.62/100
- National rank
- #4888
- State rank
- #38 of 174 in GA
Livability — Carrollton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #8542
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carroll County · 124,888 people
- City population
- 61,993
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,189
- Household income
- $77,030
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 332.0
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,370 people
- By 2030
- 127,186 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 133,534 · +8.2%
- By 2050
- 137,612 · +11.5%
- By 2075
- 142,892 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 136,294 · +10.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.1% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -41.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.2 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.61%
- Current HPI
- 365.8744
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+1055.6% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-06-15 Listed $184,900 GAMLS
- 2026-05-28 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $225,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $235,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $235,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-07 Listed $240,000 FMLS
- 2025-11-17 Listed $240,000 GAMLS
- 2016-02-10 Price Changed $22,000 FMLS
- 2015-06-04 Price Changed $25,100 FMLS
- 2014-10-22 Price Changed $22,000 GAMLS
- 2012-09-12 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2012-09-11 Sold (MLS) $25,100 GAMLS
- 2012-09-11 Sold (MLS) $25,100 FMLS
- 2012-08-29 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2012-08-29 Pending — FMLS
- 2012-08-29 Price Changed $25,100 GAMLS
- 2012-08-15 Listed $22,000 FMLS
- 2012-08-15 Listed $22,000 GAMLS
- 2006-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1993-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,104 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…