4106 22nd St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New Roof 2018! Great 2 bedroom with 2 Car garage. Buyer to pay title! Selling AS IS Seller is affiliated with listing brokerage.
Key facts
- Enclosed garage
- Large backyard
- Easy access to sr 82
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Community is non-gated; Association covers grounds maintenance, trash, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Underground garage; 2 covered garage spaces
- Security: Key card entry; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Septic tank; Well water; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story; Entry level: 1; Faces southwest; Northeast exposure on lot; RS-1 zoning; Resale property
- Construction: Metal roof; Stucco and vinyl siding over wood frame construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Room for pool; Storage; No additional exterior features listed; Well water
Interior
- Kitchen: Freezer; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Walk-in pantry
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Window-unit heating; Ceiling fans; Window-unit cooling
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Single-hung windows; Living/dining room; Separate shower; Shower only; Walk-in pantry; Upper-level primary
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Dryer hookup inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($588/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $205k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.03%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $273,504
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4015 12th St SW | 0.64mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,057 (+0%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $246 | 58 |
| 3701 18th St SW | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,107 (+5%) | 18mo | $297,500 | $269 | 40 |
| 3914 13th St SW | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,118 (+6%) | 23mo | $290,000 | $259 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $109,630
- Equity at exit
- $184,680
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.42×
- Total profit
- $311,174
- Equity at exit
- $398,270
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33976
- Home prices YoY
- 6.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 786
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,745 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,032/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $49
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4001 22nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,950 | $1.85 | 3d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4401 22nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $1,345 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4412 25th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,700 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1544 Gretchen Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1221 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4421 25th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4005 12th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,610 | $1.43 | 20d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4507 20th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1135 | $1,400 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1502 Gretchen Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4512 Leonard Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4512 Leonard Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4514 Leonard Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4514 Leonard Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1504 Gary Ln Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,660 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1506 Gary Ln Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,660 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4523 22nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,700 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4435 27th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $1,250 | $1.08 | 20d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4503 15th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4020 36th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $2,050 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4440 28th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3600 19th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,746 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4541 20th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,195 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4543 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,600 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4543 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,600 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4545 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1101 Meadow Rd Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,027 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1103 Meadow Rd Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,027 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4528 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1511 Haviland Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3802 35th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $1,640 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1509 Haviland Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4458 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,027 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4460 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4453 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,660 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4455 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,660 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4501 28th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,660 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4501-4503 28th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,660 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1117 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,750 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2202 Haviland Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4535 26th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1105 | $1,375 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4218 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $205,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $208,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $208,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $208,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $208,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $208,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $208,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $208,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $208,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $208,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $208,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,032 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,032 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,944
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$2,032
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,675
- − Management
- −$1,675
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$2,911
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$699
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,277
- Household income
- $72,679
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 574.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.77%
- Current HPI
- 340.4255
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.54%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+139.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $208,000 FORTMLS
- 2020-03-30 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2020-03-18 Price Changed $135,000 FORTMLS
- 2020-03-09 Listed $140,000 FORTMLS
- 2019-12-20 Sold (MLS) $63,000 FORTMLS
- 2019-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-19 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2019-11-02 Price Changed $99,000 FORTMLS
- 2019-10-13 Listed $120,000 FORTMLS
- 2012-08-24 Sold (MLS) $40,000 FORTMLS
- 2012-08-12 Price Changed $41,800 FORTMLS
- 2009-05-29 Sold (MLS) $29,900 FORTMLS
- 2006-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
- 2005-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2004-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,032 · -12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…