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706 Warner Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

706 Warner Ave · Jonesboro, AR 72401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,317 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 213 Days on market
7,436 sqft lot Est $141k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTOR ALERT: Dual-Property Portfolio Opportunity Secure your next profitable venture with this unique investment package! This offering includes a fantastic 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath property that is an ideal addition to any rental portfolio. The Main Property Highlights: 3 Bedrooms, 1.5 Baths: A desirable unit size for long-term rental appeal and tenant retention. Prime Investment Potential: Both currently are tenant occupied and cash flowing. The Bundle Advantage: This property can be bought in conjunction with 726 Warner, providing an instant two-property portfolio for maximum efficiency and cash flow. Don't miss the chance to double your investment footprint in one smooth transactio

Key facts

  • 7,436 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Listed 213 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single story
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Fireplace in the living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $89,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$140,919) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jonesboro School District (urban): math 28% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #169 of 238 in AR (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kindergarten Center (503 students, 100% FRL); Annie Camp Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #150 of 201 statewide, top 76%, 784 students, 100% FRL); The Academies At Jonesboro High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #225 of 292 statewide, top 78%, 1,386 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $90k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
13.13%
Cash-on-cash
24.41%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,919
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
637 Warner 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,344 (+2%) 5mo $120,000 $89 86
1000 W Huntington Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,353 (+3%) 5mo $115,000 $85 71
637 W Oak Ave 0.11mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,405 (+7%) 8mo $150,000 $107 70
1105 S Madison 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,389 (+6%) 1mo $52,000 $37 67
903 W Matthews Ave 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,138 (-14%) 4mo $169,900 $149 66
1107 W Washington Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,428 (+8%) 8mo $238,000 $167 60
1302 W Huntington Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,284 (-2%) 2mo $83,333 $65 57
1005 Chestnut St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,155 (-12%) 1mo $177,000 $153 54
1400 W Huntington Ave 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-6%) 2mo $83,334 $68 50
1308 W Huntington Ave 0.63mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,226 (-7%) 2mo $83,333 $68 48
523 W Thomas Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,138 (-14%) 10mo $123,400 $108 39
1506 Lamar Place Pl 0.57mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,502 (+14%) 8mo $205,000 $136 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$18,905
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$62,027
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72401

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
301
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,353 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $578/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $705
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $563 -5% $538 +0% $512 +5% $487 +10% $461
Rent -10% $405 -5% $459 +0% $512 +5% $566 +10% $619
Rate -1.0pp $557 -0.5pp $535 base $512 +0.5pp $489 +1.0pp $465

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1751 W Nettleton Ave Jonesboro, AR 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1000 $995 $0.99 45d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $89,900 Active 213 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,900 Active 211 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 210 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 209 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 208 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 207 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 205 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 204 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 202 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 201 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 200 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 199 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 196 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 194 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 193 DOM
  16. 2026-01-09
    price $89,900
  17. 2025-11-16
    listed $95,000 Active
  18. 2025-07-21
    historical $995
  19. 2025-07-02
    price $995
  20. 2025-05-31
    price $1,100
  21. 2025-05-01
    listed $1,200
  22. 2025-04-14
    price $119,900
  23. 2025-04-08
    listed $125,000 Active
  24. 2024-07-15
    price $157,000
  25. 2024-06-26
    status Active
  26. 2024-06-23
    listed $165,000 Active
  27. 2021-01-13
    soldstatus $47,500
  28. 2020-12-22
    soldstatus $47,500
  29. 2020-12-22
    soldstatus $47,500
  30. 2020-04-20
    historical
  31. 2020-04-17
    listed $52,900
  32. 2020-04-17
    listed $52,900
  33. 2020-02-13
    listed $63,000
  34. 2020-02-13
    listed $63,000
  35. 2019-05-31
    listed $57,000
  36. 2005-10-04
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$578 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$578 · $48/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,241
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$578
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,299
− Management
−$1,299
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$4,963
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,191
After-tax cash flow
$4,954/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jonesboro School District
NCES district ID
0508280
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,347
Composite
23.06/100
National rank
#7967
State rank
#169 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jonesboro

Score
65/100
State rank
#145
US rank
#12692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jonesboro, AR
County
Craighead County · 97,185 people
City population
91,245
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
Population (ZIP)
42,602
Household income
$45,329
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2606.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,235 people
By 2030
131,338 · +7.4%
By 2040
149,862 · +22.6%
By 2050
168,034 · +37.5%
By 2075
208,094 · +70.2%
By 2100
233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
208.2079
Rent YoY
▲ 3.64%
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+199.7% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $89,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2025-11-16 Listed $95,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2025-07-21 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-02 Price Changed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-31 Price Changed $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-04-14 Price Changed $119,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2025-04-08 Listed $125,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2024-07-15 Price Changed $157,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2024-06-26 Relisted NEABOR MLS
  • 2024-06-23 Listed $165,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2021-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
  • 2020-12-22 Sold (MLS) $47,500 CARMLS
  • 2020-12-22 Sold (MLS) $47,500 NEABOR MLS
  • 2020-04-20 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2020-04-17 Listed $52,900 CARMLS
  • 2020-04-17 Listed $52,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2020-02-13 Listed $63,000 CARMLS
  • 2020-02-13 Listed $63,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2019-05-31 Listed $57,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $578 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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