1010 E Olive St · Staunton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering strong upside for the savvy investor. Features include a detached garage, summer kitchen, and full basement, providing multiple options for renovation, storage, or added value. Property needs work and is priced accordingly, making it an ideal fix-and-flip or rental investment. With the right updates, this property has the potential to generate strong returns. Bring your vision and unlock the value. Being Sold As - Is, seller to make no repairs or concessions
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 4.0% in Staunton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,073 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Staunton CUSD 6 (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #323 of 620 in IL (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Macoupin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macoupin County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.29%
- DSCR
- 2.97
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,048
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -69.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 730 E Pennsylvania St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,800 (-4%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $75 | 74 |
| 625 Montgomery St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,949 (+3%) | 2mo | $114,900 | $59 | 71 |
| 711 Reservoir Rd | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,950 (+3%) | 6mo | $274,900 | $141 | 68 |
| 1014 E Mill St | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,968 (+4%) | 2mo | $264,900 | $135 | 66 |
| 933 Voge St | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,713 (-9%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $134 | 62 |
| 517 N Laurel St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,932 (+2%) | 8mo | $194,900 | $101 | 62 |
| 519 N Maple St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,692 (-10%) | 1mo | $114,900 | $68 | 59 |
| 609 E North St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (-12%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $160 | 59 |
| 530 N Maple St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,800 (-4%) | 10mo | $159,900 | $89 | 58 |
| 701 S Maple St | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,900 (+1%) | 8mo | $25,000 | $13 | 51 |
| 513 E Pennsylvania St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,652 (-12%) | 11mo | $269,900 | $163 | 50 |
| 927 Reservoir Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 2,150 (+14%) | 14mo | $209,000 | $97 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $24,841
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 47.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.60×
- Total profit
- $64,266
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62088
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,226 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,041/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $516
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-02-17price $49,900 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering strong upside for the savvy investor. Features include a detached garage, summer kitchen, and full basement, providing multiple options for renovation, storage, or added value. Property needs work and is priced accordingly, making it an ideal fix-and-flip or rental investment. With the right updates, this property has the potential to generate strong returns. Bring your vision and unlock the value. Being Sold As - Is, seller to make no repairs or concessions
-
2026-02-04$55,000 Active 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering strong upside for the savvy investor. Features include a detached garage, summer kitchen, and full basement, providing multiple options for renovation, storage, or added value. Property needs work and is priced accordingly, making it an ideal fix-and-flip or rental investment. With the right updates, this property has the potential to generate strong returns. Bring your vision and unlock the value. Being Sold As - Is, seller to make no repairs or concessions
-
2026-02-03historical $55,000 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering strong upside for the savvy investor. Features include a detached garage, summer kitchen, and full basement, providing multiple options for renovation, storage, or added value. Property needs work and is priced accordingly, making it an ideal fix-and-flip or rental investment. With the right updates, this property has the potential to generate strong returns. Bring your vision and unlock the value. Being Sold As - Is, seller to make no repairs or concessions
-
2005-08-02soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,041 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,041 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,707
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$2,041
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,177
- − Management
- −$1,177
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $5,817
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,792/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Staunton CUSD 6
- NCES district ID
- 1737590
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,408
- Composite
- 21.98/100
- National rank
- #8211
- State rank
- #323 of 620 in IL
Livability — Staunton
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1073
- US rank
- #20495
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Staunton, IL
- City population
- 6,482
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,482
Population outlook (Macoupin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,867 people
- By 2030
- 40,796 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 36,135 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 31,469 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 22,102 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 15,380 · -64.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Korean 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macoupin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.2) · D 29.4% · R 68.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -49.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: -39.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.2 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: D+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.97%
- Current HPI
- 195.0059
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-33.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Listed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-03 Coming Soon $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2024): $2,041 · +21.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…