36 Ballantyne Brae · Utica, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$102,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity waits for this 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with potential. A walk-up attic and full basement offer excellent expansion and storage possibilities, while the deep backyard and detached one-car garage/shed add everyday convenience. The main level features a living room with a fireplace and a formal dining room, providing a solid foundation for a warm and inviting living space. With the right vision and updates, this home can truly shine. Bring your ideas and make it your own—being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Full basement
- Deep backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Open porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $102k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,316/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2251% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($705 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.10%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $214,056
- List price
- $102,000
- Delta
- -52.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 Ballantyne Brae | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 1,736 (+10%) | 8mo | $234,500 | $135 | 73 |
| 12 Rose Pl | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,616 (+2%) | 5mo | $185,600 | $115 | 67 |
| 90 Ballantyne Brae | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (-9%) | 1mo | $284,000 | $199 | 65 |
| 101 Barton St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,560 (-1%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $119 | 65 |
| 1803 Baker Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,638 (+4%) | 1mo | $223,000 | $136 | 63 |
| 121 Lynch Ave | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,560 (-1%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $77 | 63 |
| 804 Symonds Pl | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,661 (+5%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $108 | 59 |
| 1913 Bradford Ave | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-9%) | 6mo | $206,700 | $144 | 59 |
| 5 Patricia Ct | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,420 (-10%) | 5mo | $295,000 | $208 | 57 |
| 103 Dryden Ave | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,658 (+5%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $78 | 54 |
| 140 Proctor Blvd | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+14%) | 3mo | $287,000 | $159 | 52 |
| 803 Mildred Ave | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,423 (-10%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $81 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.45×
- Total profit
- $126,987
- Equity at exit
- $91,890
- IRR
- 54.7%
- Equity multiple
- 12.13×
- Total profit
- $317,882
- Equity at exit
- $198,164
Cash invested: $28,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13501
- Home prices YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,316 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$535
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,573/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $1,121
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,500
- Closing costs
- $3,060
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1804 Storrs Ave Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1633 | $3,000 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1503 Fox Pl Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 225 Thieme Pl Utica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $102,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $102,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $102,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $102,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $102,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $102,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $102,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $102,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $102,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $102,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $102,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $102,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $102,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $102,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $102,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $102,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-22$106,900 Active 511-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,573 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$75/yr (+$6/mo · 4.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,790
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,714
- − Property taxes
- −$1,573
- − Insurance
- −$510
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,223
- − Management
- −$2,223
- − Depreciation
- −$2,967
- Taxable income
- $12,580
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,433/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629370
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,834
- Composite
- 29.01/100
- National rank
- #6613
- State rank
- #562 of 590 in NY
Livability — Utica
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Utica, NY
- County
- Oneida County · 89,710 people
- City population
- 72,968
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,931
- Household income
- $52,548
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.28%
- Current HPI
- 382.3726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-4.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $102,000 CNYIS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $106,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,573 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…