5723 Petty St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
= Fantastic opportunity to own a beautiful three-story interior end-unit townhome in the heart of * * Cottage Grove * * . This home offers * * 3 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car attached garage * * with a functional layout designed for comfort and convenience. The first floor includes a private bedroom with a full bath, perfect for guests or a home office. The second floor features the main living area with * * vaulted ceilings, hardwood floors, a gas fireplace, and a bright open layout * * . The kitchen includes * * granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large island * * . The third floor offers a spacious primary suite with a * * jetted tub, separate sho
Key facts
- Private bedroom
- Main living area
- Large island
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Green features include energy-efficient thermostat and windows; Lot noted as 'Other' (approximately 1,725 square feet)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Built in 2005
- Construction: Cement siding; Stucco exterior
- Exterior features: Balcony; Patio/porch balcony
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Flooring: Carpet; Slate; Wood
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Double vanity; High ceilings; Jetted tub; Separate shower; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Low emissivity windows; One fireplace; Seven total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $876 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $375k).
- Recommended offer: $369k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hogg Middle (math 44% / reading 48%, grade D+, #462 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 1,120 students, 52% FRL); Waltrip H S (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,342 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 1,597 students, 74% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 646 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($145k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.01%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $483,855
- List price
- $375,000
- Delta
- -20.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5903 Petty St Unit F | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 2,164 (+5%) | 1mo | $505,000 | $233 | 76 |
| 5540 Nolda St | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 2,000 (-3%) | 1mo | $400,000 | $200 | 72 |
| 5976 Kansas St | 0.35mi | 3/4.5 | 1,978 (-4%) | 1mo | $359,000 | $181 | 71 |
| 2115 Cohn St | 0.22mi | 3/3.5 | 2,287 (+11%) | 2mo | $449,990 | $197 | 70 |
| 1506 Birdsall St | 0.52mi | 3/3.5 | 2,124 (+3%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $200 | 70 |
| 5337 Larkin St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 2,157 (+4%) | 2mo | $599,000 | $278 | 65 |
| 1510 Birdsall St | 0.51mi | 3/3.5 | 2,268 (+10%) | 1mo | $389,000 | $172 | 59 |
| 5410A Nolda St | 0.49mi | 3/3.5 | 2,346 (+14%) | 1mo | $669,900 | $286 | 54 |
| 5310 Larkin St Unit B | 0.55mi | 3/3.5 | 2,354 (+14%) | 1mo | $399,000 | $169 | 51 |
| 5311 Kiam St Unit B | 0.55mi | 3/3.5 | 2,347 (+14%) | 2mo | $469,000 | $200 | 51 |
| 6605 Letein St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 2,344 (+14%) | 1mo | $550,000 | $235 | 50 |
| 2411 Detering St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 2,334 (+13%) | 2mo | $615,000 | $263 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-18,573
- Equity at exit
- $55,914
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $3,149
- Equity at exit
- $32,423
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77007
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 646
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,721 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax from tax record
- −$731 /mo · $8,767/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$991
- Net cashflow
- $876
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5732 Darling St Unit 1056419P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $7,771 | $3.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5620 Petty St Unit 1019538P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2884 | $16,259 | $5.64 | 22d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5620 Petty St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2891 | $8,750 | $3.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5530 Kiam St Unit 1019540P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2680 | $15,799 | $5.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5530 Kiam St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2688 | $9,750 | $3.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2103 Radcliffe St Unit 1225772P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1797 | $4,729 | $2.63 | 7d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2210 Radcliffe St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2066 | $2,716 | $1.31 | 7d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5427 Kansas St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2156 | $2,700 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 543 T C Jester Blvd Unit 1225766P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2389 | $5,222 | $2.19 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 5336 Darling St Unit 1225767P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2292 | $5,570 | $2.43 | 7d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5811 Maxie St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2226 | $3,000 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5235 Petty St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2532 | $3,000 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5610 Schuler St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2614 | $3,111 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 920 Westcott St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $3,306 | $2.81 | 1d | 29 | 0.67mi |
| 929 Westcott St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1375 | $9,263 | $6.74 | 3d | 22 | 0.68mi |
| 3001 W 11th St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1031 | $4,533 | $4.40 | 1d | 50 | 0.69mi |
| 5108 Larkin St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2108 | $2,850 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5454 Washington Ave Unit 5487 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,726 | $1.89 | 11d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5454 Washington Ave Unit 525 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,694 | $1.87 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5305 Nett St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2104 | $2,950 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5237 Center St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2284 | $2,995 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4917 Nolda St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1764 | $5,000 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4510 Inker St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2293 | $4,500 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4508 Maxie St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $3,003 | $1.77 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4608 Nett St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2261 | $3,750 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4311 Marina St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2328 | $3,599 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4444 Center St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2121 | $3,200 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 100 Detering St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1162 | $3,486 | $3.00 | 3d | 26 | 1.29mi |
| 1723 W 14th St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2373 | $3,400 | $1.43 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5359 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1478 | $2,562 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1126 W 16th St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2494 | $4,295 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5201 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1071 | $3,361 | $3.14 | 1d | 21 | 1.42mi |
| 1221 Bonner St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2252 | $3,200 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1332 Dorothy St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2980 | $6,500 | $2.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5353 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1118 | $3,095 | $2.77 | 2d | 19 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $375,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $375,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $375,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $375,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $375,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $375,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $375,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $375,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $375,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $375,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $375,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $384,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $384,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29historical
-
2026-04-29$384,900 Active 761-char remark
-
2026-04-03price $389,000
-
2026-03-05$399,500 Active
-
2023-11-03soldstatus
-
2023-11-01soldstatus Sold
-
2023-10-13status Pending
-
2023-10-06status Option Pending
-
2023-09-28$399,900 Active
-
2012-08-13soldstatus
-
2012-08-09soldstatus
-
2012-07-02historical
-
2012-06-24$249,900
-
2011-07-18soldstatus
-
2011-07-14soldstatus
-
2011-06-11historical
-
2011-04-28$239,900
-
2011-04-26historical
-
2010-11-29$244,900
-
2010-11-28historical
-
2010-08-09$249,500
-
2010-08-01historical
-
2010-03-02$274,900
-
2005-10-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,767 · $731/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,767 · $731/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,650
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$8,767
- − Insurance
- −$1,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,532
- − Management
- −$4,532
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable income
- $5,029
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,207
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,306/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,808
- Household income
- $144,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1812.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Asian 11% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -219.42%
- Current HPI
- 159.8157
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+36.4% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $375,000 HARMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $384,900 HARMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $389,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $399,500 HARMLS
- 2023-11-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-11-01 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2023-10-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-10-06 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-09-28 Listed $399,900 HARMLS
- 2012-08-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-08-09 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2012-07-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2012-06-24 Listed $249,900 HARMLS
- 2011-07-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-07-14 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2011-06-11 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2011-04-28 Listed $239,900 HARMLS
- 2011-04-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2010-11-29 Listed $244,900 HARMLS
- 2010-11-28 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2010-08-09 Listed $249,500 HARMLS
- 2010-08-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2010-03-02 Listed $274,900 HARMLS
- 2005-10-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $8,767 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…