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801 W Belknap St
A- Composite 81.13
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$100,000

801 W Belknap St · Jacksboro, TX 76458
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,596 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 223 Days on market
Built 1939 9,627 sqft lot $63/sqft · 30% below area Est $143k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Location, Location, LOCATION, this home is ready for the finishing touches. The seller will finish out at a higher price if needed for the buyer. The home is almost completed. A new HVAC and toilets will be installed when under contract. new Cabinets. This home is perfectly located in Jacksboro. The home can be rezoned with the right business plan. Want to put your finishing touches on this house, we can do that. Deal terms are not currently defined. Request your own specific terms when submitting a non-binding offer.

Key facts

  • New toilets
  • New hvac
  • New cabinets

Tags

NEW HVACNEW TOILETSNEW CABINETSPERFECTLY LOCATED IN JACKSBORO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $689 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 4.1% in Jacksboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#753 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Jacksboro ISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #337 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 10 units permitted in Jack County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
14.56%
Cash-on-cash
29.54%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,822
List price
$100,000
Delta
-29.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1128 Turner Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,520 (-5%) 12mo $219,500 $144 68
200 N 8th St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,580 (-1%) 22mo $249,000 $158 63
1015 W Archer St 0.22mi 3/— 1,400 (-12%) 9mo $75,000 $54 61
239 N 10th St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,516 (-5%) 12mo $170,000 $112 60
227 N 9th St 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,714 (+7%) 2mo $234,900 $137 58
708 W College St 0.19mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,658 (+4%) 22mo $210,000 $127 57
121 N 11th St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,379 (-14%) 13mo $125,000 $91 37
529 Stewart 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,812 (+14%) 5mo $215,000 $119 37
304 Moore St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,357 (-15%) 1mo $205,000 $151 37
120 N 11th St 0.51mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,814 (+14%) 15mo $199,900 $110 28
700 N Knox St 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,396 (-12%) 13mo $203,000 $145 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$34,924
Equity at exit
$22,588
10-year hold
IRR
32.8%
Equity multiple
4.35×
Total profit
$93,668
Equity at exit
$22,422

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76458

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,730 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,340/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$689

Break-even live

Break-even rent $858
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $746 -5% $717 +0% $689 +5% $661 +10% $633
Rent -10% $552 -5% $621 +0% $689 +5% $758 +10% $826
Rate -1.0pp $740 -0.5pp $715 base $689 +0.5pp $663 +1.0pp $637

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
320 N 2nd St Jacksboro, TX 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,700 $1.25 44d 1 0.39mi
205 Lacewell St Jacksboro, TX 3.0 2.0 1548 $2,000 $1.29 21d 1 0.90mi
147 Hillcrest St Jacksboro, TX 3.0 2.0 1741 $1,500 $0.86 44d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 223 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 222 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 221 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 220 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 218 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 217 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 214 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 213 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 212 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 209 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 208 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 207 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 206 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 205 DOM
  15. 2025-10-31
    listed $100,000 Active 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    Location, Location, LOCATION, this home is ready for the finishing touches. The seller will finish out at a higher price if needed for the buyer. The home is almost completed. A new HVAC and toilets will be installed when under contract. new Cabinets. This home is perfectly located in Jacksboro. The home can be rezoned with the right business plan. Want to put your finishing touches on this house, we can do that. Deal terms are not currently defined. Request your own specific terms when submitting a non-binding offer.

  16. 2025-08-01
    historical
  17. 2024-08-01
    listed $100,000 Active
  18. 2024-06-29
    historical
  19. 2024-01-31
    price $105,000
  20. 2023-10-21
    listed $110,000 Active
  21. 2023-08-02
    historical
  22. 2023-07-19
    price $124,000
  23. 2023-06-30
    price $125,000
  24. 2023-05-25
    price $129,900
  25. 2023-04-30
    price $143,000
  26. 2023-03-07
    price $145,000
  27. 2023-02-28
    price $149,000
  28. 2022-12-02
    listed $150,000 Active
  29. 2021-08-19
    soldstatus
  30. 2013-04-20
    historical
  31. 2012-10-18
    listed $34,700
  32. 2003-05-27
    soldstatus
  33. 1991-08-16
    soldstatus
  34. 1989-10-25
    soldstatus
  35. 1988-10-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,340 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,830 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$490/yr (+$41/mo · 36.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,763
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,340
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,661
− Management
−$1,661
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$7,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,702
After-tax cash flow
$6,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jacksboro ISD
NCES district ID
4824530
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$47,739
Composite
35.94/100
National rank
#4802
State rank
#337 of 826 in TX

Livability — Jacksboro

Score
64/100
State rank
#753
US rank
#13881

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksboro, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,103

Population outlook (Jack County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,560 people
By 2030
8,423 · -1.6%
By 2040
8,433 · -1.5%
By 2050
8,605 · +0.5%
By 2075
9,047 · +5.7%
By 2100
8,844 · +3.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 16%

Political lean MEDSL · Jack

2024 margin
Solid R (+82.3) · D 8.6% · R 90.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -68.1pp · 2024: -82.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+82.3 2020: R+81.6 2016: R+79.6 2012: R+78.3 2008: R+68.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.32%
Current HPI
202.1533
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+188.2% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $100,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-01 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2024-08-01 Listed $100,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-06-29 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2024-01-31 Price Changed $105,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-10-21 Listed $110,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-08-02 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2023-07-19 Price Changed $124,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-06-30 Price Changed $125,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-05-25 Price Changed $129,900 NTREIS
  • 2023-04-30 Price Changed $143,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-03-07 Price Changed $145,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-02-28 Price Changed $149,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-12-02 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-08-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-04-20 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2012-10-18 Listed $34,700 NTREIS
  • 2003-05-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1991-08-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1989-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+13.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,340 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…