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70200 Dillon Rd #341
B Composite 70.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

70200 Dillon Rd #341 · Desert Edge, CA 92241
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · Manufactured · 20 Days on market
Built 2011 Good condition 400 sqft lot ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Marvelous remodel with beautiful touches throughout in this modern and bright 2011 Cavco Park Model with 1 bedroom, 1 bath ~400 sq. ft. home boasting the most amazing views! Step onto the spacious and covered deck ready for you to entertain and gaze at the desert and mountain scenery. Close to the Clubhouse and central to all the amenities Caliente Springs 55+ Premiere Resort offers a 9-hole golf course, 8-pickleball courts, tennis courts, state-of-the-art gym, laundry facilities, chapel service, and an incredibly active, involved community, be where sunshine and fun never end! So much to do here and close to great recreational activities, with a short drive to Joshua Tree National Park or Big Bear Lake you will always have something to do. Make new friends and a life of memories. Lot is not owned; space rent is $707. Easy lender financing (OAC).

Key facts

  • 9 hole golf course
  • Amazing views
  • Tennis courts

Tags

SPACIOUS COVERED DECKAMAZING VIEWS9 HOLE GOLF COURSE8 PICKLEBALL COURTSTENNIS COURTSSTATE OF THE ART GYM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Rental restrictions apply; Short-term rentals not allowed; Will not consider lease; Property sold with everything staying; Possession at close of escrow; Located in Caliente Springs Resort (senior park); directions: main entrance on Dillon Road via Agua Caliente to San Jacinto - left to Santa Rosa - left
  • Financial info: Space rent applies (monthly space rent listed for park): $707; One space and one shed included in park; Sale terms: Conventional or cash
  • HOA & community: PUD; Zero monthly association fee listed; Senior community; Community amenities include clubhouse, community mailbox, pickleball courts, golf course within development, dog park, community pool and heated/spa facilities

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (oversized), total 2 parking spaces; No garage or covered/carport spaces
  • Security: Gated community; Community security features
  • Utilities: Mutual water source and private water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story (1 story); Ground level; Other building style; Leisure areas face north and west; front door faces west; Manufactured home (Cavco model, 2011)
  • Construction: Built by Cavco; 2011 manufacture date; Pier jacks and tie-down foundation; Siding skirting
  • Exterior features: Covered rock/stone patio and deck; Accessory building/shed; Chain-link and other fencing; Energy-efficient features; Lawn and private yard; Level lot; Corner lot in a cul-de-sac; Close to clubhouse; Street public access; City lights, mountain, hill and desert views; Updated/remodeled condition; Attached property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Refrigerator; Microwave; Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: Main floor bedroom
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with shower and tub
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Air conditioning with heat pump
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Sliding doors; Blinds and drapes; Ground-level entry with steps; Partially furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Community laundry; Water heater unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, commute D-.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 4→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
14.41%
Cash-on-cash
29.00%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$47,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
70200 Dillon Rd #393 0.01mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 1mo $26,500 $66 98
70200 Dillon Rd #25 0.00mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 2mo $32,500 $81 98
70200 Dillon Rd #402 0.01mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $95,000 $238 97
70200 Dillon Rd #425 0.00mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 4mo $47,000 $118 96
70200 Dillon Rd #192 0.16mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 4mo $43,000 $108 90
70200 Dillon Rd #2 0.27mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $50,000 $125 85
70200 Dillon Rd #190 0.27mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 5mo $40,000 $100 84
70200 Dillon Rd #28 0.27mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 10mo $38,000 $95 80
70200 Dillon Rd #585 0.32mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 7mo $58,000 $145 79
70200 Dillon Rd #515 0.27mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 14mo $45,000 $113 76
70201 Aurora Rd #149 0.59mi 1/1.0 399 (-0%) 3mo $54,000 $135 69
17405 Corkill Rd #22 0.57mi 1/1.0 432 (+8%) 4mo $65,000 $150 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$12,289
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$42,441
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92241

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,298 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$382

Break-even live

Break-even rent $815
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥109°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,581
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$1,877
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,246
− Management
−$1,246
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,703
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$889
After-tax cash flow
$3,698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2011 Cavco Park Model is a well-maintained, modern home with a good condition score, ready for a new owner or renter.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace blinds — Improves natural light and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace blinds — Improves natural light and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Desert Edge

Score
68/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#9953

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Desert Edge, CA
Population (ZIP)
8,624

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 38% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.23%
Current HPI
400.5663
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $75,000 GPSMLS
  • 2025-01-04 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2025-01-03 Sold (MLS) $75,000 GPSMLS
  • 2024-12-31 Pending GPSMLS
  • 2024-11-14 Listed $75,000 GPSMLS
  • 2023-03-23 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2023-03-15 Price Changed $87,900 GPSMLS
  • 2023-02-28 Price Changed $94,900 GPSMLS
  • 2023-02-12 Listed $99,900 GPSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…