18070 Langlois Rd #268 · Desert Edge, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT OPPORTUNITY to MAKE THIS HOME YOUR OWN in the DESIRABLE JOSHUA SPRINGS 55+ COMMUNITY! This 2 BEDROOM, 2 BATH manufactured home offers approximately 896 SQ FT and is ready for your VISION. A true FIXER, it's ideal for someone HANDY and ready to transform it into the perfect WINTER GETAWAY, SEASONAL RETREAT, OR FULL-TIME RETIREMENT HOME. With updates and personal touches, this home has STRONG POTENTIAL AND VALUE. Joshua Springs is a RESIDENT-OWNED COMMUNITY offering exceptional affordability with LOW HOA DUES that include LAND TAX, WATER, TRASH, SEWER, CABLE, AND INTERNET — a rare ALL-INCLUSIVE PACKAGE. Residents enjoy TWO NATURAL MINERAL-WATER SPAS, A HEATED POOL, PICKLEBALL, A NEW DOG PARK, and beautifully maintained common areas, all just minutes from DOWNTOWN PALM SPRINGS. A fantastic chance to create your own DESERT ESCAPE while enjoying RESORT-STYLE AMENITIES in a welcoming 55+ neighborhood. * * * Photos AI Staged and enhanced * * *
Key facts
- Heated pool
- New dog park
- 3,000 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 14.8% in Desert Edge — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, commute D-.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→7/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.34%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,593
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- 128.78%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17625 Langlois #105 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (0%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $65 | 82 |
| 18131 Langlois Rd Unit S15 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (-2%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $91 | 81 |
| 18555 Roberts Rd #17 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+14%) | 3mo | $57,000 | $59 | 65 |
| 17555-2 Corkill Rd #28 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (+5%) | 3mo | $99,990 | $114 | 56 |
| 17800 Langlois Rd #217 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+14%) | 13mo | $56,500 | $59 | 55 |
| 18131 Langlois Rd Unit S1 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+14%) | 16mo | $94,000 | $98 | 54 |
| 18801 Roberts Rd #86 | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-14%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $42 | 51 |
| 18801 Roberts Rd #171 | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (-14%) | 11mo | $35,000 | $48 | 50 |
| 18555 Roberts Rd #84 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-14%) | 17mo | $40,000 | $56 | 49 |
| 17850 Corkill Rd | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-11%) | 10mo | $32,000 | $43 | 45 |
| 17640 Corkill Rd #17 | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-7%) | 16mo | $38,000 | $48 | 44 |
| 70875 Dillon Rd #85 | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (-14%) | 16mo | $130,000 | $181 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $12,050
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $52,344
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92241
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,878 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $255/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $505
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $576 | -5% $541 | +0% $505 | +5% $327 | +10% $284 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $357 | -5% $431 | +0% $505 | +5% $580 | +10% $654 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $568 | -0.5pp $537 | base $505 | +0.5pp $473 | +1.0pp $440 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18070 Langlois Rd Dsrt Hot Spgs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 18070 Langlois Rd #257 Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,850 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 70875 Dillon Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashinternetcablepool
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $124,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $124,900 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY to MAKE THIS HOME YOUR OWN in the DESIRABLE JOSHUA SPRINGS 55+ COMMUNITY! This 2 BEDROOM, 2 BATH manufactured home offers approximately 896 SQ FT and is ready for your VISION. A true FIXER, it's ideal for someone HANDY and ready to transform it into the perfect WINTER GETAWAY, SEASONAL RETREAT, OR FULL-TIME RETIREMENT HOME. With updates and personal touches, this home has STRONG POTENTIAL AND VALUE. Joshua Springs is a RESIDENT-OWNED COMMUNITY offering exceptional affordability with LOW HOA DUES that include LAND TAX, WATER, TRASH, SEWER, CABLE, AND INTERNET — a rare ALL-INCLUSIVE PACKAGE. Residents enjoy TWO NATURAL MINERAL-WATER SPAS, A HEATED POOL, PICKLEBALL, A NEW DOG PARK, and beautifully maintained common areas, all just minutes from DOWNTOWN PALM SPRINGS. A fantastic chance to create your own DESERT ESCAPE while enjoying RESORT-STYLE AMENITIES in a welcoming 55+ neighborhood. * * * Photos AI Staged and enhanced * * *
-
2026-04-02price $131,500 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY to MAKE THIS HOME YOUR OWN in the DESIRABLE JOSHUA SPRINGS 55+ COMMUNITY! This 2 BEDROOM, 2 BATH manufactured home offers approximately 896 SQ FT and is ready for your VISION. A true FIXER, it's ideal for someone HANDY and ready to transform it into the perfect WINTER GETAWAY, SEASONAL RETREAT, OR FULL-TIME RETIREMENT HOME. With updates and personal touches, this home has STRONG POTENTIAL AND VALUE. Joshua Springs is a RESIDENT-OWNED COMMUNITY offering exceptional affordability with LOW HOA DUES that include LAND TAX, WATER, TRASH, SEWER, CABLE, AND INTERNET — a rare ALL-INCLUSIVE PACKAGE. Residents enjoy TWO NATURAL MINERAL-WATER SPAS, A HEATED POOL, PICKLEBALL, A NEW DOG PARK, and beautifully maintained common areas, all just minutes from DOWNTOWN PALM SPRINGS. A fantastic chance to create your own DESERT ESCAPE while enjoying RESORT-STYLE AMENITIES in a welcoming 55+ neighborhood. * * * Photos AI Staged and enhanced * * *
-
2026-01-30$138,500 Active 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY to MAKE THIS HOME YOUR OWN in the DESIRABLE JOSHUA SPRINGS 55+ COMMUNITY! This 2 BEDROOM, 2 BATH manufactured home offers approximately 896 SQ FT and is ready for your VISION. A true FIXER, it's ideal for someone HANDY and ready to transform it into the perfect WINTER GETAWAY, SEASONAL RETREAT, OR FULL-TIME RETIREMENT HOME. With updates and personal touches, this home has STRONG POTENTIAL AND VALUE. Joshua Springs is a RESIDENT-OWNED COMMUNITY offering exceptional affordability with LOW HOA DUES that include LAND TAX, WATER, TRASH, SEWER, CABLE, AND INTERNET — a rare ALL-INCLUSIVE PACKAGE. Residents enjoy TWO NATURAL MINERAL-WATER SPAS, A HEATED POOL, PICKLEBALL, A NEW DOG PARK, and beautifully maintained common areas, all just minutes from DOWNTOWN PALM SPRINGS. A fantastic chance to create your own DESERT ESCAPE while enjoying RESORT-STYLE AMENITIES in a welcoming 55+ neighborhood. * * * Photos AI Staged and enhanced * * *
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $255 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$694/yr (+$58/mo · 271.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 3 d/yr ≥109°F today · 7 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,537
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$255
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,803
- − Management
- −$1,803
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $4,422
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,061
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,004/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Desert Edge
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #9953
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Desert Edge, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,624
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 38% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.23%
- Current HPI
- 400.5663
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-9.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $124,900 GPSMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $131,500 GPSMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $138,500 GPSMLS
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $255 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…