🌊 Lakefront
1700 NE 191st St #202 · Ojus, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.26%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LAKEFRONT DEAL - PRICED TO SELL FAST! 1 BED/1 BATH IN A 24-HR GATED COMMUNITY! VIEWS OF THE LAKE & POOL! ALL AGES WELCOME - PETS OK UP TO 30 LBS. PEACEFUL WATER VIEWS, GREAT VALUE AND MOVE-IN READY. NEW CENTRAL A/C INSTALLED IN 2024 WITH A TEN (10 YEAR) WARRANTY! THE BATHROOM HAS BEEN REMODELED. PARKING SPOT#45. WALK TO SHOPPING! CLOSE TO GOOD SCHOOLS, AVENTURA MALL, BEACHES, FIU, HARD ROCK STADIUM, TWO (2) AIRPORTS & I-95. 50 YEAR RECERIFICATION ALMOST COMPLETED. NEW ROOF! THIS WON'T LAST! BUY TODAY & HAVE A IMMEDIATE FAMILY MEMBER RESIDE IN THE CONDOMINIUM, WITH A OCCUPANCY AGREEMENT! * * UNIT CAN BE RENTED AFTER ONE(1) YEAR OWNERSHIP, BUT A DIRECT FAMILY MEMBER (
Key facts
- Lakefront
- Remodeled bathroom
- New central a/c
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed (dogs OK)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee ($499/month); Association amenities: laundry, pool, trash service, elevators; Association fee includes management, amenities, cable TV, insurance, internet, structure maintenance, parking, pest control, sewer, security, water
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; One assigned space
- Security: Complex fenced; Security guard
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Attached property; Single-story unit in a 5-story building; Entry located on level 2
- Construction: Block construction; Exterior lighting; Wall fencing; Year built: unknown
- Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony; Association pool; Lakefront view; Has view; North-facing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Living/dining room; Tub with shower; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $767 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 8.7% in Ojus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,963/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $110k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.54%
- DSCR
- 3.07
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $23,525
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $54,307
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33179
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 572
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,963 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,509/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA est. from 4 same-building comps
- −$399
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$622
- Net cashflow
- $767
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $119,900
-
2026-01-09$127,900 Active
-
2025-03-03historical
-
2024-09-04$134,900 Active
-
2004-01-02soldstatus $63,000
-
2001-08-16soldstatus $29,500
-
1985-03-01soldstatus $30,000
-
1981-12-01soldstatus $35,111
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,509 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,509 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 26% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,550
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,509
- − Insurance
- −$5,668
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,844
- − Management
- −$2,844
- − HOA
- −$4,788
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $8,544
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,153/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ojus
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ojus, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,591
- Household income
- $65,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3123.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -608.34%
- Current HPI
- 328.1733
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+241.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $119,900 MARMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $127,900 MARMLS
- 2025-03-03 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-09-04 Listed $134,900 MARMLS
- 2004-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2001-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
- 1985-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1981-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,111 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,509 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…