196 Scandia Cir · Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BACK ON THE MARKET!! -- SECOND LEVEL BOASTS SPACIOUS 2 BD/ 2 BTH - INSIDE THE IN-TOWN COMMUNITY WHERE GATED ENTRY AND MAINTENANCE IS A MUST - FULL SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, COMES w/ APPLIANCE PACKAGE- REFRIGERATOR, DISHWASHER AND STOVE . EACH BEDROOM FEATURES SPACE FOR FURNITURE AND BOTH BEDROOMS ARE COMPLETE WITH LAMINATE FLOORING. 5 MINS FROM DOWNTOWN ATHENS/UGA AND ALSO ON THE CITY BUS LINE FOR EASY TRANSPORTATION OR EVEN A WALK - TO LOCAL GROCERY, RESTAURANTS AND SHOPPING. YOU DON& apos; T WANT TO MISS THIS OPPORTUNITY IN THE HEART OF ATHENS! PICS COMING SOON!!!
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Local grocery
- City bus line
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $135k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-232/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.3% in Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Clarke County (urban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #146 of 174 in GA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 304 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,172 units permitted in Clarke County in 2024 (876 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clarke County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $135k implies a 193% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.61%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-20,145
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-6,547
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30605
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 304
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$258
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $-19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $74 | -5% $27 | +0% $-19 | +5% $-66 | +10% $-113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-136 | -5% $-78 | +0% $-19 | +5% $39 | +10% $98 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $49 | -0.5pp $15 | base $-19 | +0.5pp $-54 | +1.0pp $-90 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1197 Cedar Shoals Dr Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1098 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 127 Barrington Dr Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 116 Barrington Dr #4 Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 102 Barrington Dr #1 Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 113 Georgetown Cir Unit 107 B-10 Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,325 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 113 Georgetown Cir Unit 119 A-3 Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,475 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 140 Forest Rd Athens, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,050 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 232 E Paces Dr Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 109 Oak Park Ct Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 969 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1395 Cedar Shoals Dr Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1180 | $1,250 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 108 Saint Andrews Ct Unit 110 Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,125 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 110 Saint Andrews Ct Unit 110 Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 100 Ashley Cir Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,249 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 108 Highland Park Dr Athens, GA | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1605 | $1,395 | $0.87 | 14d | 7 | 0.71mi |
| 124 Park Ridge Ct Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 220 Mark Twain Cir Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 165 Park Ridge Ct Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $995 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1605 Cedar Shoals Dr Unit 1605 Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 345 Research Dr Athens, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1449 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 22d | 3 | 0.90mi |
| 345 Research Dr Athens, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1449 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 14d | 3 | 0.90mi |
| 1035 Barnett Shoals Rd #1120 Athens, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1406 | $2,250 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1035 Barnett Shoals Rd Athens, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1406 | $2,075 | $1.48 | 45d | 2 | 0.98mi |
| 1035 Barnett Shoals Rd Athens, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 1287 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 14d | 2 | 0.98mi |
| 150 Essex Ct Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 175 International Dr Athens, GA | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1136 | $639 | $0.56 | 14d | 6 | 1.03mi |
| 1090 Barnett Shoals Rd Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1062 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 125 Sterling Dr Athens, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,775 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 199 Mimosa Dr Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,900 | $2.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 121 Winthrop Way Athens, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,975 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 132 Wakefield Trce Athens, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1241 | $1,900 | $1.53 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 175 Woodlake Pl Athens, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1200 | $1,114 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 930 S Barnett Shoals Rd Unit 1606 Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1116 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 172 Tall Pine Ln Athens, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $2,100 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 141 College Cir Athens, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $2,100 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 190 Midway Rd Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,050 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 285 Tall Pine Ln Athens, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $2,100 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 117 Alden Ct Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 360 Lexington Hts Athens, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,225 | $1.46 | 22d | 5 | 1.27mi |
| 150 Brookstone Ct Athens, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1466 | $1,100 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 375 Segrest Cir Athens, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $2,400 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 568-char remark
-
2026-06-07$135,000 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,797
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − HOA
- −$3,096
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$2,336
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$561
- After-tax cash flow
- $329/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This property requires extensive renovations to bring it up to modern standards, significantly impacting its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen appliances — No appliances visible.
- Major bathroom fixtures — No visible fixtures.
- Major exterior siding — No visible siding.
- Major exterior windows — No visible windows.
- Major flooring — No visible flooring.
- Major interior walls/paint — No visible walls or paint.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible systems.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New kitchen appliances — Modern appliances enhance appeal and functionality.
- Resale Bathroom renovation — Updated fixtures and tiles improve aesthetics and functionality.
- Resale Exterior siding and window replacement — Fresh siding and windows boost curb appeal and energy efficiency.
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring improves aesthetics and comfort.
- Resale Interior wall and paint refresh — Fresh paint and walls enhance the home's appearance.
- Resale HVAC and mechanical system upgrade — Modern systems improve comfort and energy efficiency.
- Resale Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping and landscaping improve curb appeal and property value.
- Rental Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping and curb appeal improve property value and attract tenants.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping and curb appeal improve property value and attract both buyers and tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen appliances · No appliances visible. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · No visible fixtures. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · No visible siding. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior windows · No visible windows. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · No visible flooring. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · No visible walls or paint. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible systems. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 7 items | $105,000–350,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New kitchen appliances — Modern appliances enhance appeal and functionality. ↑
- Resale Bathroom renovation — Updated fixtures and tiles improve aesthetics and functionality. ↑
- Resale Exterior siding and window replacement — Fresh siding and windows boost curb appeal and energy efficiency. ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring improves aesthetics and comfort. ↑
- Resale Interior wall and paint refresh — Fresh paint and walls enhance the home's appearance. ↑
- Resale HVAC and mechanical system upgrade — Modern systems improve comfort and energy efficiency. ↑
- Resale Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping and landscaping improve curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Rental Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping and curb appeal improve property value and attract tenants. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping and curb appeal improve property value and attract both buyers and tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarke County
- NCES district ID
- 1301170
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,649
- Composite
- 15.51/100
- National rank
- #9302
- State rank
- #146 of 174 in GA
Livability — Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
- County
- Clarke County · 126,008 people
- City population
- 119,110
- Metro
- Athens-Clarke County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,544
- Household income
- $50,062
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3628.0
Population outlook (Clarke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 141,365 people
- By 2030
- 151,724 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 168,541 · +19.2%
- By 2050
- 184,855 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 221,736 · +56.9%
- By 2100
- 253,853 · +79.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clarke
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.3) · D 68.6% · R 30.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.0pp toward D · 2008: 31.3pp · 2024: 38.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.3 2020: D+42.1 2016: D+38.0 2012: D+28.9 2008: D+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -294.87%
- Current HPI
- 252.2581
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.83%
- Metro
- Athens-Clarke County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+214.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $135,000 FSBO.com
- 2003-08-07 Sold (MLS) $46,000 Hive MLS
- 2003-06-11 Listed $48,000 Hive MLS
- 2000-06-30 Sold (MLS) $42,900 Hive MLS
- 2000-04-14 Listed $42,900 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…