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2204 Whippoorwill Dr 🌊 Lakefront
B Composite 74.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

2204 Whippoorwill Dr · St. Augustine, FL 32084
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1998 0.30 ac lot Est $241k · 29% under $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Split-bedroom layout
  • Easy access to i-95

Tags

EASY ACCESS TO I-95FEW MILES TO THE BEACHSPACIOUS 0.30-ACRE LOTPUBLIC UTILITIESOPEN FLOOR PLANSPLIT-BEDROOM LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of The Sanctuary association; Association fee $250 annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional parking available
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Double wide manufactured home; Single-story; Entry at level 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Deck; Patio; Shed(s); Pond on the property; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Primary bathroom with tub and separate shower; Split bedroom layout; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Wood-burning fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer, Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.1% in St. Augustine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 631 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  4. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  5. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.91%
Cash-on-cash
12.92%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$241,056
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2204 Whippoorwill Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,296 (0%) 0mo $180,000 $139 100
1800 Century Blvd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,296 (0%) 10mo $325,000 $251 62
2021 Century Blvd 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+4%) 17mo $141,000 $105 57
1440 S Scenic Way 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,190 (-8%) 11mo $95,000 $80 52
2106 Laurel Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,216 (-6%) 21mo $252,000 $207 50
1412 Century Cir 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+11%) 2mo $268,000 $186 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-678
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$19,008
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32084

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
631
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,164 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$214 /mo · $2,563/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,515
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $609 -5% $561 +0% $513 +5% $465 +10% $416
Rent -10% $342 -5% $427 +0% $513 +5% $598 +10% $684
Rate -1.0pp $598 -0.5pp $556 base $513 +0.5pp $469 +1.0pp $424

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
350 Laurel Dr , FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $2,099 $2.09 2d 13 0.48mi
339 Caminha Rd Saint Augustine, FL 4.0 2.0 1779 $2,295 $1.29 8d 1 1.03mi
97 Ayamonte Rd Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1308 $1,775 $1.36 16d 1 1.10mi
421 Fox Water Trl Unit 1546316P St. Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1603 $4,745 $2.96 16d 1 1.14mi
258 Jarama Cir Saint Augustine, FL 4.0 2.0 1862 $2,350 $1.26 15d 1 1.28mi
105 Whitland Way Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1499 $2,300 $1.53 4d 1 1.31mi
121 Aveiro Way Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1711 $2,250 $1.32 20d 1 1.31mi
600 Ashby Landing Way Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1685 $1,898 $1.13 24d 1 1.33mi
159 Beach Palm Ct Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1354 $1,800 $1.33 17d 1 1.35mi
29 Buckley Ct Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1211 $2,300 $1.90 24d 1 1.36mi
121 Ardila Cir Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1711 $2,400 $1.40 24d 1 1.38mi
64 Pittman Ct Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1567 $2,200 $1.40 4d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr
Likely covers
watersewer

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    listed $170,000 Active
  2. 2026-03-31
    historical 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.

  3. 2026-03-12
    price $195,000 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.

  4. 2026-02-26
    price $200,000 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.

  5. 2026-02-20
    price $210,000 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.

  6. 2026-02-13
    listed $220,000 Active 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.

  7. 2017-03-21
    soldstatus $129,900
  8. 2017-03-17
    soldstatus $129,900 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Great Location in a restricted neighborhood close to everything 3 miles to the hospital and shopping 5 miles to the beach or historic St Augustine's attractions. Lake-frontage for the fishing enthusiast, super walking or jogging area.

  9. 2017-03-13
    historical 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Great Location in a restricted neighborhood close to everything 3 miles to the hospital and shopping 5 miles to the beach or historic St Augustine's attractions. Lake-frontage for the fishing enthusiast, super walking or jogging area.

  10. 2017-01-27
    listed $139,900 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Great Location in a restricted neighborhood close to everything 3 miles to the hospital and shopping 5 miles to the beach or historic St Augustine's attractions. Lake-frontage for the fishing enthusiast, super walking or jogging area.

  11. 2005-07-07
    soldstatus $120,000
  12. 2005-07-07
    soldstatus $130,000
  13. 2005-06-15
    historical
  14. 2005-04-27
    soldstatus $120,000
  15. 2004-10-31
    listed $124,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,563 · $214/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,563 · $214/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,968
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,563
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,077
− Management
−$2,077
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$3,680
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$883
After-tax cash flow
$5,269/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns
NCES district ID
1201740
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$66,842
Composite
64.31/100
National rank
#556
State rank
#2 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Augustine

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,291
Household income
$73,837
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
1748.0

Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
303,941 people
By 2030
342,590 · +12.7%
By 2040
417,328 · +37.3%
By 2050
487,011 · +60.2%
By 2075
635,395 · +109.1%
By 2100
717,469 · +136.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 11% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -287.02%
Current HPI
330.9505
Rent YoY
▲ 0.25%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.5% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $170,000 realMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $195,000 realMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $200,000 realMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $210,000 realMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $220,000 realMLS
  • 2017-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
  • 2017-03-17 Sold (MLS) $129,900 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2017-03-13 Delisted St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2017-01-27 Listed $139,900 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2005-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2005-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-15 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2005-04-27 Sold (MLS) $120,000 realMLS
  • 2004-10-31 Listed $124,500 realMLS

Property tax history

+16.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,563 · +18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…