🌊 Lakefront
2204 Whippoorwill Dr · St. Augustine, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Split-bedroom layout
- Easy access to i-95
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of The Sanctuary association; Association fee $250 annually
Exterior
- Parking: Additional parking available
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable available
- Home design: Double wide manufactured home; Single-story; Entry at level 1
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Deck; Patio; Shed(s); Pond on the property; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Primary bathroom with tub and separate shower; Split bedroom layout; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Wood-burning fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer, Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.1% in St. Augustine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 631 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.92%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $241,056
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2204 Whippoorwill Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (0%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $139 | 100 |
| 1800 Century Blvd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (0%) | 10mo | $325,000 | $251 | 62 |
| 2021 Century Blvd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 17mo | $141,000 | $105 | 57 |
| 1440 S Scenic Way | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,190 (-8%) | 11mo | $95,000 | $80 | 52 |
| 2106 Laurel Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-6%) | 21mo | $252,000 | $207 | 50 |
| 1412 Century Cir | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 2mo | $268,000 | $186 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-678
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $19,008
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32084
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 631
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,164 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$214 /mo · $2,563/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $513
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $609 | -5% $561 | +0% $513 | +5% $465 | +10% $416 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $342 | -5% $427 | +0% $513 | +5% $598 | +10% $684 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $598 | -0.5pp $556 | base $513 | +0.5pp $469 | +1.0pp $424 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 350 Laurel Dr , FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $2,099 | $2.09 | 2d | 13 | 0.48mi |
| 339 Caminha Rd Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1779 | $2,295 | $1.29 | 8d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 97 Ayamonte Rd Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1308 | $1,775 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 421 Fox Water Trl Unit 1546316P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $4,745 | $2.96 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 258 Jarama Cir Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1862 | $2,350 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 105 Whitland Way Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1499 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 121 Aveiro Way Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1711 | $2,250 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 600 Ashby Landing Way Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1685 | $1,898 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 159 Beach Palm Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1354 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 29 Buckley Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1211 | $2,300 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 121 Ardila Cir Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1711 | $2,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 64 Pittman Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1567 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewer
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-23$170,000 Active
-
2026-03-31historical 895-char remark
Show marketing remark (895 chars)
Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.
-
2026-03-12price $195,000 895-char remark
Show marketing remark (895 chars)
Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.
-
2026-02-26price $200,000 895-char remark
Show marketing remark (895 chars)
Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.
-
2026-02-20price $210,000 895-char remark
Show marketing remark (895 chars)
Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.
-
2026-02-13$220,000 Active 895-char remark
Show marketing remark (895 chars)
Welcome to your peaceful retreat in The Sanctuary—where space, scenery, and comfort come together. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,296 sq ft of easy living on a generous 0.30-acre waterfront lot, complete with tranquil pond views right in your backyard. Built in 1998, the home features a functional layout with a spacious living area, a well-sized kitchen, and a private primary suite designed for relaxation. Enjoy the convenience of city water and sewer, plus the added value of a low HOA fee of just $250/year. Whether you're sipping morning coffee while overlooking the water, entertaining guests, or simply unwinding in a serene neighborhood setting, this home delivers a lifestyle that's both comfortable and affordable. Ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a scenic setting with minimal upkeep—this waterfront opportunity is one you don't want to miss.
-
2017-03-21soldstatus $129,900
-
2017-03-17soldstatus $129,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Great Location in a restricted neighborhood close to everything 3 miles to the hospital and shopping 5 miles to the beach or historic St Augustine's attractions. Lake-frontage for the fishing enthusiast, super walking or jogging area.
-
2017-03-13historical 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Great Location in a restricted neighborhood close to everything 3 miles to the hospital and shopping 5 miles to the beach or historic St Augustine's attractions. Lake-frontage for the fishing enthusiast, super walking or jogging area.
-
2017-01-27$139,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Great Location in a restricted neighborhood close to everything 3 miles to the hospital and shopping 5 miles to the beach or historic St Augustine's attractions. Lake-frontage for the fishing enthusiast, super walking or jogging area.
-
2005-07-07soldstatus $120,000
-
2005-07-07soldstatus $130,000
-
2005-06-15historical
-
2005-04-27soldstatus $120,000
-
2004-10-31$124,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,563 · $214/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,563 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$2,563
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,077
- − Management
- −$2,077
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $3,680
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$883
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,269/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Augustine
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,291
- Household income
- $73,837
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1748.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 11% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.02%
- Current HPI
- 330.9505
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.25%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+36.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $170,000 realMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $195,000 realMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $200,000 realMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $210,000 realMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $220,000 realMLS
- 2017-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
- 2017-03-17 Sold (MLS) $129,900 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2017-03-13 Delisted — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2017-01-27 Listed $139,900 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2005-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-15 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2005-04-27 Sold (MLS) $120,000 realMLS
- 2004-10-31 Listed $124,500 realMLS
Property tax history
+16.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,563 · +18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…