1792 Gold Finch Way · Lithia Springs, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in-ready home. Freshly painted. Granite counter in the kitchen. Fenced in back yard, fence needs some repairs. Secluded neighborhood, not far from I-20 or East-West Connector, with lots of places to eat and go. HOA covers the yard maintenance.
Key facts
- Granite counter
- Fenced in back yard
- $50 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Road frontage on a city street with asphalt surface; Directions available
- HOA & community: Association fee $600 annually; HOA includes grounds maintenance; Community has 78 units
Exterior
- Parking: Two total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: 220V and 440V
- Home design: Two levels; Fee simple ownership; Resale property
- Construction: Metal and aluminum siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of condominium/townhouse community (townhome/lot designation)
- Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Solid surface counters; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three upper-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attached to 1 common wall; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.6% in Lithia Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#311 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Annette Winn Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 329 students, 85% FRL); Lithia Springs Comprehensive High School (math 3% / reading 27%, grade F, #294 of 424 statewide, top 70%, 1,494 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 53% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 126 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,555/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 993% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.19%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,102
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -0.04%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6557 Hill St | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,314 (-14%) | 4mo | $252,000 | $192 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-26,822
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-20,426
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30168
- Home prices YoY
- -25.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,555 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,007/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$536
- Net cashflow
- $302
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6290 Love St Unit B Austell, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2173 | $1,600 | $0.74 | 13d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6230 Love St Austell, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $4,950 | $3.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 7201 Pine St Unit A Austell, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1900 | $2,250 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 5995 Spring St Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1905 | $4,500 | $2.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5989 Bowden St Austell, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1388 | $3,965 | $2.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2750 Skyview Dr E Lithia Springs, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,625 | $1.89 | 1d | 24 | 0.92mi |
| 500 Maxham Rd Austell, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 952 | $1,540 | $1.62 | 1d | 16 | 0.95mi |
| 3034 Millstone Ct Austell, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,825 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3034 Millstone Ct Austell, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,825 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 670 Thornton Rd Lithia Springs, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 992 | $1,855 | $1.87 | 2d | 29 | 1.22mi |
| 2610 Ravencliff Dr Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1959 | $2,760 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $250,000 Active 22 DOM
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Move-in-ready home. Freshly painted. Granite counter in the kitchen. Fenced in back yard, fence needs some repairs. Secluded neighborhood, not far from I-20 or East-West Connector, with lots of places to eat and go. HOA covers the yard maintenance.
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-14status Back On Market 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Move-in-ready home. Freshly painted. Granite counter in the kitchen. Fenced in back yard, fence needs some repairs. Secluded neighborhood, not far from I-20 or East-West Connector, with lots of places to eat and go. HOA covers the yard maintenance.
-
2026-05-13status Active 252-char remark
-
2026-05-03historical Active Under Contract 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Move-in-ready home. Freshly painted. Granite counter in the kitchen. Fenced in back yard, fence needs some repairs. Secluded neighborhood, not far from I-20 or East-West Connector, with lots of places to eat and go. HOA covers the yard maintenance.
-
2026-05-03status Pending 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Move-in-ready home. Freshly painted. Granite counter in the kitchen. Fenced in back yard, fence needs some repairs. Secluded neighborhood, not far from I-20 or East-West Connector, with lots of places to eat and go. HOA covers the yard maintenance.
-
2026-04-28$265,000 New 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Move-in-ready home. Freshly painted. Granite counter in the kitchen. Fenced in back yard, fence needs some repairs. Secluded neighborhood, not far from I-20 or East-West Connector, with lots of places to eat and go. HOA covers the yard maintenance.
-
2026-04-28$265,000 Active 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Move-in-ready home. Freshly painted. Granite counter in the kitchen. Fenced in back yard, fence needs some repairs. Secluded neighborhood, not far from I-20 or East-West Connector, with lots of places to eat and go. HOA covers the yard maintenance.
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2026-04-22historical
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2026-04-14historical
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2026-03-23price $250,000
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2026-03-23price $250,000
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2026-03-04$265,000 Active
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2026-03-04$265,000 New
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2021-11-23soldstatus $225,000 Closed
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2021-11-23soldstatus $225,000 Sold
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2021-11-20status Pending
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2021-11-16historical Active Under Contract
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2021-11-16status Under Contract
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2021-11-13$210,000 Active
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2021-11-13$210,000 New
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2006-06-30soldstatus $180,000
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2004-01-14soldstatus $990,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,007 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,007 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,657
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,007
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,453
- − Management
- −$2,453
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$382
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$92
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Lithia Springs
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #311
- US rank
- #16881
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lithia Springs, GA
- County
- Cobb County · 777,758 people
- City population
- 27,036
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,612
- Household income
- $64,059
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 993.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% Hispanic / Latino 21% White 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.55%
- Current HPI
- 246.7995
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.77%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-74.7% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $250,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $250,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-05-03 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-05-03 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $265,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $265,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $250,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $250,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $265,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $265,000 FMLS
- 2021-11-23 Sold (MLS) $225,000 GAMLS
- 2021-11-23 Sold (MLS) $225,000 FMLS
- 2021-11-20 Pending — FMLS
- 2021-11-16 Contingent — FMLS
- 2021-11-16 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-11-13 Listed $210,000 GAMLS
- 2021-11-13 Listed $210,000 FMLS
- 2006-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2004-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $990,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,007 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…