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201 Pine Rd
C+ Composite 60.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

201 Pine Rd · Big Spring, TX 79720
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1997 0.57 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor & Handyman Special – AS-IS Sale Opportunity awaits at 201 Pine Road, Big Spring, TX. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom double-wide offers approximately 1,125 square feet and sits on a spacious lot with multiple outbuildings and covered parking—perfect for those who can see the potential beyond the current condition. The property includes a 2-car carport, an additional approximately 40x60 metal carport with concrete pad, a 10x12 metal storage building with roll-up door, and an additional 8x10 storage building. The lot is partially fenced, though fencing will require repairs. A single-wide trailer was previously pulled under the larger carport; condition is unknown and removal will be at buyer’s expense. This property is being sold AS IS and will require cleanup, repairs, and vision. Ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project with upside. Cash or renovation financing recommended. Bring your tools, imagination, and plans—this is a true fixer-upper with potential.

Key facts

  • 2-car carport
  • Covered parking
  • Spacious lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTMULTIPLE OUTBUILDINGSCOVERED PARKING2-CAR CARPORT40X60 METAL CARPORT10X12 METAL STORAGE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#948 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Coahoma ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #649 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 266 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Howard County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.47%
Cash-on-cash
11.35%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$953
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$32,319
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79720

Active inventory
266
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,706 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,714/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$384

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,220
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $466 -5% $425 +0% $384 +5% $343 +10% $302
Rent -10% $249 -5% $316 +0% $384 +5% $451 +10% $519
Rate -1.0pp $457 -0.5pp $421 base $384 +0.5pp $346 +1.0pp $308

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $145,000 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $145,000 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 135 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 134 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 133 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 132 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-01-19
    listed $145,000 Active 1037-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1037 chars)

    Investor & Handyman Special – AS-IS Sale Opportunity awaits at 201 Pine Road, Big Spring, TX. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom double-wide offers approximately 1,125 square feet and sits on a spacious lot with multiple outbuildings and covered parking—perfect for those who can see the potential beyond the current condition. The property includes a 2-car carport, an additional approximately 40x60 metal carport with concrete pad, a 10x12 metal storage building with roll-up door, and an additional 8x10 storage building. The lot is partially fenced, though fencing will require repairs. A single-wide trailer was previously pulled under the larger carport; condition is unknown and removal will be at buyer’s expense. This property is being sold AS IS and will require cleanup, repairs, and vision. Ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project with upside. Cash or renovation financing recommended. Bring your tools, imagination, and plans—this is a true fixer-upper with potential.

  16. 2025-10-20
    soldstatus
  17. 2022-06-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,714 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,654 · $221/mo
Expected delta
+$940/yr (+$78/mo · 54.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,468
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,714
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,637
− Management
−$1,637
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$2,414
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$579
After-tax cash flow
$4,027/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coahoma ISD
NCES district ID
4814490
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$49,651
Composite
24.9/100
National rank
#7579
State rank
#649 of 826 in TX

Livability — Big Spring

Score
62/100
State rank
#948
US rank
#16886

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Howard County · 29,936 people
City population
29,936
Metro
Big Spring, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,936
Household income
$68,785
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
638.0

Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,396 people
By 2030
46,792 · +7.8%
By 2040
54,096 · +24.7%
By 2050
61,707 · +42.2%
By 2075
79,809 · +83.9%
By 2100
87,385 · +101.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% White 45% Two or more races 17% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 28%

Political lean MEDSL · Howard

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.2% · R 81.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.6pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -62.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.4 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+46.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -207.13%
Current HPI
140.8159
Rent YoY
Metro
Big Spring, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-10-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-06-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,714 · +20.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…