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66 W Balcom St
B- Composite 65.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$189,900

66 W Balcom St · Buffalo, NY 14209
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,611 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 1830 6,300 sqft lot Est $277k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Must see the inside of this totally renovated home. Interior Updates include gorgeous remodeled extra large 29x16 eat in kitchen with recessed lighting, cathedral ceilings, new cabinetry & countertop. Updated bathroom featuring tile floor/new vanity/fixtures & recessed lighting. Gorgeous new hardwood floors on first floor and new wall to wall berber carpet upstairs. Interior has been freshly painted in neutral colors. Exterior features covered patio, carport for covered parking, extra wide lot, nice yard and rear deck. New vinyl replacement windows, glass block in basement and solid mechanics

Key facts

  • French doors
  • Vaulted ceilings
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

VAULTED CEILINGSHARDWOOD FLOORSUNIQUE ARCHITECTURAL DETAILSWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEFRENCH DOORSSOAPSTONE COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no garage)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story existing home; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
  • Construction: Composite siding; Architectural, flat, and shingle roof types; Stone foundation; Built as existing (year built details listed as existing)
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Sunroom/Florida room; Fully fenced yard; Blacktop driveway; Shed(s) and storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Eat-in layout; Solid surface counters; Gas oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 8 total rooms including living, den, sitting room, sunroom, bonus room, Florida room (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Varies by room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Cathedral ceilings; Den; Eat-in kitchen; Separate formal living room; Country-style kitchen; Kitchen island; Solid surface counters
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,924/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $76k; list at $190k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1830 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $189,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1830 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.61%
Cash-on-cash
4.69%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$277,092
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
170 Oxford Ave 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,538 (-4%) 17mo $316,000 $205 68
187 Chester St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,456 (-10%) 1mo $99,000 $68 66
188 Waverly St 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,541 (-4%) 15mo $264,000 $171 63
164 Harvard Pl 0.33mi 3/2.5 1,700 (+6%) 8mo $344,000 $202 62
146 Waverly St 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,456 (-10%) 8mo $250,000 $172 60
273 Purdy St 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (-6%) 6mo $90,000 $59 57
654 Auburn Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,592 (-1%) 18mo $285,000 $179 55
131 Woodlawn Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,514 (-6%) 21mo $240,000 $159 52
15 Blaine Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,615 (+0%) 19mo $290,000 $180 46
16 Cleveburn Pl 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,827 (+13%) 1mo $530,000 $290 42
218 Glenwood Ave 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,461 (-9%) 24mo $247,000 $169 39
144 Northampton St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,801 (+12%) 9mo $44,500 $25 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.86% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$35,127
Equity at exit
$73,494
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$140,088
Equity at exit
$104,761

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14209

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,924 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$208

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,661
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
238 Oxford Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 23d 1 0.27mi
1786 Main St Unit 104 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1256 $1,875 $1.49 43d 1 0.36mi
1786 Main St Unit 103 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.5 1110 $1,677 $1.51 43d 1 0.36mi
76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 14d 1 0.39mi
75 Inwood Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1175 $1,550 $1.32 43d 1 0.51mi
685 Auburn Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 14d 1 0.52mi
685 Auburn Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 44d 1 0.52mi
102 Florida St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,650 $1.27 43d 1 0.52mi
740 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2000 $1,995 $1.00 14d 1 0.63mi
825 Forest Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 3d 1 0.70mi
825 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 23d 1 0.70mi
569 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 11d 1 0.71mi
117 Bidwell Pkwy Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1192 $1,500 $1.26 3d 1 0.71mi
888 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 899 $2,440 $2.71 23d 1 0.78mi
305 W Utica St Unit B302 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1180 $2,060 $1.75 14d 1 0.80mi
451 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1633 $3,305 $2.02 43d 1 0.84mi
217 Norwood Ave Apt 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1500 $2,700 $1.80 43d 1 0.91mi
2 Agassiz Cir Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1076 $2,150 $2.00 23d 1 0.95mi
117 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1105 $2,300 $2.08 43d 1 0.95mi
107 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1172 $1,995 $1.70 43d 1 0.95mi
121 Humboldt Pkwy Unit B Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1265 $1,750 $1.38 43d 1 0.95mi
478 Breckenridge St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,575 $1.43 43d 1 0.96mi
330 Bryant St Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 2224 $2,200 $0.99 20d 1 0.96mi
179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 3d 1 0.98mi
118 Ashland Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1326 $1,850 $1.40 14d 1 0.99mi
836 Richmond Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.5 1982 $4,500 $2.27 43d 1 1.00mi
40 Putnam St Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1600 $2,100 $1.31 23d 1 1.00mi
184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1496 $3,226 $2.16 14d 1 1.01mi
891 Richmond Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1176 $1,800 $1.53 43d 1 1.04mi
563 Humboldt Pkwy Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2004 $1,200 $0.60 23d 1 1.07mi
460 Rhode Island St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1089 $1,500 $1.38 14d 1 1.08mi
19 North St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 1306 $2,910 $2.23 10d 7 1.10mi
37 Abbottsford Pl Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1130 $1,650 $1.46 43d 1 1.12mi
40 North St Unit 306 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.5 1125 $1,950 $1.73 43d 1 1.14mi
374 Baynes St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1126 $1,550 $1.38 43d 1 1.15mi
102 17th St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1086 $1,290 $1.19 23d 1 1.17mi
340 Bird Ave #202 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.5 1505 $2,950 $1.96 10d 1 1.21mi
161 16th St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,000 $1.33 23d 1 1.22mi
375 Hampshire St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 1.22mi
309 Bird Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 43d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 687-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $189,900 Active 7 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,090
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$2,848
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,847
− Management
−$1,847
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$564
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$135
After-tax cash flow
$2,628/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
8,313
Household income
$50,046
Rent vs Own
66.3% rent · 33.7% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.86%
Current HPI
443.9414
Rent YoY
▲ 8.53%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+137.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $189,900 WNYREIS
  • 2012-05-11 Sold (MLS) $76,000 WNYREIS
  • 2012-03-25 Listed $79,900 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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