1117 N Madison St · Thomasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
First time home buyer/ Investor Special!! 3bed/1bath. This home with utilities on, and with a little work is ready to go. Plenty of living space with the home offering 1608 sqft. 0.72 acre Lot with good visibility and high traffic. Zoned C-1. Residential Development in progress in the surrounding area. Call your favorite realtor today for more information.
Key facts
- 0.72 acre lot
- Built 1890
- Listed 38 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-level / single story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.7% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#77 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, commute F.
- Thomasville City (town): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #87 of 174 in GA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 213 units permitted in Thomas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Thomas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.76%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,078
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -12.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 828-A Young St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (-2%) | 10mo | $339,000 | $215 | 63 |
| 828 B N Young St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (+1%) | 16mo | $366,000 | $226 | 60 |
| 1008 N Young St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,480 (-8%) | 1mo | $248,000 | $168 | 51 |
| 419 N Crawford St | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,735 (+8%) | 4mo | $317,000 | $183 | 44 |
| 1007 N Young St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,492 (-7%) | 19mo | $144,900 | $97 | 44 |
| 140 Forrest St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,725 (+7%) | 21mo | $157,000 | $91 | 41 |
| 419 E Clay St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-2%) | 20mo | $308,500 | $197 | 41 |
| 429 E Calhoun St | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,775 (+10%) | 5mo | $10,000 | $6 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-293
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $30,742
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31792
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,789 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $480 | -5% $428 | +0% $377 | +5% $325 | +10% $273 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $235 | -5% $306 | +0% $377 | +5% $447 | +10% $518 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $452 | -0.5pp $415 | base $377 | +0.5pp $338 | +1.0pp $298 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 E Monroe St Unit 1 Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 100 Pine St Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1216 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 306 Brighton St Thomasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$150,000 Active 358-char remark
-
2015-04-30soldstatus $200,000
-
2011-05-05soldstatus $65,000
-
2005-05-01soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,717
- − Management
- −$1,717
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $2,266
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$544
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,976/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thomasville City
- NCES district ID
- 1304950
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,040
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #7106
- State rank
- #87 of 174 in GA
Livability — Thomasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #6678
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomasville, GA
- County
- Thomas County · 22,962 people
- City population
- 22,962
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,962
- Household income
- $50,460
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Thomas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,303 people
- By 2030
- 45,052 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 44,034 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 42,310 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 37,569 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 30,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 47% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Thomas
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.17%
- Current HPI
- 228.0107
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+733.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $150,000 TABRMLS
- 2015-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2011-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2005-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $258 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…