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123 Hardwick Ln
B Composite 70.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$888,000

123 Hardwick Ln · Emerald Isle, NC 28570
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,672 sqft · Other public records · 45 Days on market
Built 2017 0.28 ac lot $146/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Two suites on the main floor is the first amazing feature to note of this incredible house on a peaceful cul-de-sac in the sought-after Cannonsgate community. This 4 bed, 4 bath home has an open concept that is elegant and inviting and filled with upgrades throughout. Upstairs, there are two additional bedrooms, a loft, and separate flex space that makes for a great office, reading room, or art studio. Extend your living space to the outdoors with the large front porch, or BBQ on the back deck and enjoy watching all the nature that shares the trees behind the house. When you are not relaxing at home, enjoy the gorgeous neighborhood clubhouse and pool, get in a game of tennis or pickleball, shoot some hoops, enjoy the playground and pier, and don't forget to launch your boat down the private boat ramp and marina to enjoy all that Bogue Sound has to offer. Sellers have a VA assumable loan, call listing agent for details.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Community pool; Association amenities: basketball court, clubhouse, gated entry, playground, RV/boat storage, tennis courts, sport court

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (garage faces front) — 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Natural gas connected; Generator for electric
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels (2-story); Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Fiber cement and frame construction; Metal and shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with a generator
  • Exterior features: Boat slip; Covered patio/deck; Front porch; Cul-de-sac lot; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas cooktop; Built-in gas oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located on the first floor
  • Flooring: Tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Accessible full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating with heat pump
  • Interior features: Primary suite on main level; Walk-in closet(s); Tray ceilings; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Ceiling fan(s); Pantry; Shutters and window coverings; Gas-log fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $888k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($77k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $888k).
  • Recommended offer: $861k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 0.1% in Emerald Isle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#401 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bogue Sound Elementary (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B, #168 of 1,410 statewide, top 12%, 467 students, 99% FRL); Broad Creek Middle (math 63% / reading 68%, grade A-, #28 of 475 statewide, top 6%, 710 students, 100% FRL); Croatan High (math 82% / reading 78%, grade A, #73 of 535 statewide, top 13%, 974 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 39% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $14,890/mo this rent would consume 254% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $249k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($861k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $759k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $861,360 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
14.97%
Cash-on-cash
30.98%
DSCR
2.38
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$264,645
Equity at exit
$132,404
10-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
4.04×
Total profit
$755,780
Equity at exit
$76,778

Cash invested: $248,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28570

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$14,890 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,657
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,064/yr
Insurance
$370
HOA
$146
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,127
Net cashflow
$6,419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,766
Max offer price $888,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$222,000
Closing costs
$26,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$146 · $1,752/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $888,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $888,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $888,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $888,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $888,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $888,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $888,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $888,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $888,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $888,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $888,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $888,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $888,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $888,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $888,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $888,000 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    listed $888,000 Active
  18. 2024-06-17
    soldstatus $759,000 Closed 932-char remark
    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    Two suites on the main floor is the first amazing feature to note of this incredible house on a peaceful cul-de-sac in the sought-after Cannonsgate community. This 4 bed, 4 bath home has an open concept that is elegant and inviting and filled with upgrades throughout. Upstairs, there are two additional bedrooms, a loft, and separate flex space that makes for a great office, reading room, or art studio. Extend your living space to the outdoors with the large front porch, or BBQ on the back deck and enjoy watching all the nature that shares the trees behind the house. When you are not relaxing at home, enjoy the gorgeous neighborhood clubhouse and pool, get in a game of tennis or pickleball, shoot some hoops, enjoy the playground and pier, and don't forget to launch your boat down the private boat ramp and marina to enjoy all that Bogue Sound has to offer. Sellers have a VA assumable loan, call listing agent for details.

  19. 2024-06-17
    soldstatus $759,000
    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    Two suites on the main floor is the first amazing feature to note of this incredible house on a peaceful cul-de-sac in the sought-after Cannonsgate community. This 4 bed, 4 bath home has an open concept that is elegant and inviting and filled with upgrades throughout. Upstairs, there are two additional bedrooms, a loft, and separate flex space that makes for a great office, reading room, or art studio. Extend your living space to the outdoors with the large front porch, or BBQ on the back deck and enjoy watching all the nature that shares the trees behind the house. When you are not relaxing at home, enjoy the gorgeous neighborhood clubhouse and pool, get in a game of tennis or pickleball, shoot some hoops, enjoy the playground and pier, and don't forget to launch your boat down the private boat ramp and marina to enjoy all that Bogue Sound has to offer. Sellers have a VA assumable loan, call listing agent for details.

  20. 2024-03-31
    status Pending 932-char remark
    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    Two suites on the main floor is the first amazing feature to note of this incredible house on a peaceful cul-de-sac in the sought-after Cannonsgate community. This 4 bed, 4 bath home has an open concept that is elegant and inviting and filled with upgrades throughout. Upstairs, there are two additional bedrooms, a loft, and separate flex space that makes for a great office, reading room, or art studio. Extend your living space to the outdoors with the large front porch, or BBQ on the back deck and enjoy watching all the nature that shares the trees behind the house. When you are not relaxing at home, enjoy the gorgeous neighborhood clubhouse and pool, get in a game of tennis or pickleball, shoot some hoops, enjoy the playground and pier, and don't forget to launch your boat down the private boat ramp and marina to enjoy all that Bogue Sound has to offer. Sellers have a VA assumable loan, call listing agent for details.

  21. 2024-03-28
    historical $759,000 932-char remark
    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    Two suites on the main floor is the first amazing feature to note of this incredible house on a peaceful cul-de-sac in the sought-after Cannonsgate community. This 4 bed, 4 bath home has an open concept that is elegant and inviting and filled with upgrades throughout. Upstairs, there are two additional bedrooms, a loft, and separate flex space that makes for a great office, reading room, or art studio. Extend your living space to the outdoors with the large front porch, or BBQ on the back deck and enjoy watching all the nature that shares the trees behind the house. When you are not relaxing at home, enjoy the gorgeous neighborhood clubhouse and pool, get in a game of tennis or pickleball, shoot some hoops, enjoy the playground and pier, and don't forget to launch your boat down the private boat ramp and marina to enjoy all that Bogue Sound has to offer. Sellers have a VA assumable loan, call listing agent for details.

  22. 2017-09-27
    soldstatus $362,100
  23. 2017-09-26
    soldstatus $361,525 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Presale of ''The Magnolia'' plan. Phenomenal open floor layout with 2 bedrooms downstairs, 2 upstairs, den & loft. PICTURE IS OF SIMILAR CONSTRUCTION. Price/Plans/Details subject to change w/ o notice. Sqft taken from plans.

  24. 2017-03-29
    soldstatus $30,000
  25. 2017-02-21
    listed $359,500 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Presale of ''The Magnolia'' plan. Phenomenal open floor layout with 2 bedrooms downstairs, 2 upstairs, den & loft. PICTURE IS OF SIMILAR CONSTRUCTION. Price/Plans/Details subject to change w/ o notice. Sqft taken from plans.

  26. 2016-04-26
    listed $34,900
  27. 2010-08-18
    soldstatus $23,500
  28. 2010-07-06
    listed $25,000
  29. 2010-02-28
    historical
  30. 2010-01-22
    soldstatus $168,000
  31. 2009-07-21
    listed $155,000
  32. 2009-04-30
    historical
  33. 2007-10-17
    listed $155,000
  34. 2007-01-09
    historical
  35. 2006-01-09
    listed $230,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,064 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,282 · $607/mo
Expected delta
+$5,217/yr (+$435/mo · 252.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$178,684
− Mortgage interest
−$49,742
− Property taxes
−$2,064
− Insurance
−$4,440
− Repairs & maintenance
−$14,295
− Management
−$14,295
− HOA
−$1,752
− Depreciation
−$25,833
Taxable income
$66,264
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$15,903
After-tax cash flow
$61,119/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carteret County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3700630
Math proficiency
59% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$48,330
Composite
50.92/100
National rank
#1786
State rank
#31 of 178 in NC

Livability — Emerald Isle

Score
63/100
State rank
#401
US rank
#15298

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Carteret County · 52,389 people
Metro
Morehead City, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,197
Household income
$70,229
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
461.0

Population outlook (Carteret County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,443 people
By 2030
75,344 · +2.6%
By 2040
78,142 · +6.4%
By 2050
80,091 · +9.1%
By 2075
86,120 · +17.3%
By 2100
89,408 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carteret

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.0% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -34.7pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.54%
Current HPI
276.6589
Rent YoY
Metro
Morehead City, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+285.2% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $888,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $759,000 Public Records
  • 2024-06-17 Sold (MLS) $759,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-03-31 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2024-03-28 Coming Soon $759,000 Hive MLS
  • 2017-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $362,100 Public Records
  • 2017-09-26 Sold (MLS) $361,525 Hive MLS
  • 2017-03-29 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Hive MLS
  • 2017-02-21 Listed $359,500 Hive MLS
  • 2016-04-26 Listed $34,900 Hive MLS
  • 2010-08-18 Sold (MLS) $23,500 Hive MLS
  • 2010-07-06 Listed $25,000 Hive MLS
  • 2010-02-28 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2010-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $168,000 Public Records
  • 2009-07-21 Listed $155,000 Hive MLS
  • 2009-04-30 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2007-10-17 Listed $155,000 Hive MLS
  • 2007-01-09 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2006-01-09 Listed $230,500 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+51.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,064 · +28.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…