3 Tearose Ln · Middle River, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready! This beautifully updated home features an open living concept with a beautiful kitchen, high ceilings, and central A/C for year-round comfort. Enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms, closet space, and 2 full bathrooms, plus an in-unit washer and dryer for added convenience. The private driveway fits 2+ vehicles, and the home sits directly across from a park—perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor fun. Photos don’t do it justice; you truly have to see this one in person! Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Beautiful kitchen
- Private driveway
- Open living concept
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.6% vs local median 4.1% in Middle River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#76 in MD, #2,777 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 251 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 79.80%
- DSCR
- 4.55
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $76,578
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- 4.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3204 Jonquil Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,900 (+12%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $58 | 68 |
| 11513 Eastern Ave | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,635 (-4%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $208 | 55 |
| 9 Creek Side Ct | 0.59mi | 3/3.0 | 1,900 (+12%) | 15mo | $435,000 | $229 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.41×
- Total profit
- $76,420
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 80.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.46×
- Total profit
- $167,156
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21220
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,585 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$543
- Net cashflow
- $1,490
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11550 Crossroads Cir Middle River, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $2,849 | $3.19 | 1d | 15 | 0.98mi |
| 985 Morgan Run Rd Middle River, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2200 | $3,100 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 10018 Sandy Run Rd Middle River, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1970 | $3,050 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1006 Windlass Glen Rd Middle River, MD | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1940 | $3,150 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 520 Holly Hunt Rd Middle River, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1508 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6221 Greenleigh Ave Middle River, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1059 | $2,957 | $2.79 | 1d | 16 | 1.31mi |
| 1 Alder Dr Middle River, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,249 | $2.25 | 4d | 10 | 1.35mi |
| 37 Alberge Ln Middle River, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $2,052 | $2.21 | 1d | 8 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Move-in ready! This beautifully updated home features an open living concept with a beautiful kitchen, high ceilings, and central A/C for year-round comfort. Enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms, closet space, and 2 full bathrooms, plus an in-unit washer and dryer for added convenience. The private driveway fits 2+ vehicles, and the home sits directly across from a park—perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor fun. Photos don’t do it justice; you truly have to see this one in person! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-05price $80,000 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Move-in ready! This beautifully updated home features an open living concept with a beautiful kitchen, high ceilings, and central A/C for year-round comfort. Enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms, closet space, and 2 full bathrooms, plus an in-unit washer and dryer for added convenience. The private driveway fits 2+ vehicles, and the home sits directly across from a park—perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor fun. Photos don’t do it justice; you truly have to see this one in person! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-09price $85,000 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Move-in ready! This beautifully updated home features an open living concept with a beautiful kitchen, high ceilings, and central A/C for year-round comfort. Enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms, closet space, and 2 full bathrooms, plus an in-unit washer and dryer for added convenience. The private driveway fits 2+ vehicles, and the home sits directly across from a park—perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor fun. Photos don’t do it justice; you truly have to see this one in person! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-03status Active 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Move-in ready! This beautifully updated home features an open living concept with a beautiful kitchen, high ceilings, and central A/C for year-round comfort. Enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms, closet space, and 2 full bathrooms, plus an in-unit washer and dryer for added convenience. The private driveway fits 2+ vehicles, and the home sits directly across from a park—perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor fun. Photos don’t do it justice; you truly have to see this one in person! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-25status Pending 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Move-in ready! This beautifully updated home features an open living concept with a beautiful kitchen, high ceilings, and central A/C for year-round comfort. Enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms, closet space, and 2 full bathrooms, plus an in-unit washer and dryer for added convenience. The private driveway fits 2+ vehicles, and the home sits directly across from a park—perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor fun. Photos don’t do it justice; you truly have to see this one in person! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-17price $90,000 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Move-in ready! This beautifully updated home features an open living concept with a beautiful kitchen, high ceilings, and central A/C for year-round comfort. Enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms, closet space, and 2 full bathrooms, plus an in-unit washer and dryer for added convenience. The private driveway fits 2+ vehicles, and the home sits directly across from a park—perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor fun. Photos don’t do it justice; you truly have to see this one in person! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-06price $100,000 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Move-in ready! This beautifully updated home features an open living concept with a beautiful kitchen, high ceilings, and central A/C for year-round comfort. Enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms, closet space, and 2 full bathrooms, plus an in-unit washer and dryer for added convenience. The private driveway fits 2+ vehicles, and the home sits directly across from a park—perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor fun. Photos don’t do it justice; you truly have to see this one in person! Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-12-15price $110,000 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Move-in ready! This beautifully updated home features an open living concept with a beautiful kitchen, high ceilings, and central A/C for year-round comfort. Enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms, closet space, and 2 full bathrooms, plus an in-unit washer and dryer for added convenience. The private driveway fits 2+ vehicles, and the home sits directly across from a park—perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor fun. Photos don’t do it justice; you truly have to see this one in person! Schedule your showing today!
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2025-11-13$120,000 Active 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Move-in ready! This beautifully updated home features an open living concept with a beautiful kitchen, high ceilings, and central A/C for year-round comfort. Enjoy 3 spacious bedrooms, closet space, and 2 full bathrooms, plus an in-unit washer and dryer for added convenience. The private driveway fits 2+ vehicles, and the home sits directly across from a park—perfect for kids, pets, and outdoor fun. Photos don’t do it justice; you truly have to see this one in person! Schedule your showing today!
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2025-09-24historical
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2025-09-20price $59,500
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2025-09-02$69,750 Active
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2025-09-01historical
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2025-09-01historical
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2025-08-05$69,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,482
- − Management
- −$2,482
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $17,652
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,236
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,638/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This move-in ready home features updated interiors and a fresh exterior, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and can add value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and can add value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Middle River
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #2777
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middle River, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 42,824
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,824
- Household income
- $81,817
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1921.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 27% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Ukrainian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.31%
- Current HPI
- 254.5597
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.83%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+15.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-24 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-20 Price Changed $59,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-02 Listed $69,750 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-01 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed $69,500 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…