35439 Marshall Hutt Unit A-7 · La Tina Ranch, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy waterfront living in this 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo in Rio Hondo on the beautiful Arroyo Colorado. Relax on the screened-in balcony overlooking the water and take advantage of the common boat dock, fishing pier, and fish cleaning station—perfect for anglers and boating enthusiasts. Most furnishings convey, making this a move-in-ready opportunity. Patio furniture, grill, framed artwork, and cow skull do not convey.
Key facts
- Fishing pier
- Common boat dock
- Screened-in balcony
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $179k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-215 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (17.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,488 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools F, crime F.
- Los Fresnos CISD (suburban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #444 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.15%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $44,451
- Equity at exit
- $119,114
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.81×
- Total profit
- $140,600
- Equity at exit
- $221,935
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78583
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$400
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $-215
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-91 | -5% $-153 | +0% $-215 | +5% $-277 | +10% $-339 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-357 | -5% $-286 | +0% $-215 | +5% $-144 | +10% $-73 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-125 | -0.5pp $-170 | base $-215 | +0.5pp $-261 | +1.0pp $-309 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35439 Marshall Hutts Rd Unit A6 Rio Hondo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,800 | $1.72 | 15d | 1 | 0.07mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $400 · $4,800/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 27 events
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2026-06-21days on market $179,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $179,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $179,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $179,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $179,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-02-20$179,000 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Enjoy waterfront living in this 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo in Rio Hondo on the beautiful Arroyo Colorado. Relax on the screened-in balcony overlooking the water and take advantage of the common boat dock, fishing pier, and fish cleaning station—perfect for anglers and boating enthusiasts. Most furnishings convey, making this a move-in-ready opportunity. Patio furniture, grill, framed artwork, and cow skull do not convey.
-
2023-11-16soldstatus Closed 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
Winter Texan and Fisherman Delight! This charming 2 bed/2 bath condo is located waterfront of the Arroyo River, boat slip used as first come/first serve basis; sold fully furnished. Tile flooring throughout with spacious carpeted bedrooms and closet space with open concept kitchen/dining/living room; assigned storage outside. No Short-Term Rentals Allowed. Famous Chili Willie's Bar & Grill conveniently located across the street.
-
2023-11-02historical Active Under Contract 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
Winter Texan and Fisherman Delight! This charming 2 bed/2 bath condo is located waterfront of the Arroyo River, boat slip used as first come/first serve basis; sold fully furnished. Tile flooring throughout with spacious carpeted bedrooms and closet space with open concept kitchen/dining/living room; assigned storage outside. No Short-Term Rentals Allowed. Famous Chili Willie's Bar & Grill conveniently located across the street.
-
2023-10-11price $185,000 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
Winter Texan and Fisherman Delight! This charming 2 bed/2 bath condo is located waterfront of the Arroyo River, boat slip used as first come/first serve basis; sold fully furnished. Tile flooring throughout with spacious carpeted bedrooms and closet space with open concept kitchen/dining/living room; assigned storage outside. No Short-Term Rentals Allowed. Famous Chili Willie's Bar & Grill conveniently located across the street.
-
2023-08-29status Active 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
Winter Texan and Fisherman Delight! This charming 2 bed/2 bath condo is located waterfront of the Arroyo River, boat slip used as first come/first serve basis; sold fully furnished. Tile flooring throughout with spacious carpeted bedrooms and closet space with open concept kitchen/dining/living room; assigned storage outside. No Short-Term Rentals Allowed. Famous Chili Willie's Bar & Grill conveniently located across the street.
-
2023-08-20historical 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
Winter Texan and Fisherman Delight! This charming 2 bed/2 bath condo is located waterfront of the Arroyo River, boat slip used as first come/first serve basis; sold fully furnished. Tile flooring throughout with spacious carpeted bedrooms and closet space with open concept kitchen/dining/living room; assigned storage outside. No Short-Term Rentals Allowed. Famous Chili Willie's Bar & Grill conveniently located across the street.
-
2023-04-27$195,000 Active 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
Winter Texan and Fisherman Delight! This charming 2 bed/2 bath condo is located waterfront of the Arroyo River, boat slip used as first come/first serve basis; sold fully furnished. Tile flooring throughout with spacious carpeted bedrooms and closet space with open concept kitchen/dining/living room; assigned storage outside. No Short-Term Rentals Allowed. Famous Chili Willie's Bar & Grill conveniently located across the street.
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2023-03-27soldstatus Closed
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2022-11-30price $184,000
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2022-11-09$189,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$2,685
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − HOA
- −$4,800
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$5,470
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,313
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed. It offers a waterfront view and is move-in ready.
Repairs flagged
- Minor ceiling fan — light fixture is loose
- Minor ceiling — some discoloration
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace ceiling fan — new fan improves air circulation and adds modern look
- Both repair kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| ceiling fan · light fixture is loose | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| ceiling · some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen cabinets · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace ceiling fan — new fan improves air circulation and adds modern look ↑
- Both repair kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Fresnos CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828290
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,586
- Composite
- 32.92/100
- National rank
- #5601
- State rank
- #444 of 826 in TX
Livability — La Tina Ranch
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #1488
- US rank
- #25484
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,472
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 84% Two or more races 48% White 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 81%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Portuguese 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 37% English-only · Spanish 63%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.58%
- Current HPI
- 199.084
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-5.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Listed $179,000 SPIBOR
- 2023-11-16 Sold (MLS) — SPIBOR
- 2023-11-02 Contingent — SPIBOR
- 2023-10-11 Price Changed $185,000 SPIBOR
- 2023-08-29 Relisted — SPIBOR
- 2023-08-20 Delisted — SPIBOR
- 2023-04-27 Listed $195,000 SPIBOR
- 2023-03-27 Sold (MLS) — RGVMLS
- 2022-11-30 Price Changed $184,000 RGVMLS
- 2022-11-09 Listed $189,000 RGVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…