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15371 Heyden St
B Composite 74.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

15371 Heyden St · Detroit, MI 48223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,132 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1949 4,792 sqft lot Est $98k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful tenanted property in a prime area of Detroit. Wonderful block and close to grocers and shopping. Purchaser to pay listing broker a $495 transaction fee at closing. BATVAI. Rented at 1150.

Key facts

  • Tenanted property
  • Close to grocers
  • Prime area

Tags

TENANTED PROPERTYPRIME AREACLOSE TO GROCERSCLOSE TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and a half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Brick/Mortar foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 40 x 115 (0.11 acre)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 49% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 12 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
14.59%
Cash-on-cash
29.63%
DSCR
2.32
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$98,484
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15452 Stout St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,110 (-2%) 8mo $152,000 $137 85
15518 Kentfield St 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,092 (-4%) 4mo $165,500 $152 82
15776 Evergreen Rd 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,122 (-1%) 4mo $60,000 $53 82
15836 Patton St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,122 (-1%) 6mo $42,500 $38 77
15754 Evergreen Rd 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,091 (-4%) 9mo $67,000 $61 74
15751 Vaughan St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,244 (+10%) 2mo $110,000 $88 69
16122 Trinity St 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,152 (+2%) 4mo $169,900 $147 60
15776 Vaughan St 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,255 (+11%) 9mo $165,000 $131 60
15907 Blackstone St 0.62mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,097 (-3%) 9mo $95,000 $87 53
19400 Lyndon St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,169 (+3%) 9mo $70,000 $60 51
14387 Auburn St 0.72mi 3/1.0 971 (-14%) 3mo $42,000 $43 40
19431 Lyndon St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 990 (-12%) 7mo $36,500 $37 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$20,904
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
32.0%
Equity multiple
3.90×
Total profit
$60,856
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48223

Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,336 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$519

Break-even live

Break-even rent $680
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,400 $1.56 43d 1 0.06mi
15712 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,400 $1.09 14d 1 0.20mi
15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,396 $1.55 16d 1 0.21mi
15712 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 43d 1 0.23mi
15340 Braile St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 883 $1,000 $1.13 4d 1 0.24mi
15815 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,300 $0.96 43d 1 0.32mi
15829 Minock St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 24d 1 0.41mi
16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 14d 1 0.52mi
14541 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 797 $1,300 $1.63 16d 1 0.55mi
19431 Lyndon St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 43d 1 0.70mi
14258 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 918 $1,200 $1.31 43d 1 0.79mi
14347 Westwood St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 706 $1,200 $1.70 24d 1 0.80mi
16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1101 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 0.82mi
14177 Bentler St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 43d 1 1.06mi
16823 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 17d 1 1.07mi
16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 43d 1 1.09mi
17238 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 43d 1 1.17mi
17255 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,450 $0.97 11d 1 1.19mi
22241 Lyndon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,100 $1.15 16d 1 1.20mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $838 $1.20 24d 2 1.22mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 2 1.22mi
17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 16d 1 1.24mi
13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,200 $1.41 43d 1 1.24mi
15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,325 $1.46 4d 1 1.24mi
14716 Archdale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 1.26mi
17624 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,695 $1.35 43d 1 1.32mi
19050 W Davison St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1118 $1,400 $1.25 43d 1 1.36mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 16d 1 1.40mi
13514 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 1.41mi
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 16d 1 1.43mi
13591 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 43d 1 1.44mi
18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 917 $1,100 $1.20 24d 1 1.45mi
15065 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 1.45mi
12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $1,050 $1.43 43d 1 1.46mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 24d 1 1.46mi
17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 1.47mi
12950 Glastonbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 1.48mi
18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 728 $1,250 $1.72 24d 1 1.48mi
13581 Penrod St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1152 $1,200 $1.04 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $75,000 Pending 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-05-27
    listed $75,000 Active
  8. 2026-05-26
    listed $75,000 Active 197-char remark
    Show marketing remark (197 chars)

    Beautiful tenanted property in a prime area of Detroit. Wonderful block and close to grocers and shopping. Purchaser to pay listing broker a $495 transaction fee at closing. BATVAI. Rented at 1150.

  9. 2018-09-04
    soldstatus $79,500
  10. 2017-10-31
    soldstatus $30,200 Sold 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Solid brick 3 bed bungalow. Formal dining room, fireplace, nice fenced yard, deck, security lights and partially finished basement. SOLID home!!!

  11. 2017-10-04
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Solid brick 3 bed bungalow. Formal dining room, fireplace, nice fenced yard, deck, security lights and partially finished basement. SOLID home!!!

  12. 2017-10-04
    status Pending 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Solid brick 3 bed bungalow. Formal dining room, fireplace, nice fenced yard, deck, security lights and partially finished basement. SOLID home!!!

  13. 2017-09-08
    listed $30,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Solid brick 3 bed bungalow. Formal dining room, fireplace, nice fenced yard, deck, security lights and partially finished basement. SOLID home!!!

  14. 2017-09-08
    listed $30,000 Active 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Solid brick 3 bed bungalow. Formal dining room, fireplace, nice fenced yard, deck, security lights and partially finished basement. SOLID home!!!

  15. 2008-06-23
    historical
  16. 2008-05-23
    listed $15,400
  17. 2008-05-14
    historical
  18. 2008-01-24
    listed $35,000
  19. 2007-12-31
    historical
  20. 2007-12-31
    historical
  21. 2007-06-20
    listed $84,900
  22. 2007-06-19
    listed $84,900
  23. 2007-06-13
    historical
  24. 2007-03-01
    historical
  25. 2007-03-01
    historical
  26. 2006-09-30
    listed $114,000
  27. 2006-09-21
    listed $95,000
  28. 2006-09-21
    listed $114,000
  29. 1999-12-29
    soldstatus $51,000
  30. 1999-08-23
    soldstatus $51,000
  31. 1998-06-01
    listed $58,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,350 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,350 · $113/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,034
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,283
− Management
−$1,283
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,361
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,287
After-tax cash flow
$4,936/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,622
Household income
$44,512
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
1151.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -303.41%
Current HPI
138.2779
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.3% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $79,500 Public Records
  • 2017-10-31 Sold (MLS) $30,200 REALCOMP
  • 2017-10-04 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-10-04 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2017-09-08 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-09-08 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-06-23 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-05-23 Listed $15,400 REALCOMP
  • 2008-05-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-01-24 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-12-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-12-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-20 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-19 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-06-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-03-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-03-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-09-30 Listed $114,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-09-21 Listed $114,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-09-21 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 1999-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 1999-08-23 Sold (MLS) $51,000 REALCOMP
  • 1998-06-01 Listed $58,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,350 · -54.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…