15371 Heyden St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful tenanted property in a prime area of Detroit. Wonderful block and close to grocers and shopping. Purchaser to pay listing broker a $495 transaction fee at closing. BATVAI. Rented at 1150.
Key facts
- Tenanted property
- Close to grocers
- Prime area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and a half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
- Construction: Brick/Mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 40 x 115 (0.11 acre)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Six total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 49% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.63%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $98,484
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15452 Stout St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,110 (-2%) | 8mo | $152,000 | $137 | 85 |
| 15518 Kentfield St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (-4%) | 4mo | $165,500 | $152 | 82 |
| 15776 Evergreen Rd | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (-1%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $53 | 82 |
| 15836 Patton St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (-1%) | 6mo | $42,500 | $38 | 77 |
| 15754 Evergreen Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,091 (-4%) | 9mo | $67,000 | $61 | 74 |
| 15751 Vaughan St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,244 (+10%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $88 | 69 |
| 16122 Trinity St | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,152 (+2%) | 4mo | $169,900 | $147 | 60 |
| 15776 Vaughan St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,255 (+11%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $131 | 60 |
| 15907 Blackstone St | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,097 (-3%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $87 | 53 |
| 19400 Lyndon St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,169 (+3%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $60 | 51 |
| 14387 Auburn St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 971 (-14%) | 3mo | $42,000 | $43 | 40 |
| 19431 Lyndon St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 990 (-12%) | 7mo | $36,500 | $37 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $20,904
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.90×
- Total profit
- $60,856
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48223
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,336 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $519
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 15712 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,396 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 15712 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15340 Braile St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 15815 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 15829 Minock St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 14541 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,300 | $1.63 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 19431 Lyndon St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 14258 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,200 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 14347 Westwood St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,200 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1101 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 14177 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 16823 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 17238 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 17255 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 22241 Lyndon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $838 | $1.20 | 24d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 43d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,325 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 14716 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 17624 Patton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,695 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 19050 W Davison St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 13514 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,394 | $1.34 | 16d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 13591 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 15065 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 18205 Stout St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,078 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 12950 Glastonbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 13581 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $75,000 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$75,000 Active
-
2026-05-26$75,000 Active 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Beautiful tenanted property in a prime area of Detroit. Wonderful block and close to grocers and shopping. Purchaser to pay listing broker a $495 transaction fee at closing. BATVAI. Rented at 1150.
-
2018-09-04soldstatus $79,500
-
2017-10-31soldstatus $30,200 Sold 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Solid brick 3 bed bungalow. Formal dining room, fireplace, nice fenced yard, deck, security lights and partially finished basement. SOLID home!!!
-
2017-10-04status Pending
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Solid brick 3 bed bungalow. Formal dining room, fireplace, nice fenced yard, deck, security lights and partially finished basement. SOLID home!!!
-
2017-10-04status Pending 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Solid brick 3 bed bungalow. Formal dining room, fireplace, nice fenced yard, deck, security lights and partially finished basement. SOLID home!!!
-
2017-09-08$30,000 Active
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Solid brick 3 bed bungalow. Formal dining room, fireplace, nice fenced yard, deck, security lights and partially finished basement. SOLID home!!!
-
2017-09-08$30,000 Active 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Solid brick 3 bed bungalow. Formal dining room, fireplace, nice fenced yard, deck, security lights and partially finished basement. SOLID home!!!
-
2008-06-23historical
-
2008-05-23$15,400
-
2008-05-14historical
-
2008-01-24$35,000
-
2007-12-31historical
-
2007-12-31historical
-
2007-06-20$84,900
-
2007-06-19$84,900
-
2007-06-13historical
-
2007-03-01historical
-
2007-03-01historical
-
2006-09-30$114,000
-
2006-09-21$95,000
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2006-09-21$114,000
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1999-12-29soldstatus $51,000
-
1999-08-23soldstatus $51,000
-
1998-06-01$58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,350 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,350 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,034
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,283
- − Management
- −$1,283
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $5,361
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,287
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,936/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,622
- Household income
- $44,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1151.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.41%
- Current HPI
- 138.2779
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+29.3% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $79,500 Public Records
- 2017-10-31 Sold (MLS) $30,200 REALCOMP
- 2017-10-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-10-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-09-08 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-09-08 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-06-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-05-23 Listed $15,400 REALCOMP
- 2008-05-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-01-24 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-12-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-06-20 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-06-19 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-06-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-03-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-03-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-09-30 Listed $114,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-09-21 Listed $114,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-09-21 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1999-08-23 Sold (MLS) $51,000 REALCOMP
- 1998-06-01 Listed $58,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,350 · -54.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…