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51XPS16442BH2MH Plan
D+ Composite 47.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$33,500

51XPS16442BH2MH Plan · Peoria, AZ 85304
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 704 sqft · Manufactured · 55 Days on market
Good condition $48/sqft · at area comps Est $35k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Casa del Sol Resort East III a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a updated 2021 2 bed, 1 bath home for sale featuring 704.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Peoria, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find an open-concept floor plan, hardwood floors, and natural light, . The kitchen boasts has just been updated and has all the appliances that come with it and new cabinetry. , perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious bathroom come complete with dual vanities, and a new shower. , wh

Key facts

  • Dual vanities
  • New shower
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANHARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED KITCHENNEW CABINETRYDUAL VANITIESNEW SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $34,500

Exterior

  • Home design: Plan: 51XPS16442BH2MH; New construction plan
  • Exterior features: Address: 10960 N 67th Ave, Glendale AZ 85304

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Living area approximately 704

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $34k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $919 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $34k).
  • Recommended offer: $32k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 39.2% vs local median 3.3% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#14 in AZ, #3,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D, health & safety F.
  • Peoria Unified School District (4237) (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #64 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $232 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $32,495 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.35%
Cap rate
39.19%
Cash-on-cash
117.51%
DSCR
6.23
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$34,620
List price
$33,500
Delta
-3.24%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10960 N 67th Ave #233 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 672 (-4%) 1mo $14,000 $21 87
10960 N 67th Ave #118 0.01mi 1/1.0 (-1) 760 (+8%) 4mo $45,000 $59 78
10960 N 67th Ave #174 0.11mi 1/1.0 (-1) 738 (+5%) 5mo $12,000 $16 78
10960 N 67th Ave #6 0.00mi 2/2.0 792 (+12%) 1mo $45,000 $57 74
6960 W Peoria Ave #2 0.33mi 2/2.0 728 (+3%) 8mo $46,000 $63 69
10960 N 67th Ave Unit 103-2 0.01mi 2/2.0 792 (+12%) 12mo $32,000 $40 65
10960 N 67th Ave #189 0.00mi 2/2.0 792 (+12%) 15mo $48,700 $61 63
10960 N 67th Ave #10 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 792 (+12%) 20mo $42,000 $53 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.21×
Total profit
$48,828
Equity at exit
$4,995
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.82×
Total profit
$101,449
Equity at exit
$2,896

Cash invested: $9,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85304

Rents YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,456 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$176
Tax est. 1.5%
$42 /mo · $502/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$919

Break-even live

Break-even rent $293
Max offer price $33,500
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,375
Closing costs
$1,005
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6960 W Peoria Ave #90 Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 704 $1,320 $1.88 24d 1 0.40mi
10654 N 60th Ave Glendale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 732 $1,475 $2.01 2d 27 0.79mi
9350 N 67th Ave Unit A1 Glendale, AZ 1.0 1.0 600 $990 $1.65 24d 1 1.07mi
6201 W Olive Ave Unit A4 Glendale, AZ 1.0 1.0 585 $875 $1.50 1d 1 1.43mi
6201 W Olive Ave Unit A2 Glendale, AZ 1.0 1.0 456 $825 $1.81 1d 1 1.43mi
6201 W Olive Ave Unit A3 Glendale, AZ 1.0 1.0 554 $820 $1.48 1d 1 1.43mi
6201 W Olive Ave Glendale, AZ 1.0 1.0 585 $960 $1.64 1d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $33,500 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $33,500 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $33,500 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $33,500 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $33,500 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $33,500 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $33,500 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $33,500 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $33,500 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $33,500 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $33,500 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $33,500 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $33,500 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $33,500 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    price $33,500 1497-char remark
  16. 2026-04-24
    listed $34,500 Active 1497-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥112°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,469
− Mortgage interest
−$1,877
− Property taxes
−$502
− Insurance
−$168
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,397
− Management
−$1,397
− Depreciation
−$975
Taxable income
$11,153
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,677
After-tax cash flow
$8,345/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 55+ age-qualified home in Peoria, AZ is in good condition with recent updates to the kitchen and bathroom. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for cosmetic improvements to boost its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria Unified School District (4237)
NCES district ID
0406250
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$60,171
Composite
34.62/100
National rank
#5152
State rank
#64 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Peoria

Score
76/100
State rank
#14
US rank
#3603

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A Cost of living C- Crime B Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
206,687
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
29,861
Household income
$86,927
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
640.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 16% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.68%
Current HPI
310.0679
Rent YoY
▼ -1.30%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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