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1C Sparrow St 🏢 Co-op
B- Composite 65.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

1C Sparrow St · Cedar Glen West, NJ 08759
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 970 sqft · SingleFamily · 44 Days on market
55+ age-restricted Built 1970 Good condition $470/mo HOA ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Cedar Glen West, a peaceful 55+ co-op community offering comfort, convenience, and carefree living. This freshly painted 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features a BRAND NEW AIR CONDITION UNIT BRAND NEW HEATING SYSTEM AND BRAND NEW WATER HEATER NEWER ROOF and NEWER CUSTOM WINDOWS. Beautiful Hardwood floors throughout, Newly paved driveway. Enjoy a serene lifestyle just minutes from swimming lakes with lifeguards and a short drive to Atlantic City. The monthly HOA fee includes property taxes, water, sewer, trash, lawn maintenance, snow removal, furnace and hot water heater repairs, roof maintenance, and gutter cleaning--providing true worry-free living.

Key facts

  • Newer custom windows
  • Newly paved driveway
  • Newer roof

Tags

BRAND NEW AIR CONDITION UNITBRAND NEW HEATING SYSTEMBRAND NEW WATER HEATERNEWER ROOFNEWER CUSTOM WINDOWSNEWLY PAVED DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏢 Co-op / cooperative unit. The $69,000 price buys shares in the cooperative corporation, not the real estate itself — so it isn't comparable to a fee-simple sale price, and the cashflow / cap-rate / 1%-rule cards below (which assume you own the property and can rent it out) don't apply here. Expect board approval and a monthly maintenance fee on top of the price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#366 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Manchester Township School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #320 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Manchester Township Elementary School (math 22% / reading 46%, grade F, #642 of 1,303 statewide, top 50%, 514 students, 45% FRL); Manchester Township Middle School (math 28% / reading 45%, grade F, #226 of 431 statewide, top 55%, 582 students, 41% FRL); Manchester Township High School (math 21% / reading 38%, grade F, #290 of 399 statewide, top 74%, 959 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 23% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 1083 active listings in the ZIP; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.51%
Cap rate
13.60%
Cash-on-cash
26.08%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$97,006
List price
$69,000
Delta
-28.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4 Flamingo Ter Unit A 0.09mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 8mo $45,000 $46 90
12 Heron St Unit D 0.13mi 1/1.0 980 (+1%) 4mo $120,000 $122 89
5 Blue Jay St Unit A 0.12mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 6mo $53,000 $55 89
17 Heron St Unit D 0.12mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 7mo $55,000 $57 88
16 B Dove St 0.21mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 4mo $73,000 $75 87
1 B W Lake Dr 0.28mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 1mo $56,000 $58 86
18 Dove St Unit A 0.21mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 9mo $69,900 $72 83
6 Dove St Unit D 0.30mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 6mo $80,000 $82 81
22 C Robin St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (+1) 970 (0%) 6mo $158,000 $163 79
6 C Swallow St 0.27mi 2/1.0 (+1) 970 (0%) 5mo $110,000 $113 78
9 D Dove St Unit D 0.30mi 2/1.0 (+1) 970 (0%) 9mo $57,500 $59 74
13B Pheasant St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (+13%) 3mo $95,500 $87 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$15,879
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
3.56×
Total profit
$49,545
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
21 active · 3 under contract
Months of supply
18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$89,999 ($93/sqft)
Median days on market
107 d
This list price
10% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+7.8% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 08759

Active inventory
1083
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,730 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$470
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,199
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $468 -5% $444 +0% $420 +5% $396 +10% $372
Rent -10% $283 -5% $352 +0% $420 +5% $488 +10% $557
Rate -1.0pp $455 -0.5pp $437 base $420 +0.5pp $402 +1.0pp $384

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Association: Cedar Glen WestMonthly association fee of $470Association covers trash, common areas, lawn maintenance, sewer, snow removal and waterCommunity amenities include clubhouse, community room, bocci court, and landscaping; no pool

Exterior

Parking
No garage
Utilities
Septic tank
Home design
Cooperative ownershipQuad model
Construction
Shingle roof
Exterior features
Timberline shingle roof

Interior

Kitchen
Gas cooking
Bedrooms
1 bedroom
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom
Heating & cooling
Hot water heatingBaseboard heatingElectric coolingOther cooling
Interior features
Washer and dryer includedGas cooking includedNo fireplaces
Laundry & utility
Washer and dryer

HOA detail $470/mo · $5,640/yr

Likely covers
watersewertrashsnow removalroof

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $69,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $69,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $69,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $69,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $69,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $69,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $69,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $69,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $69,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-09-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 23 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 21 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $69,000 Active 19 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $69,000 Active 18 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $69,000 Active 17 DOM
  21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $69,000 Active 16 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $69,000 Active 15 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $69,000 Active 14 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $69,000 Active 13 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $69,000 Active 12 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $69,000 Active 11 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $69,000 Active 10 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $69,000 Active 9 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 8 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 7 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 6 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 5 DOM
  33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 4 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 3 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $69,000 Active 2 DOM
  36. 2026-08-10
    pricedays on marketlisting id $69,000 Active 1 DOM
  37. 2025-11-27
    listed $83,000 Active 762-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,761
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,661
− Management
−$1,661
− HOA
−$5,640
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$4,547
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,091
After-tax cash flow
$3,948/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,850–$14,550 screening

This 1-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cedar Glen West is in good condition with recent updates and a peaceful community setting.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale update landscaping — improves curb appeal
  • Both install new windows — increases natural light and energy efficiency

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 33/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Manchester Township Elementary School F NJ #642/1,303 Nat'l #24,299/41,679 Middle Manchester Township Middle School F NJ #226/431 Nat'l #7,065/14,009 High Manchester Township High School F NJ #290/399 Nat'l #11,215/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manchester Township School District
NCES district ID
3409450
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,905
Composite
28.8/100
National rank
#6662
State rank
#320 of 472 in NJ
C Composite livability gradescore 66/100

Livability — Cedar Glen West

Score
66/100
State rank
#366
US rank
#12309

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cedar Glen West, NJ
County
Ocean · 586,991 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ
Population (ZIP)
34,290
Household income
$55,000
Rent vs Own
12.1% rent · 87.9% own
Severe rent burden
11% of renters

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-16.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-08-10 Listed $69,000 MOMLS
  • 2025-11-27 Listed $83,000 MOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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