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1C Sparrow St 🏢 Co-op
B+ Composite 75.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$83,000

1C Sparrow St · Cedar Glen West, NJ 08759
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 970 sqft · SingleFamily · 180 Days on market
Built 1970 Good condition $470/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Cedar Glen West, a peaceful 55+ co-op community offering comfort, convenience, and carefree living. This freshly painted 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features a BRAND NEW AIR CONDITION UNIT BRAND NEW HEATING SYSTEM AND BRAND NEW WATER HEATER beautiful hardwood floors throughout, Updated Windows and a newly paved driveway. Enjoy a serene lifestyle just minutes from swimming lakes with lifeguards and a short drive to Atlantic City. The monthly HOA fee includes property taxes, water, sewer, trash, lawn maintenance, snow removal, furnace and hot water heater repairs, roof maintenance, and gutter cleaning--providing true worry-free living. A community bus offers easy transportation to nearby shopping centers. Buyer must be approved by Cedar Glen West.

Key facts

  • Swimming lakes
  • Newly paved driveway
  • Updated windows

Tags

CO-OP COMMUNITYHARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED WINDOWSNEWLY PAVED DRIVEWAYSWIMMING LAKES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏢 Co-op / cooperative unit. The $83,000 price buys shares in the cooperative corporation, not the real estate itself — so it isn't comparable to a fee-simple sale price, and the cashflow / cap-rate / 1%-rule cards below (which assume you own the property and can rent it out) don't apply here. Expect board approval and a monthly maintenance fee on top of the price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $83k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.8% in Cedar Glen West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#366 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Manchester Township School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #320 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 648 active listings in the ZIP; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $574 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.05%
Cap rate
10.60%
Cash-on-cash
15.37%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$95,227
List price
$83,000
Delta
-12.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4 Flamingo Ter Unit A 0.09mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 5mo $45,000 $46 92
12 Heron St Unit D 0.13mi 1/1.0 980 (+1%) 1mo $120,000 $122 91
5 Blue Jay St Unit A 0.12mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 3mo $53,000 $55 91
17 Heron St Unit D 0.12mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 4mo $55,000 $57 91
16 B Dove St 0.21mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 0mo $73,000 $75 90
18 Dove St Unit A 0.21mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 6mo $69,900 $72 86
6 Dove St Unit D 0.30mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 3mo $80,000 $82 84
22 C Robin St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (+1) 970 (0%) 3mo $158,000 $163 81
12A Robin St Unit A 0.29mi 1/1.0 970 (0%) 6mo $109,900 $113 81
6 C Swallow St 0.27mi 2/1.0 (+1) 970 (0%) 2mo $110,000 $113 80
9 D Dove St Unit D 0.30mi 2/1.0 (+1) 970 (0%) 6mo $57,500 $59 76
2C Dove St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (+1) 970 (0%) 6mo $78,000 $80 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$5,828
Equity at exit
$12,376
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$30,771
Equity at exit
$7,176

Cash invested: $23,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08759

Active inventory
648
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,698 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$435
Tax est. 1.5%
$104 /mo · $1,245/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$470
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,321
Max offer price $83,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,750
Closing costs
$2,490
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$470 · $5,640/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashsnow removalroof

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2025-11-27
    listed $83,000 Active 762-char remark
    Show marketing remark (762 chars)

    Welcome to Cedar Glen West, a peaceful 55+ co-op community offering comfort, convenience, and carefree living. This freshly painted 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features a BRAND NEW AIR CONDITION UNIT BRAND NEW HEATING SYSTEM AND BRAND NEW WATER HEATER beautiful hardwood floors throughout, Updated Windows and a newly paved driveway. Enjoy a serene lifestyle just minutes from swimming lakes with lifeguards and a short drive to Atlantic City. The monthly HOA fee includes property taxes, water, sewer, trash, lawn maintenance, snow removal, furnace and hot water heater repairs, roof maintenance, and gutter cleaning--providing true worry-free living. A community bus offers easy transportation to nearby shopping centers. Buyer must be approved by Cedar Glen West.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,375
− Mortgage interest
−$4,649
− Property taxes
−$1,245
− Insurance
−$415
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,630
− Management
−$1,630
− HOA
−$5,640
− Depreciation
−$2,415
Taxable income
$2,751
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$660
After-tax cash flow
$2,913/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 1-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cedar Glen West is in good condition with recent updates and a peaceful community setting.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale update landscaping — improves curb appeal
  • Both install new windows — increases natural light and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale update landscaping — improves curb appeal
  • Both install new windows — increases natural light and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manchester Township School District
NCES district ID
3409450
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,905
Composite
28.8/100
National rank
#6662
State rank
#320 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Cedar Glen West

Score
66/100
State rank
#366
US rank
#12309

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cedar Glen West, NJ
Population (ZIP)
34,290

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -347.85%
Current HPI
274.4679
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-11-27 Listed $83,000 MOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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