3505 Lexee Dr · Jonesboro, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Are you a Long-Term Planner or Investor? This 3 Bed, 2 Bath, 2 car garage house has a New HVAC and LVP flooring! It is Tenant occupied until October 31, 2026. There is a fenced in back yard. Appliances convey. Seller would like to sell AS-IS and is offering a $3500 Seller Credit in lieu of any repairs. Contact your favorite realtor to see inside!
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2005
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($706/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (14.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Nettleton School District (urban): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #199 of 238 in AR (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Nettleton Junior High School (math 21% / reading 31%, grade F, #159 of 201 statewide, top 80%, 546 students, 100% FRL); Nettleton High School (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #248 of 292 statewide, top 86%, 981 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 56% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 309 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.33%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $193,615
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -1.87%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3712 Lexee Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,687 (+3%) | 6mo | $203,000 | $120 | 80 |
| 4730 Lonoke Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,623 (-1%) | 1mo | $231,700 | $143 | 79 |
| 4716 Copley Dr | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,613 (-1%) | 6mo | $208,000 | $129 | 73 |
| 4724 Copley Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,613 (-1%) | 6mo | $215,650 | $134 | 72 |
| 4733 Bosworth St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,699 (+4%) | 5mo | $204,785 | $121 | 70 |
| 4728 Revere St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (-12%) | 4mo | $196,500 | $136 | 64 |
| 4712 Copley Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (-12%) | 5mo | $199,250 | $138 | 63 |
| 4708 Copley Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,496 (-8%) | 6mo | $209,700 | $140 | 62 |
| 3829 Keeneland Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,609 (-2%) | 6mo | $182,000 | $113 | 60 |
| 4732 Copley Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,852 (+13%) | 5mo | $229,075 | $124 | 52 |
| 3825 Keeneland Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,491 (-9%) | 5mo | $197,500 | $132 | 48 |
| 3808 Churchill Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,514 (-7%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $125 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-30,676
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-36,151
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72404
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 309
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,621 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,755/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $59
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $166 | -5% $113 | +0% $59 | +5% $5 | +10% $-49 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-69 | -5% $-5 | +0% $59 | +5% $123 | +10% $187 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $155 | -0.5pp $107 | base $59 | +0.5pp $10 | +1.0pp $-40 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4619 Jeri Cv Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3840 Travers Ln Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $1,525 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3817 Keeneland Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3809 Travers Ln Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $1,550 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3717 Glitterman Dr Jonesboro, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,595 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3622 Hargis Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,495 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3719 Stadium Blvd Unit J10 Jonesboro, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,144 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3719 Stadium Blvd Unit E20 Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,294 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6 Willow Creek Ln Jonesboro, AR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,458 | $1.58 | 45d | 24 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $190,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $190,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $190,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $190,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $190,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $190,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-31status Active 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Are you a Long-Term Planner or Investor? This 3 Bed, 2 Bath, 2 car garage house has a New HVAC and LVP flooring! It is Tenant occupied until October 31, 2026. There is a fenced in back yard. Appliances convey. Seller would like to sell AS-IS and is offering a $3500 Seller Credit in lieu of any repairs. Contact your favorite realtor to see inside!
-
2026-03-18historical 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Are you a Long-Term Planner or Investor? This 3 Bed, 2 Bath, 2 car garage house has a New HVAC and LVP flooring! It is Tenant occupied until October 31, 2026. There is a fenced in back yard. Appliances convey. Seller would like to sell AS-IS and is offering a $3500 Seller Credit in lieu of any repairs. Contact your favorite realtor to see inside!
-
2026-03-03$190,000 Active 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Are you a Long-Term Planner or Investor? This 3 Bed, 2 Bath, 2 car garage house has a New HVAC and LVP flooring! It is Tenant occupied until October 31, 2026. There is a fenced in back yard. Appliances convey. Seller would like to sell AS-IS and is offering a $3500 Seller Credit in lieu of any repairs. Contact your favorite realtor to see inside!
-
2024-10-17historical $1,495
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2024-10-07$1,495
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2024-01-11soldstatus $160,000 Closed 703-char remark
Show marketing remark (703 chars)
Welcome to this hidden gem nestled in the heart of Jonesboro! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity for those seeking a project to transform a house into their dream home. Located in a peaceful neighborhood, this property combines convenience with potential, making it a fantastic investment. Investors, DIY enthusiasts, and those with a vision will appreciate the potential this house holds. Bring your creativity and turn this property into a masterpiece that reflects your lifestyle. Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to own a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom house with the chance to add your personal touch. Schedule a viewing today and unlock the hidden potential within!
-
2023-11-06price $182,500 703-char remark
Show marketing remark (703 chars)
Welcome to this hidden gem nestled in the heart of Jonesboro! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity for those seeking a project to transform a house into their dream home. Located in a peaceful neighborhood, this property combines convenience with potential, making it a fantastic investment. Investors, DIY enthusiasts, and those with a vision will appreciate the potential this house holds. Bring your creativity and turn this property into a masterpiece that reflects your lifestyle. Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to own a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom house with the chance to add your personal touch. Schedule a viewing today and unlock the hidden potential within!
-
2023-08-24$192,500 Active 703-char remark
Show marketing remark (703 chars)
Welcome to this hidden gem nestled in the heart of Jonesboro! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity for those seeking a project to transform a house into their dream home. Located in a peaceful neighborhood, this property combines convenience with potential, making it a fantastic investment. Investors, DIY enthusiasts, and those with a vision will appreciate the potential this house holds. Bring your creativity and turn this property into a masterpiece that reflects your lifestyle. Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to own a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom house with the chance to add your personal touch. Schedule a viewing today and unlock the hidden potential within!
-
2005-10-04soldstatus $115,000
-
2004-12-07soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,755 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,755 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,453
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,755
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,556
- − Management
- −$1,556
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$2,535
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$608
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nettleton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0510440
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,754
- Composite
- 19.0/100
- National rank
- #8846
- State rank
- #199 of 238 in AR
Livability — Jonesboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #12692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jonesboro, AR
- County
- Craighead County · 97,185 people
- City population
- 91,245
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,968
- Household income
- $70,269
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 869.0
Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,235 people
- By 2030
- 131,338 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 149,862 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 168,034 · +37.5%
- By 2075
- 208,094 · +70.2%
- By 2100
- 233,251 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 18% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Craighead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.22%
- Current HPI
- 208.3772
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.74%
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+850.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Relisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2026-03-18 Delisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $190,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2024-10-17 Rental Removed $1,495 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-10-07 Listed for Rent $1,495 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-01-11 Sold (MLS) $160,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2023-11-06 Price Changed $182,500 NEABOR MLS
- 2023-08-24 Listed $192,500 NEABOR MLS
- 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,755 · +77.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…