129 Karen Dr · Williamstown, NJ
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Must see to appreciate! Beautifully maintained Split Level on beautiful wooded lot boasting In-Law Suite with private entrance. In-Law Suite includes Bed/Lrg Bath/Kitchen/Bonus room. Main Home offers a large Family Room with Brick Fireplace, large Living Room, Formal Dining Room, Eat-In Kitchen and so much more. Main Level bathrooms are beautifully remodeled, and the upper level offers newer hardwood flooring throughtout. Outside you'll enjoy a large deck, shed on a concrete slab, a fenced in yard and so much more! Pool table, gym equipment, and appliances are negotiable. Be sure not to miss this one!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1980
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: Fee simple; Not in a federal flood zone; Property condition listed as below average
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway; Driveway parking with 4 spaces total
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal trash service; Hot water: natural gas
- Home design: Detached structure; Pitched asphalt shingle roof; Entry level bedroom present; Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 135
- Construction: Frame construction with aluminum siding and stucco; Foundation: block, crawl space and slab; Shed on property; Built year reported by assessor
- Exterior features: Deck(s); Exterior lighting; Gutter system; Sidewalks; Street lights; Chain link, wood, and privacy fencing; Front and rear yards with landscaping; Level, private lot with trees/wooded
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas and electric range/oven; Refrigerator; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast area; Upgraded countertops
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level; One bedroom on lower level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Ceramic tile; Wood floors
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms total; One half bathroom total; Two full baths on main level; One full and one half bath on lower level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Second kitchen; Attic; Tub and stall showers; Ceiling fans; Dining area with formal separate dining room; Traditional floor plan; Eat-in kitchen and breakfast area; Pantry; Master bath(s); Upgraded countertops; Recessed lighting; Walk-in closet(s); Chair railings; Entry level bedroom; Kitchen efficiency
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located on lower floor; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $315k).
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.9% in Williamstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#289 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Radix Elementary (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #471 of 1,303 statewide, top 39%, 619 students, 30% FRL); Williamstown Middle School (math 18% / reading 43%, grade F, #303 of 431 statewide, top 72%, 1,819 students, 30% FRL); Williamstown High School (math 21% / reading 50%, grade F, #234 of 399 statewide, top 59%, 1,782 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $185k; list at $315k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.33%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $570,966
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260 Staggerbush Rd | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 | 2,652 (-2%) | 22mo | $575,000 | $217 | 54 |
| 1686 Carriage Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,393 (-12%) | 2mo | $600,000 | $251 | 49 |
| 1417 Cranleigh Ln | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 | 2,507 (-7%) | 18mo | $530,000 | $211 | 47 |
| 1669 Bracken Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,617 (-3%) | 12mo | $650,000 | $248 | 46 |
| 209 Mimosa Ct | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 | 2,528 (-7%) | 20mo | $430,000 | $170 | 45 |
| 1778 Carriage Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 2,916 (+8%) | 14mo | $525,000 | $180 | 43 |
| 1740 Black Oak Rd | 0.29mi | 4/1.5 | 2,356 (-13%) | 24mo | $279,999 | $119 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-44,575
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-29,791
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08094
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,292 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$720 /mo · $8,639/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$691
- Net cashflow
- $98
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $276 | -5% $187 | +0% $98 | +5% $8 | +10% $-81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-162 | -5% $-32 | +0% $98 | +5% $228 | +10% $358 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $256 | -0.5pp $178 | base $98 | +0.5pp $16 | +1.0pp $-67 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1884 Forest Dr Williamstown, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2308 | $3,050 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2238 S Black Horse Pike Unit A Williamstown, NJ | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1999 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 913 Hampton Way Williamstown, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2012 | $2,750 | $1.37 | 0d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-16status $315,000 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04status $315,000 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $315,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $315,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-23$315,000 Active
-
2026-05-20historical $315,000
-
2011-09-12soldstatus $185,000
-
2011-07-26soldstatus $185,000 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (614 chars)
Must see to appreciate! Beautifully maintained Split Level on beautiful wooded lot boasting In-Law Suite with private entrance. In-Law Suite includes Bed/Lrg Bath/Kitchen/Bonus room. Main Home offers a large Family Room with Brick Fireplace, large Living Room,Formal Dining Room, Eat-In Kitchen and so much more. Main Level bathrooms are beautifully remodeled, and the upper level offers newer hardwood flooring throughtout. Outside you'll enjoy a large deck, shed on a concrete slab, a fenced in yard and so much more! Pool table, gym equipment, and appliances are negotiable. Be sure not to miss this one!
-
2011-07-26soldstatus $185,000 614-char remark
Show marketing remark (614 chars)
Must see to appreciate! Beautifully maintained Split Level on beautiful wooded lot boasting In-Law Suite with private entrance. In-Law Suite includes Bed/Lrg Bath/Kitchen/Bonus room. Main Home offers a large Family Room with Brick Fireplace, large Living Room,Formal Dining Room, Eat-In Kitchen and so much more. Main Level bathrooms are beautifully remodeled, and the upper level offers newer hardwood flooring throughtout. Outside you'll enjoy a large deck, shed on a concrete slab, a fenced in yard and so much more! Pool table, gym equipment, and appliances are negotiable. Be sure not to miss this one!
-
2011-06-20historical 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Must see to appreciate! Beautifully maintained Split Level on beautiful wooded lot boasting In-Law Suite with private entrance. In-Law Suite includes Bed/Lrg Bath/Kitchen/Bonus room. Main Home offers a large Family Room with Brick Fireplace, large Living Room, Formal Dining Room, Eat-In Kitchen and so much more. Main Level bathrooms are beautifully remodeled, and the upper level offers newer hardwood flooring throughtout. Outside you'll enjoy a large deck, shed on a concrete slab, a fenced in yard and so much more! Pool table, gym equipment, and appliances are negotiable. Be sure not to miss this one!
-
2011-05-10$185,000 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (614 chars)
Must see to appreciate! Beautifully maintained Split Level on beautiful wooded lot boasting In-Law Suite with private entrance. In-Law Suite includes Bed/Lrg Bath/Kitchen/Bonus room. Main Home offers a large Family Room with Brick Fireplace, large Living Room,Formal Dining Room, Eat-In Kitchen and so much more. Main Level bathrooms are beautifully remodeled, and the upper level offers newer hardwood flooring throughtout. Outside you'll enjoy a large deck, shed on a concrete slab, a fenced in yard and so much more! Pool table, gym equipment, and appliances are negotiable. Be sure not to miss this one!
-
2011-05-10$185,000 614-char remark
Show marketing remark (614 chars)
Must see to appreciate! Beautifully maintained Split Level on beautiful wooded lot boasting In-Law Suite with private entrance. In-Law Suite includes Bed/Lrg Bath/Kitchen/Bonus room. Main Home offers a large Family Room with Brick Fireplace, large Living Room,Formal Dining Room, Eat-In Kitchen and so much more. Main Level bathrooms are beautifully remodeled, and the upper level offers newer hardwood flooring throughtout. Outside you'll enjoy a large deck, shed on a concrete slab, a fenced in yard and so much more! Pool table, gym equipment, and appliances are negotiable. Be sure not to miss this one!
-
2011-05-09historical
-
2010-11-09$199,000
-
1994-09-06soldstatus $134,900
-
1979-08-01soldstatus $60,790
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,639 · $720/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,639 · $720/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$8,639
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,160
- − Management
- −$3,160
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$3,839
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$921
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,093/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe Township Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3410470
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,557
- Composite
- 30.24/100
- National rank
- #6295
- State rank
- #302 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Williamstown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #8603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gloucester County · 160,422 people
- City population
- 41,595
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,595
- Household income
- $96,699
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -213.12%
- Current HPI
- 278.3849
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+418.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-20 Coming Soon $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2011-07-26 Sold (MLS) $185,000 TREND
- 2011-07-26 Sold (MLS) $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-06-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-05-10 Listed $185,000 TREND
- 2011-05-10 Listed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-05-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-11-09 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $134,900 Public Records
- 1979-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,790 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $8,639 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…