1119 N 4th Ave E · Newton, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits with this affordable Newton fixer-upper offering solid potential for an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to build sweat equity. This home features original wood flooring, updated wood kitchen cabinets, and a furnace replaced approximately 2 years ago. The property does need cosmetic updates and repairs, including paint, roof attention on the side garage, and bathroom/plumbing improvements, but offers a good starting point for someone ready to make it their own. Convenient location with easy access to local amenities, schools, and shopping. Property is being sold in as-is condition.
Key facts
- Furnace replaced
- Convenient location
- 6,633 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached two-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Concrete road access; Lot dimensions approximately 67 x 99
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Tile flooring; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.1% in Newton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#169 in IA, #3,069 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Newton Community School District (town): math 59% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #245 of 289 in IA (top 85%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Berg Middle School (math 55% / reading 61%, grade B, #195 of 246 statewide, top 79%, 841 students, 55% FRL); Newton Senior High School (math 60% / reading 62%, grade C+, #258 of 336 statewide, top 78%, 818 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 242 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.47%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1112 N 8th Ave E | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (+2%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $172 | 82 |
| 201 E 13th St N | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (+2%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $153 | 82 |
| 1421 N 4th Ave E | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 812 (+2%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $185 | 80 |
| 806 E 12th St N | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 792 (-1%) | 6mo | $157,000 | $198 | 79 |
| 2 Bungalow Ct | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (+2%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $74 | 75 |
| 1326 Crescent Dr | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 858 (+7%) | 2mo | $92,000 | $107 | 72 |
| 1108 N 6th Ave E | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 720 (-10%) | 1mo | $134,500 | $187 | 70 |
| 711 E 14th St N | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 864 (+8%) | 1mo | $187,000 | $216 | 68 |
| 314 E 14th St N | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-10%) | 7mo | $148,000 | $206 | 62 |
| 924 E 9th St N | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 873 (+9%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $246 | 55 |
| 709 E 9th St S | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 704 (-12%) | 2mo | $145,900 | $207 | 43 |
| 431 S 6th Ave E | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 882 (+10%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $79 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $1,883
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $20,818
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50208
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,008 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,326/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $233
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $278 | -5% $255 | +0% $233 | +5% $210 | +10% $187 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $153 | -5% $193 | +0% $233 | +5% $273 | +10% $312 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $273 | -0.5pp $253 | base $233 | +0.5pp $212 | +1.0pp $191 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 E 7 1/2 St N Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,200 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 701 N 2nd Ave E Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $875 | $0.80 | 15d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1026 E 12th St N Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $725 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 500 E 17th St S Unit 22 Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 500 E 17th St S Unit 28 Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 723 E 6th St S Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $775 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 320 W 3rd St N Unit 112 Newton, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 845 | $1,295 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 602 E 2nd St S Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 603 E 22nd St S Newton, IA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,725 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 220 E 28th St N Newton, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 877 | $945 | $1.08 | 15d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 1800 W 4th St N Newton, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $970 | $1.22 | 15d | 7 | 1.21mi |
| 2305 E 19th St N Newton, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,044 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1798 W 4th St N Newton, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 15d | 4 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-22$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,326 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,326 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,093
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,326
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$967
- − Management
- −$967
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,624
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$390
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,404/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1920610
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,447
- Composite
- 51.15/100
- National rank
- #1762
- State rank
- #245 of 289 in IA
Livability — Newton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #169
- US rank
- #3069
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newton, IA
- County
- Jasper County · 20,595 people
- City population
- 20,595
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,595
- Household income
- $62,306
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 536.0
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,216 people
- By 2030
- 35,730 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 34,727 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 33,802 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 33,382 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 32,761 · -9.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.6) · D 35.4% · R 63.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -27.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.6 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+18.4 2012: D+7.1 2008: D+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.48%
- Current HPI
- 269.6454
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $80,000 DMMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,326 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…