924 Chitwood St · Alma, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brick home nestled on a quiet street with curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home features 1,133 square feet of living space and sits on a spacious 130x70 lot with well-maintained landscaping. Inside, you’ll find a functional layout designed for everyday living, while outside, the fully fenced backyard provides privacy and plenty of room for pets, play, or entertaining. The property also includes a versatile workshop with a lean-to—perfect for hobbies, storage, or projects—as well as a storm shelter for added peace of mind. Additional highlights include an attached carport, durable metal roof, and a classic brick exterior for low-maintenance living. Convenie
Key facts
- Durable metal roof
- Attached carport
- Storm shelter
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered parking space; Concrete parking surface
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; House; City lot; Paved public road
- Construction: Brick construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built as a single-story house
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Back yard fencing; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Range; Range hood
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Electric water heater; Range; Range hood
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (7.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.2% in Alma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#223 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Alma School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #111 of 238 in AR (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Alma Primary School (701 students, 47% FRL); Alma Middle School (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #81 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 716 students, 44% FRL); Alma High School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #128 of 292 statewide, top 44%, 1,003 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crawford County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.78%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,585
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- 30.54%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1032 Harris Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,110 (-2%) | 15mo | $135,000 | $122 | 79 |
| 1008 Harris Dr | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,133 (0%) | 23mo | $88,000 | $78 | 76 |
| 1211 Harris Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+10%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $168 | 68 |
| 254 Main St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,213 (+7%) | 5mo | $146,000 | $120 | 68 |
| 1429 Seals St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,227 (+8%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $118 | 64 |
| 405 Mulberry St | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,068 (-6%) | 14mo | $59,000 | $55 | 64 |
| 1322 Harris Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-9%) | 9mo | $101,000 | $97 | 62 |
| 519 London St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (-6%) | 14mo | $24,200 | $23 | 61 |
| 1403 Seals St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,055 (-7%) | 12mo | $40,700 | $39 | 60 |
| 1025 Henry St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 968 (-15%) | 11mo | $44,000 | $45 | 50 |
| 1204 Airport Rd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+15%) | 18mo | $225,000 | $173 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-9,949
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,487
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72921
- Home prices YoY
- -5.6%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $440/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $249 | -5% $212 | +0% $175 | +5% $139 | +10% $102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $81 | -5% $128 | +0% $175 | +5% $223 | +10% $270 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $241 | -0.5pp $209 | base $175 | +0.5pp $142 | +1.0pp $108 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1216 Seals St Alma, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2021 Plum Creek Ln Unit A Alma, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2100 Ingalls Ln Apt C Alma, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2124 Ingalls Ln Apt C Alma, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-23$130,000 Active 799-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $440 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $832 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$392/yr (+$33/mo · 89.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$440
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$57
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$14
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,119/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alma School District
- NCES district ID
- 0502250
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,566
- Composite
- 30.34/100
- National rank
- #6264
- State rank
- #111 of 238 in AR
Livability — Alma
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #223
- US rank
- #17089
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alma, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,827
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,108 people
- By 2030
- 61,519 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 59,735 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 57,521 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 53,143 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 49,596 · -20.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 19.9% · R 78.1% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+55.0 2012: R+49.9 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -14.80%
- Current HPI
- 249.3307
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2026-04-23 Listed $130,000 WRVBOR
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $440 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…