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4454 Georgia Highway 3
D- Composite 37.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$204,900

4454 Georgia Highway 3 · Sunny Side, GA 30223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,603 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 185 Days on market
Built 1961 0.85 ac lot $128/sqft · 17% below area Est $273k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Hurry Hurry!Great buy in todays market. Price Reduced!! HVAC just checked and all in order. No termites but treated any plus new vapor barrier. 4 bedrooms and two baths with an office or playroom plus a cloak room. Carpet and flooring is in good condition. Split bedroom, nice to have your own private space. Kitchen with good appliances and lots of cabinets. Septic tank and drain field is almost new. Large family room and did I mention 4 bedrooms! House is all electric. Great place to raise a family and an easy commute to Atlanta. ** Price reduced again! Owner says get it sold. All offers considered**

Key facts

  • Lots of cabinets
  • Good appliances
  • Office or playroom

Tags

OFFICE OR PLAYROOMCLOAK ROOMGOOD APPLIANCESLOTS OF CABINETSALMOST NEW SEPTIC TANKALMOST NEW DRAIN FIELD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (14.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (29.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 44/100 on livability (#604 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Griffin-Spalding County (suburban): math 13% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #151 of 174 in GA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Beaverbrook Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,041 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 298 students, 99% FRL); Cowan Road Middle School (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #426 of 470 statewide, top 91%, 543 students, 98% FRL); Griffin High School (math 7% / reading 19%, grade F, #331 of 424 statewide, top 78%, 1,498 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 68% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 440 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 342 units permitted in Spalding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Spalding County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $99k; list at $205k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,557 (29.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.62%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$272,942
List price
$204,900
Delta
-24.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4464 Old Atlanta Rd 0.02mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+12%) 0mo $250,000 $139 69
252 Pomona Rd 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,594 (-1%) 23mo $312,700 $196 65
4023 Old Atlanta Rd 0.65mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,384 (-14%) 15mo $193,000 $139 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.1%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-43,774
Equity at exit
$30,551
10-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-50,430
Equity at exit
$17,716

Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30223

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
440
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,446 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,863/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$-173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,665
Max offer price $174,314
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-57 -5% $-115 +0% $-173 +5% $-231 +10% $-289
Rent -10% $-287 -5% $-230 +0% $-173 +5% $-116 +10% $-59
Rate -1.0pp $-70 -0.5pp $-121 base $-173 +0.5pp $-226 +1.0pp $-280

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,225
Closing costs
$6,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
109 Doves Ln Unit A Griffin, GA 2.0 1.0 1650 $1,400 $0.85 45d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $204,900 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-04-09
    status Back On Market 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Hurry Hurry!Great buy in todays market. Price Reduced!! HVAC just checked and all in order. No termites but treated any plus new vapor barrier. 4 bedrooms and two baths with an office or playroom plus a cloak room. Carpet and flooring is in good condition. Split bedroom, nice to have your own private space. Kitchen with good appliances and lots of cabinets. Septic tank and drain field is almost new. Large family room and did I mention 4 bedrooms! House is all electric. Great place to raise a family and an easy commute to Atlanta. ** Price reduced again! Owner says get it sold. All offers considered**

  3. 2026-04-01
    status Under Contract 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Hurry Hurry!Great buy in todays market. Price Reduced!! HVAC just checked and all in order. No termites but treated any plus new vapor barrier. 4 bedrooms and two baths with an office or playroom plus a cloak room. Carpet and flooring is in good condition. Split bedroom, nice to have your own private space. Kitchen with good appliances and lots of cabinets. Septic tank and drain field is almost new. Large family room and did I mention 4 bedrooms! House is all electric. Great place to raise a family and an easy commute to Atlanta. ** Price reduced again! Owner says get it sold. All offers considered**

  4. 2026-03-31
    status Back On Market 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Hurry Hurry!Great buy in todays market. Price Reduced!! HVAC just checked and all in order. No termites but treated any plus new vapor barrier. 4 bedrooms and two baths with an office or playroom plus a cloak room. Carpet and flooring is in good condition. Split bedroom, nice to have your own private space. Kitchen with good appliances and lots of cabinets. Septic tank and drain field is almost new. Large family room and did I mention 4 bedrooms! House is all electric. Great place to raise a family and an easy commute to Atlanta. ** Price reduced again! Owner says get it sold. All offers considered**

  5. 2026-03-30
    historical 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Hurry Hurry!Great buy in todays market. Price Reduced!! HVAC just checked and all in order. No termites but treated any plus new vapor barrier. 4 bedrooms and two baths with an office or playroom plus a cloak room. Carpet and flooring is in good condition. Split bedroom, nice to have your own private space. Kitchen with good appliances and lots of cabinets. Septic tank and drain field is almost new. Large family room and did I mention 4 bedrooms! House is all electric. Great place to raise a family and an easy commute to Atlanta. ** Price reduced again! Owner says get it sold. All offers considered**

  6. 2026-03-12
    price $204,900 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Hurry Hurry!Great buy in todays market. Price Reduced!! HVAC just checked and all in order. No termites but treated any plus new vapor barrier. 4 bedrooms and two baths with an office or playroom plus a cloak room. Carpet and flooring is in good condition. Split bedroom, nice to have your own private space. Kitchen with good appliances and lots of cabinets. Septic tank and drain field is almost new. Large family room and did I mention 4 bedrooms! House is all electric. Great place to raise a family and an easy commute to Atlanta. ** Price reduced again! Owner says get it sold. All offers considered**

  7. 2026-01-29
    price $209,900 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Hurry Hurry!Great buy in todays market. Price Reduced!! HVAC just checked and all in order. No termites but treated any plus new vapor barrier. 4 bedrooms and two baths with an office or playroom plus a cloak room. Carpet and flooring is in good condition. Split bedroom, nice to have your own private space. Kitchen with good appliances and lots of cabinets. Septic tank and drain field is almost new. Large family room and did I mention 4 bedrooms! House is all electric. Great place to raise a family and an easy commute to Atlanta. ** Price reduced again! Owner says get it sold. All offers considered**

  8. 2026-01-08
    price $214,900 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Hurry Hurry!Great buy in todays market. Price Reduced!! HVAC just checked and all in order. No termites but treated any plus new vapor barrier. 4 bedrooms and two baths with an office or playroom plus a cloak room. Carpet and flooring is in good condition. Split bedroom, nice to have your own private space. Kitchen with good appliances and lots of cabinets. Septic tank and drain field is almost new. Large family room and did I mention 4 bedrooms! House is all electric. Great place to raise a family and an easy commute to Atlanta. ** Price reduced again! Owner says get it sold. All offers considered**

  9. 2025-11-18
    listed $225,000 New 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Hurry Hurry!Great buy in todays market. Price Reduced!! HVAC just checked and all in order. No termites but treated any plus new vapor barrier. 4 bedrooms and two baths with an office or playroom plus a cloak room. Carpet and flooring is in good condition. Split bedroom, nice to have your own private space. Kitchen with good appliances and lots of cabinets. Septic tank and drain field is almost new. Large family room and did I mention 4 bedrooms! House is all electric. Great place to raise a family and an easy commute to Atlanta. ** Price reduced again! Owner says get it sold. All offers considered**

  10. 2021-06-03
    soldstatus $99,000
  11. 2021-05-28
    soldstatus $99,000 Sold 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investor Special! Tenant Occupied, With new lease just signed. New roof and full renovation so it makes it makes in an easy investment. Ac Recently refurbished. NO SHOWINGS until due diligence. Do not Disturb tenant.

  12. 2021-05-04
    status Under Contract 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investor Special! Tenant Occupied, With new lease just signed. New roof and full renovation so it makes it makes in an easy investment. Ac Recently refurbished. NO SHOWINGS until due diligence. Do not Disturb tenant.

  13. 2021-04-04
    price $105,000 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investor Special! Tenant Occupied, With new lease just signed. New roof and full renovation so it makes it makes in an easy investment. Ac Recently refurbished. NO SHOWINGS until due diligence. Do not Disturb tenant.

  14. 2021-02-26
    price $120,000 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investor Special! Tenant Occupied, With new lease just signed. New roof and full renovation so it makes it makes in an easy investment. Ac Recently refurbished. NO SHOWINGS until due diligence. Do not Disturb tenant.

  15. 2021-02-23
    price $130,000 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investor Special! Tenant Occupied, With new lease just signed. New roof and full renovation so it makes it makes in an easy investment. Ac Recently refurbished. NO SHOWINGS until due diligence. Do not Disturb tenant.

  16. 2021-02-13
    listed $150,000 New 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investor Special! Tenant Occupied, With new lease just signed. New roof and full renovation so it makes it makes in an easy investment. Ac Recently refurbished. NO SHOWINGS until due diligence. Do not Disturb tenant.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,863 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,885 · $157/mo
Expected delta
+$22/yr (+$2/mo · 1.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,347
− Mortgage interest
−$11,478
− Property taxes
−$1,863
− Insurance
−$1,024
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,388
− Management
−$1,388
− Depreciation
−$5,961
Taxable loss
−$5,754
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,381
After-tax cash flow
$-697/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Griffin-Spalding County
NCES district ID
1302520
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$40,895
Composite
13.71/100
National rank
#9496
State rank
#151 of 174 in GA

Livability — Sunny Side

Score
44/100
State rank
#604
US rank
#26828

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing D- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Spalding County · 66,676 people
City population
6
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
38,262
Household income
$59,054
Rent vs Own
39.5% rent · 60.5% own
Severe rent burden
1297.0

Population outlook (Spalding County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,015 people
By 2030
61,689 · -2.1%
By 2040
57,932 · -8.1%
By 2050
53,474 · -15.1%
By 2075
43,228 · -31.4%
By 2100
32,290 · -48.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Spalding

2024 margin
R (+16.7) · D 41.4% · R 58.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.1pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -16.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.7 2020: R+20.8 2016: R+24.2 2012: R+20.0 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.92%
Current HPI
225.7933
Rent YoY
▲ 3.34%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $204,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $209,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $214,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $225,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-28 Sold (MLS) $99,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-05-04 Pending GAMLS
  • 2021-04-04 Price Changed $105,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-02-26 Price Changed $120,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-02-23 Price Changed $130,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-02-13 Listed $150,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,863 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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