337 W Maple St · Red Lion, PA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Semi-detached home in Red Lion Borough. Needs upgrades, updates and delayed maintenance. Sold in as-is condition.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1912
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.5% in Red Lion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#349 in PA, #3,056 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Red Lion Area SD (suburban): math 36% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #282 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $110k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.57%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171 Linden Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 2mo | $174,000 | $129 | 85 |
| 118 Keener Ave | 0.19mi | 3/— | 1,286 (-4%) | 1mo | $176,750 | $137 | 83 |
| 400 Carriage Ln #400 | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,380 (+3%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $173 | 75 |
| 316 W Broadway | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,478 (+10%) | 3mo | $202,500 | $137 | 72 |
| 327 1st Ave | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,471 (+9%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $139 | 69 |
| 122 N Main St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-12%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $128 | 62 |
| 11 E Lancaster St | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,523 (+13%) | 4mo | $192,500 | $126 | 41 |
| 337 Winners Cir | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (+12%) | 3mo | $290,000 | $193 | 39 |
| 214 Equine Cv #214 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,472 (+10%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $173 | 39 |
| 218 Equine Cv | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,472 (+10%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $180 | 38 |
| 116 Furlong Way | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,175 (-13%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $196 | 38 |
| 240 Palomino Way | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,520 (+13%) | 3mo | $259,000 | $170 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $9,340
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $43,309
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17356
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$214 /mo · $2,566/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $488 | -5% $457 | +0% $425 | +5% $394 | +10% $363 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $299 | -5% $362 | +0% $425 | +5% $488 | +10% $552 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $481 | -0.5pp $453 | base $425 | +0.5pp $397 | +1.0pp $368 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 W Broadway Red Lion, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,395 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 16 W High St Red Lion, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,075 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 705 Country Club Rd Red Lion, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1660 | $1,695 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 703 Country Club Rd Red Lion, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,795 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 21 E Lancaster St Red Lion, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 201 Burrows Rd Red Lion, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1485 | $1,924 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 100 E Broad St Dallastown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $950 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 306 Orchard Ct Red Lion, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-07remarks 113-char remark
-
2026-06-07$110,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,566 · $214/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,566 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,566
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,624
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$870
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,235/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Red Lion Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220100
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,225
- Composite
- 37.91/100
- National rank
- #4313
- State rank
- #282 of 539 in PA
Livability — Red Lion
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #349
- US rank
- #3056
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Red Lion, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 22,869
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,869
- Household income
- $86,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 559.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.16%
- Current HPI
- 259.7294
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+323.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-07 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1989-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 1988-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,566 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…