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3628 N 38th St
C- Composite 51.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$149,900

3628 N 38th St · Milwaukee, WI 53216
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,584 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1929 5,227 sqft lot $95/sqft · 7% below area Est $161k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large BRICK 3 bedroom single family bungalow with a 2 car detached garage. Features newer roof, artificial fireplace, , formal dining room, fenced yard, and a newer gas forced-air furnace. Formerly tenant occupied at $1050.00. Room Sizes are estimated.

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Fenced yard
  • Newer roof

Tags

NEWER ROOFNEWER GAS FORCED-AIR FURNACEFORMAL DINING ROOMARTIFICIAL FIREPLACEFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Owners' personal property excluded

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
  • Home design: Single-family, multi-level home; Less than 1/2 acre lot; Zoned RT2 Residential
  • Construction: Information source: Assessor/Public Record
  • Exterior features: Brick and brick/stone exterior; Other exterior materials

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Main-level master bedroom (10 x 12); Main-level second bedroom (11 x 11); Upper-level third bedroom (16 x 15)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating/cooling: Other (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($466/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,139 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.11%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,449
List price
$149,900
Delta
-7.15%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3628 N 38th St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,584 (0%) 0mo $175,000 $110 100
3724 N 37th St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-9%) 0mo $175,000 $122 76
3901 N 37th St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-5%) 0mo $162,500 $108 74
4240 W Fiebrantz Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,590 (+0%) 2mo $148,000 $93 68
4032 N 42nd St 0.52mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,554 (-2%) 2mo $225,000 $145 64
3893 N 40th St 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,483 (-6%) 4mo $240,000 $162 63
3155 N 38th St 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,630 (+3%) 2mo $202,000 $124 60
3936 N 28th St 0.71mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,584 (0%) 3mo $146,600 $93 60
4109 N 40th St 0.57mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,597 (+1%) 1mo $245,000 $153 58
4050 N 41st St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,456 (-8%) 4mo $115,000 $79 54
3421 N 47th St 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,798 (+14%) 3mo $240,000 $133 43
3812 N 27th St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,372 (-13%) 3mo $79,900 $58 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.33% appreciation · 7.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$13,198
Equity at exit
$53,751
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$70,368
Equity at exit
$73,467

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53216

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,311 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$149 /mo · $1,784/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,262
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3606 N 41st St Unit 3608 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1095 $975 $0.89 44d 1 0.16mi
3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,675 $1.29 44d 1 0.40mi
3148 N 39th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.53mi
3122 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1323 $1,495 $1.13 4d 1 0.61mi
3123 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 24d 1 0.62mi
3124 N 33rd St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 0.65mi
2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.5 1098 $1,595 $1.45 2d 1 0.69mi
3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1212 $1,550 $1.28 4d 1 0.74mi
2931 W Chambers St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,050 $0.75 24d 1 0.91mi
3066 N 49th St Unit 3066-5 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 44d 1 0.93mi
3629 N 53rd St Unit (Downstairs) Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,275 $0.80 44d 1 0.96mi
4139 N 50th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1275 $1,600 $1.25 44d 1 0.97mi
2976 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,300 $0.76 17d 1 1.01mi
3957-3959 N 53rd St Unit 3957 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1910 $1,050 $0.55 24d 1 1.02mi
3155 N 52nd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 44d 1 1.04mi
2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 44d 1 1.05mi
4355 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1118 $975 $0.87 21d 1 1.07mi
2842 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,100 $0.73 44d 1 1.08mi
2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 17d 1 1.13mi
2713 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,350 $0.93 44d 1 1.16mi
2841 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1237 $1,098 $0.89 44d 1 1.16mi
3100 W Center St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 2.0 1174 $1,531 $1.30 2d 1 1.17mi
2116 W Atkinson Ave Unit A Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1707 $2,000 $1.17 2d 1 1.25mi
2765 N 26th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,200 $1.07 4d 1 1.25mi
2765 N 26th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 4d 1 1.25mi
2947 N 54th St #2945 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1244 $1,050 $0.84 14d 1 1.29mi
4702 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,850 $1.76 44d 1 1.34mi
3012 N 57th St Unit Lower Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1130 $1,398 $1.24 4d 1 1.35mi
2613 N 48th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,250 $1.09 24d 1 1.38mi
2629 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 1.39mi
2809 W Clarke St Unit 12811 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 17d 1 1.39mi
2502 N 45th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1949 $1,050 $0.54 16d 1 1.42mi
2629 N 50th St Unit Upper Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1258 $1,375 $1.09 3d 1 1.42mi
4640 N 51st Blvd Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1075 $1,275 $1.19 44d 1 1.45mi
2403-2405 N 39th St Unit 2403 Lower Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1200 $995 $0.83 10d 1 1.48mi
2403-2405 N 39th St Unit 2405 Upper Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1141 $995 $0.87 10d 1 1.48mi
3416 N 17th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 542-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $149,900 Active 542-char remark
  3. 2020-08-04
    soldstatus $63,000
  4. 2020-07-30
    soldstatus $63,000 Sold 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Large BRICK 3 bedroom single family bungalow with a 2 car detached garage. Features newer roof, artificial fireplace, , formal dining room, fenced yard, and a newer gas forced-air furnace. Formerly tenant occupied at $1050.00. Room Sizes are estimated.

  5. 2020-07-11
    historical Contingent 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Large BRICK 3 bedroom single family bungalow with a 2 car detached garage. Features newer roof, artificial fireplace, , formal dining room, fenced yard, and a newer gas forced-air furnace. Formerly tenant occupied at $1050.00. Room Sizes are estimated.

  6. 2020-06-29
    status Active 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Large BRICK 3 bedroom single family bungalow with a 2 car detached garage. Features newer roof, artificial fireplace, , formal dining room, fenced yard, and a newer gas forced-air furnace. Formerly tenant occupied at $1050.00. Room Sizes are estimated.

  7. 2020-06-13
    historical Contingent 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Large BRICK 3 bedroom single family bungalow with a 2 car detached garage. Features newer roof, artificial fireplace, , formal dining room, fenced yard, and a newer gas forced-air furnace. Formerly tenant occupied at $1050.00. Room Sizes are estimated.

  8. 2020-06-05
    listed $70,000 Active 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Large BRICK 3 bedroom single family bungalow with a 2 car detached garage. Features newer roof, artificial fireplace, , formal dining room, fenced yard, and a newer gas forced-air furnace. Formerly tenant occupied at $1050.00. Room Sizes are estimated.

  9. 2013-02-02
    historical
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    Cute as a button Brick Bungalow, completely remodeled. This home has all the old world charm of leaded glass windows, BICC with all the updates; New Granite Counter Tops, Ceramic Kitchen Floor, New Carpets, New Bathroom. up stairs, 2 new bedrooms. Plenty of room for the whole family!

  10. 2013-02-02
    listed $129,900
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    Cute as a button Brick Bungalow, completely remodeled. This home has all the old world charm of leaded glass windows, BICC with all the updates; New Granite Counter Tops, Ceramic Kitchen Floor, New Carpets, New Bathroom. up stairs, 2 new bedrooms. Plenty of room for the whole family!

  11. 2013-01-28
    historical
  12. 2013-01-28
    listed $26,730
  13. 2012-10-10
    soldstatus $60,000
  14. 2012-04-27
    soldstatus $34,050
  15. 2006-05-16
    soldstatus $137,500
  16. 2006-05-09
    soldstatus $137,500
  17. 2005-05-16
    soldstatus $70,000
  18. 1974-11-01
    soldstatus $21,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,784 · $149/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,278 · $190/mo
Expected delta
+$495/yr (+$41/mo · 27.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,737
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,784
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,259
− Management
−$1,259
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$2,072
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$497
After-tax cash flow
$963/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milwaukee School District
NCES district ID
5509600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,339
Composite
11.61/100
National rank
#9696
State rank
#337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

Score
81/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milwaukee, WI
County
Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
City population
573,768
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
Population (ZIP)
30,345
Household income
$46,752
Rent vs Own
52.7% rent · 47.3% own
Severe rent burden
2202.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
995,758 people
By 2030
1,009,124 · +1.3%
By 2040
1,028,128 · +3.3%
By 2050
1,040,066 · +4.4%
By 2075
1,057,849 · +6.2%
By 2100
1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.33%
Current HPI
381.0954
Rent YoY
▲ 7.01%
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+733.3% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Sold (MLS) $175,000 METROMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Pending METROMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $149,900 METROMLS
  • 2020-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-30 Sold (MLS) $63,000 METROMLS
  • 2020-07-11 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2020-06-29 Relisted METROMLS
  • 2020-06-13 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2020-06-05 Listed $70,000 METROMLS
  • 2013-02-02 Listed $129,900 METROMLS
  • 2013-02-02 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2013-01-28 Listed $26,730 METROMLS
  • 2013-01-28 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2012-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2012-04-27 Sold (MLS) $34,050 METROMLS
  • 2006-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $137,500 Public Records
  • 2006-05-09 Sold (MLS) $137,500 METROMLS
  • 2005-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1974-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,784 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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