1304 N 3rd St · Temple, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Built in 1943, this spacious 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home is full of potential and ready for its next chapter. This property offers generous living space and a flexible layout that can be customized to fit a variety of needs. The home is being sold as is, making it an excellent opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to restore a classic property to its original charm or modernize it to their taste. With its solid footprint and historic character, this property provides a strong foundation for future improvements. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers both space and location at an attractive value.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1943
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.6% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in TX, #3,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D+.
- Temple ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #590 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.60%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $257,184
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 N 1st St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 2,522 (-8%) | 0mo | $147,000 | $58 | 69 |
| 510 W Royal Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,739 (+0%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $119 | 67 |
| 1701 N 13th St | 0.38mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,973 (+9%) | 3mo | $223,000 | $75 | 60 |
| 2306 N 13th St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,810 (+3%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $94 | 53 |
| 504 W Park Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,362 (-14%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $64 | 52 |
| 1308 N 13th St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,409 (-12%) | 12mo | $389,900 | $162 | 47 |
| 505 N 7th St | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 | 2,392 (-13%) | 7mo | $379,000 | $158 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-10,641
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $17,113
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76501
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 335
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,925 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1919 N 7th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $1,975 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 917 Crockett Ct Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1917 | $1,550 | $0.81 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2305 N 15th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2122 | $2,000 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2408 N 15th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1832 | $1,650 | $0.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-03-10historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-20status Active
-
2026-02-17historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-31price $180,000
-
2025-12-22$219,000 Active
-
2013-09-24$76,000
-
2008-04-07$158,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,103
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,848
- − Management
- −$1,848
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $487
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$117
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,207/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Temple ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842330
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,120
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7123
- State rank
- #590 of 826 in TX
Livability — Temple
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #3814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Temple, TX
- County
- Bell County · 345,090 people
- City population
- 96,587
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,752
- Household income
- $62,532
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 466.0
Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 371,114 people
- By 2030
- 389,104 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 420,592 · +13.3%
- By 2050
- 447,779 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 499,130 · +34.5%
- By 2100
- 505,680 · +36.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 18% Black 17% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 20%
Political lean MEDSL · Bell
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.09%
- Current HPI
- 177.0555
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.44%
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+13.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — CTXMLS
- 2026-03-10 Contingent — CTXMLS
- 2026-02-20 Relisted — CTXMLS
- 2026-02-17 Contingent — CTXMLS
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $180,000 CTXMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $219,000 CTXMLS
- 2013-09-24 Listed $76,000 CTXMLS
- 2008-04-07 Listed $158,000 CTXMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…