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1308 South Ave Multi-family
D- Composite 35.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

1308 South Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14305
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,205 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1912 2,880 sqft lot $91/sqft · 32% above area Est $151k · 32% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

WELCOME TO 1308 SOUTH AVE Exceptional investment opportunity in Niagara Falls! This multi-unit brick property is located in an Airbnb zoning area, offering great potential as a bed & breakfast or short-term rental. Featuring 10 rooms, 3 bathrooms, and 2 kitchens, the property is currently generating $3,000 in monthly income from 7 rented rooms (5 at $400 each and 2 at $500 each), with 3 additional rooms still available for rent. The sale also includes two extra lots, right across from the property 1308 south Ave providing even more value and potential. Don't miss out on this versatile income-producing property!

Key facts

  • Two extra lots
  • Airbnb zoning area
  • 2,880 sq ft lot

Tags

AIRBNB ZONING AREAMULTI-UNIT BRICK PROPERTYTWO EXTRA LOTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($84k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 48.1% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,499/mo this rent would consume 247% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $200k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $188,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.25%
Cap rate
48.14%
Cash-on-cash
149.46%
DSCR
7.65
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$151,469
List price
$200,000
Delta
32.04%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1635 South Ave 0.27mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,208 (+0%) 2mo $85,000 $38 80
1145 Willow Ave 0.23mi 6/2.0 2,304 (+4%) 3mo $53,300 $23 80
2225 Whitney Ave 0.68mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-0%) 3mo $125,000 $57 65
814 Willow Ave 0.41mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,072 (-6%) 2mo $140,000 $68 64
1825 Pierce Ave 0.51mi 6/2.0 2,288 (+4%) 10mo $110,000 $48 61
1813 South Ave 0.38mi 6/2.0 2,436 (+10%) 6mo $137,940 $57 60
2133 North Ave 0.59mi 6/2.0 2,048 (-7%) 9mo $170,000 $83 53
1023 15th St 0.49mi 5/4.0 (-1) 2,304 (+4%) 5mo $190,000 $82 53
1811 Weston Ave 0.38mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,998 (-9%) 6mo $140,000 $70 52
2200 Lasalle Ave 0.66mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,304 (+4%) 12mo $160,000 $69 46
1113 Whitney Ave 0.38mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,504 (+14%) 8mo $48,000 $19 44
1882 Niagara Ave 0.53mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,527 (+15%) 0mo $155,000 $61 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.36×
Total profit
$411,954
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.63×
Total profit
$931,243
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14305

Home prices YoY
-10.9%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
15.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,499 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$187 /mo · $2,244/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,205
Net cashflow
$6,975

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,670
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 29%

10-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (10 units) $10,499

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $200,000 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-03-29
    listed $200,000 Active 624-char remark
    Show marketing remark (624 chars)

    WELCOME TO 1308 SOUTH AVE Exceptional investment opportunity in Niagara Falls! This multi-unit brick property is located in an Airbnb zoning area, offering great potential as a bed & breakfast or short-term rental. Featuring 10 rooms, 3 bathrooms, and 2 kitchens, the property is currently generating $3,000 in monthly income from 7 rented rooms (5 at $400 each and 2 at $500 each), with 3 additional rooms still available for rent. The sale also includes two extra lots, right across from the property 1308 south Ave providing even more value and potential. Don't miss out on this versatile income-producing property!

  16. 2025-06-19
    historical
  17. 2025-06-09
    price $223,000
  18. 2025-05-15
    price $225,000
  19. 2025-04-03
    listed $230,000 Active
  20. 2024-10-15
    historical
  21. 2024-06-18
    listed $199,900 Active
  22. 2023-03-22
    soldstatus $100,000
  23. 2018-03-16
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,244 · $187/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,812 · $234/mo
Expected delta
+$568/yr (+$47/mo · 25.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$125,988
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$2,244
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,079
− Management
−$10,079
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable income
$85,564
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$20,535
After-tax cash flow
$63,165/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,696
Household income
$51,004
Rent vs Own
38.4% rent · 61.6% own
Severe rent burden
1095.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.08%
Current HPI
350.8741
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $200,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-19 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-09 Price Changed $223,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-05-15 Price Changed $225,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-04-03 Listed $230,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-10-15 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2024-06-18 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2018-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,244 · +54.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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