345 Ryan St · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$83,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Conveniently located in Highland Park near shopping, downtown and easy access to I-85. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, hardwood floors, separate living and dining room. Covered patio for outdoor activities.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1937
- Listed 107 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $76k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $577 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.99%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,732
- List price
- $83,500
- Delta
- 23.28%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2219 St Charles Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (-0%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $89 | 78 |
| 1835 James Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,648 (-5%) | 8mo | $142,000 | $86 | 73 |
| 1807 St Charles Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,736 (-0%) | 2mo | $65,500 | $38 | 71 |
| 446 Buford St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,899 (+9%) | 4mo | $108,000 | $57 | 68 |
| 2134 Winona Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,664 (-4%) | 1mo | $101,700 | $61 | 68 |
| 1839 James Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,520 (-13%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $33 | 61 |
| 2627 Geneva St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,526 (-12%) | 4mo | $83,000 | $54 | 59 |
| 1536 Yancey Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,804 (+4%) | 8mo | $151,560 | $84 | 54 |
| 20 Arden Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (-10%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $105 | 50 |
| 13 Brantwood Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,909 (+10%) | 1mo | $118,000 | $62 | 46 |
| 2129 Windsor Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,585 (-9%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $85 | 46 |
| 2220 Windsor Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,914 (+10%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $31 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $17,495
- Equity at exit
- $12,450
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $62,663
- Equity at exit
- $7,220
Cash invested: $23,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36107
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$438
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $333/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $448
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,875
- Closing costs
- $2,505
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2113 Brewton St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1363 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2004 Capitol Ave Unit 1043879P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $3,518 | $1.96 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2009 Palmetto St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1487 | $1,050 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2229 Madison Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $625 | $0.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 128 S Capitol Pkwy Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,500 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2243 Winona Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1492 | $1,225 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 39 S Lewis St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $950 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2009 Yancey Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,080 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2310 Yancey Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,250 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2000 Cherry St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2122 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $725 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 311 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $825 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 15 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 122 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $975 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $1,500 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 18 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,050 | $0.66 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1501 Winona Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1930 | $1,000 | $0.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 508 Glenmore Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $1,000 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 19 Calhoun Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2022 | $795 | $0.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 108 Calhoun Rd Unit 108B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $750 | $0.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1008 Pelham St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,300 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2769 Pelzer Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,325 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 401 Ridgewood Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,195 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2020 E 3rd St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $750 | $0.63 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3136 Harrison Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1355 | $1,025 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3233 Hillcrest Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,395 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2814 Ashley Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1683 | $1,350 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3329 Vermont Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1465 | $1,395 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3309 Hillcrest Ln Unit 1043908P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,885 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 239 Forest Hills Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2822 Sumter Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1617 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2043 Hazel Hedge Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2001 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 167 E Salem Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,050 | $0.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 200 Eton Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $895 | $0.60 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 67 Holliday Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3515 Cottonwood Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1246 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3323 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 926 Green Ridge Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $1,381 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $83,500 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $83,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $83,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $83,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $83,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $83,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $83,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $83,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $83,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $83,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $83,500 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $83,500 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $83,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $83,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $83,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-03-02$83,500 Active 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Conveniently located in Highland Park near shopping, downtown and easy access to I-85. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, hardwood floors, separate living and dining room. Covered patio for outdoor activities.
-
2008-07-29soldstatus $81,194
-
2008-07-29soldstatus $81,194
-
2008-06-18$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $333 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $342 · $29/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9/yr (+$1/mo · 2.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,406
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,677
- − Property taxes
- −$333
- − Insurance
- −$418
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$2,429
- Taxable income
- $4,243
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,018
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,357/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,001
- Household income
- $32,492
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 642.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 20%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.16%
- Current HPI
- 147.8065
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+4.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Listed $83,500 MAAR
- 2008-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $81,194 Public Records
- 2008-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $81,194 Public Records
- 2008-06-18 Listed $79,900 MAAR
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $333 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…