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206 Montgomery St
B- Composite 66.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

206 Montgomery St · Warrior, AL 35180
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1955 7,405 sqft lot $91/sqft · 23% below area Est $163k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the heart of Warrior, and walking distance to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. This Cottage style house has much to offer. It has just been updated, with a complete new kitchen. Wiring, plumbing and interior is all updated and ready to move in. This cute 3 bedroom, two full bath home has lotes to offer. Great for a new family, singles or investment property. Priced to sale quickly, Seller will help with some closing cost and offer $1500 for appliances with acceptable offer. Home inspections are welcomed, but not much more will be done to house. A home warranty is offered with a good offer.

Key facts

  • Updated wiring
  • Updated interior
  • Complete new kitchen

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE TO SHOPPINGCOMPLETE NEW KITCHENUPDATED WIRINGUPDATED PLUMBINGUPDATED INTERIOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.9% in Warrior — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#360 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $125k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,153 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.90%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,087
List price
$124,900
Delta
-23.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
206 Montgomery St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,372 (0%) 15mo $45,000 $33 84
321 Louisa St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,526 (+11%) 1mo $90,000 $59 71
319 Louisa St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,240 (-10%) 1mo $50,000 $40 68
170 Bellehurst Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,511 (+10%) 10mo $274,403 $182 56
605 Highway 31 S 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,421 (+4%) 17mo $185,000 $130 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-22
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$25,960
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35180

Home prices YoY
-11.3%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,411 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,009
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
304 Owens St Warrior, AL 3.0 2.0 1081 $1,350 $1.25 43d 1 0.07mi
632 Wenonah WAY Kimberly, AL 4.0 2.0 1774 $1,995 $1.12 10d 1 0.90mi
9717 Harvella Rd Warrior, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,275 $1.16 1d 1 1.31mi
718 Natchez Trl Warrior, AL 4.0 2.0 1386 $1,500 $1.08 10d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    price $124,900 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,900 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-05-19
    price $125,900 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Located in the heart of Warrior, and walking distance to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. This Cottage style house has much to offer. It has just been updated, with a complete new kitchen. Wiring, plumbing and interior is all updated and ready to move in. This cute 3 bedroom, two full bath home has lotes to offer. Great for a new family, singles or investment property. Priced to sale quickly, Seller will help with some closing cost and offer $1500 for appliances with acceptable offer. Home inspections are welcomed, but not much more will be done to house. A home warranty is offered with a good offer.

  7. 2026-05-10
    price $126,900 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Located in the heart of Warrior, and walking distance to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. This Cottage style house has much to offer. It has just been updated, with a complete new kitchen. Wiring, plumbing and interior is all updated and ready to move in. This cute 3 bedroom, two full bath home has lotes to offer. Great for a new family, singles or investment property. Priced to sale quickly, Seller will help with some closing cost and offer $1500 for appliances with acceptable offer. Home inspections are welcomed, but not much more will be done to house. A home warranty is offered with a good offer.

  8. 2026-05-07
    price $127,900 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Located in the heart of Warrior, and walking distance to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. This Cottage style house has much to offer. It has just been updated, with a complete new kitchen. Wiring, plumbing and interior is all updated and ready to move in. This cute 3 bedroom, two full bath home has lotes to offer. Great for a new family, singles or investment property. Priced to sale quickly, Seller will help with some closing cost and offer $1500 for appliances with acceptable offer. Home inspections are welcomed, but not much more will be done to house. A home warranty is offered with a good offer.

  9. 2026-05-03
    price $128,900 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Located in the heart of Warrior, and walking distance to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. This Cottage style house has much to offer. It has just been updated, with a complete new kitchen. Wiring, plumbing and interior is all updated and ready to move in. This cute 3 bedroom, two full bath home has lotes to offer. Great for a new family, singles or investment property. Priced to sale quickly, Seller will help with some closing cost and offer $1500 for appliances with acceptable offer. Home inspections are welcomed, but not much more will be done to house. A home warranty is offered with a good offer.

  10. 2026-04-29
    price $129,900 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Located in the heart of Warrior, and walking distance to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. This Cottage style house has much to offer. It has just been updated, with a complete new kitchen. Wiring, plumbing and interior is all updated and ready to move in. This cute 3 bedroom, two full bath home has lotes to offer. Great for a new family, singles or investment property. Priced to sale quickly, Seller will help with some closing cost and offer $1500 for appliances with acceptable offer. Home inspections are welcomed, but not much more will be done to house. A home warranty is offered with a good offer.

  11. 2026-04-26
    price $130,900 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Located in the heart of Warrior, and walking distance to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. This Cottage style house has much to offer. It has just been updated, with a complete new kitchen. Wiring, plumbing and interior is all updated and ready to move in. This cute 3 bedroom, two full bath home has lotes to offer. Great for a new family, singles or investment property. Priced to sale quickly, Seller will help with some closing cost and offer $1500 for appliances with acceptable offer. Home inspections are welcomed, but not much more will be done to house. A home warranty is offered with a good offer.

  12. 2026-04-18
    price $131,900 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Located in the heart of Warrior, and walking distance to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. This Cottage style house has much to offer. It has just been updated, with a complete new kitchen. Wiring, plumbing and interior is all updated and ready to move in. This cute 3 bedroom, two full bath home has lotes to offer. Great for a new family, singles or investment property. Priced to sale quickly, Seller will help with some closing cost and offer $1500 for appliances with acceptable offer. Home inspections are welcomed, but not much more will be done to house. A home warranty is offered with a good offer.

  13. 2026-04-11
    listed $132,500 Active 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Located in the heart of Warrior, and walking distance to shopping, restaurants and entertainment. This Cottage style house has much to offer. It has just been updated, with a complete new kitchen. Wiring, plumbing and interior is all updated and ready to move in. This cute 3 bedroom, two full bath home has lotes to offer. Great for a new family, singles or investment property. Priced to sale quickly, Seller will help with some closing cost and offer $1500 for appliances with acceptable offer. Home inspections are welcomed, but not much more will be done to house. A home warranty is offered with a good offer.

  14. 2025-03-24
    soldstatus $45,000 Sold 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Discover the potential in this promising 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Warrior, AL, ideally priced for quick sale. This property is a fantastic investment opportunity, perfect for anyone looking to customize a home. Located within walking distance to the bustling downtown area, it offers convenient access to local shops, dining, and entertainment. This home presents a blank canvas for creative renovation. Don't miss out on the chance to transform this house into your dream home or a profitable asset. Act fast – properties in this location at this price point don't last long!

  15. 2025-03-24
    soldstatus $45,000
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Discover the potential in this promising 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Warrior, AL, ideally priced for quick sale. This property is a fantastic investment opportunity, perfect for anyone looking to customize a home. Located within walking distance to the bustling downtown area, it offers convenient access to local shops, dining, and entertainment. This home presents a blank canvas for creative renovation. Don't miss out on the chance to transform this house into your dream home or a profitable asset. Act fast – properties in this location at this price point don't last long!

  16. 2025-02-26
    historical Contingent 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Discover the potential in this promising 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Warrior, AL, ideally priced for quick sale. This property is a fantastic investment opportunity, perfect for anyone looking to customize a home. Located within walking distance to the bustling downtown area, it offers convenient access to local shops, dining, and entertainment. This home presents a blank canvas for creative renovation. Don't miss out on the chance to transform this house into your dream home or a profitable asset. Act fast – properties in this location at this price point don't last long!

  17. 2025-01-28
    price $50,000 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Discover the potential in this promising 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Warrior, AL, ideally priced for quick sale. This property is a fantastic investment opportunity, perfect for anyone looking to customize a home. Located within walking distance to the bustling downtown area, it offers convenient access to local shops, dining, and entertainment. This home presents a blank canvas for creative renovation. Don't miss out on the chance to transform this house into your dream home or a profitable asset. Act fast – properties in this location at this price point don't last long!

  18. 2025-01-20
    listed $60,000 Active 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Discover the potential in this promising 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Warrior, AL, ideally priced for quick sale. This property is a fantastic investment opportunity, perfect for anyone looking to customize a home. Located within walking distance to the bustling downtown area, it offers convenient access to local shops, dining, and entertainment. This home presents a blank canvas for creative renovation. Don't miss out on the chance to transform this house into your dream home or a profitable asset. Act fast – properties in this location at this price point don't last long!

  19. 2024-09-05
    price $65,000
  20. 2024-09-05
    price $69,900
  21. 2024-08-06
    price $70,000
  22. 2024-07-19
    price $75,000
  23. 2024-07-12
    price $79,900
  24. 2024-05-18
    price $99,999
  25. 2024-05-09
    price $109,999
  26. 2024-04-22
    soldstatus $50,000
  27. 1987-07-31
    soldstatus $40,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,080 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,080 · $90/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,932
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,080
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,355
− Management
−$1,355
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$1,889
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$453
After-tax cash flow
$3,359/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Warrior

Score
58/100
State rank
#360
US rank
#21085

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Warrior, AL
Population (ZIP)
14,097

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.81%
Current HPI
250.1325
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+210.9% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $125,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-10 Price Changed $126,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $127,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $128,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $129,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $130,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $131,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $132,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2025-03-24 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-02-26 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-01-28 Price Changed $50,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-01-20 Listed $60,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-09-05 Price Changed $65,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-09-05 Price Changed $69,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-08-06 Price Changed $70,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-07-19 Price Changed $75,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-07-12 Price Changed $79,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-05-18 Price Changed $99,999 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-05-09 Price Changed $109,999 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1987-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $40,500 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…