518 S Calhoun St · Junction City, KS 66441

$167,000

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,222 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market

Built 1950 6,969 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.2/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.3/10.0
• DSCR +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Covered patio
• Updated kitchen
• Outdoor space

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• COVERED PATIO
• OUTDOOR SPACE
• CONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway access
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electricity available; Cable available
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Aluminum siding
• Exterior features: Covered deck; Full chain-link fencing; Pond on the property; Asphalt roof; Concrete road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Pantry; Ceiling fans; Air purifier
• Laundry & utility: Basement (other type)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $167k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-155 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (16.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (26.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $123k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#266 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Geary County Schools (town): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #60 of 169 in KS (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Geary County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Geary County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $90k; list at $167k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $122,744 (26.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.73% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.18%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.97%
• DSCR: 0.82
• GRM: 11.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -19.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.29×
• Total profit: $-33,037
• Equity at exit: $24,900

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.48×
• Total profit: $-24,501
• Equity at exit: $14,439

Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kansas: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 66441

• Rents YoY: 6.0%
• Active inventory: 262
• Price-to-rent: 11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,227 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$876
• Tax from tax record: −$179 /mo · $2,149/yr
• Insurance: −$70
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$258
• Net cashflow: $-155

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,423

Max offer price $139,658

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-60	-5% $-108	+0% $-155	+5% $-202	+10% $-249
Rent	-10% $-252	-5% $-203	+0% $-155	+5% $-106	+10% $-58
Rate	-1.0pp $-71	-0.5pp $-112	base $-155	+0.5pp $-198	+1.0pp $-242

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,750
• Closing costs: $5,010
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-09
   status $167,000 Pending 10 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $167,000 Active 10 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $167,000 Active 9 DOM
4. 2026-06-02
   days on market $167,000 Active 4 DOM
5. 2026-06-01
   days on market $167,000 Active 3 DOM
6. 2026-05-31
   days on market $167,000 Active 2 DOM
7. 2026-05-29
   listed $167,000 Active
8. 2009-10-01
   soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,149 · $179/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,355 · $196/mo
• Expected delta: +$205/yr (+$17/mo · 9.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,729
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,355
• − Property taxes: −$2,149
• − Insurance: −$835
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,178
• − Management: −$1,178
• − Depreciation: −$4,858
• Taxable loss: −$4,824
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,158
• After-tax cash flow: $-699/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Geary County Schools
• NCES district ID: 2007890
• Math proficiency: 32% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $44,319
• Composite: 30.2/100
• National rank: #6306
• State rank: #60 of 169 in KS

Livability — Junction City

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #266
• US rank: #11965

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Junction City, KS
• County: Geary County · 25,828 people
• City population: 25,828
• Metro: Manhattan, KS
• Population (ZIP): 25,828
• Household income: $59,522
• Rent vs Own: 48.9% rent · 51.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 950.0

Population outlook (Geary County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 37,364 people
• By 2030: 38,234 · +2.3%
• By 2040: 39,727 · +6.3%
• By 2050: 40,314 · +7.9%
• By 2075: 44,283 · +18.5%
• By 2100: 46,935 · +25.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Geary

• 2024 margin: R (+17.6) · D 40.1% · R 57.7% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -17.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+17.6 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+14.4 2008: R+12.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -152.25%
• Current HPI: 137.9936
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.05%
• Metro: Manhattan, KS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+85.6% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-29 Listed $167,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2009-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,149 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.