3679 Meadowbrook Dr · Trinity, NC
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$213,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check out this large manufactured home on almost a half acre lot! Recent renovations include paint, flooring, bathroom fixtures and more! This home offers 3 bedrooms and a bonus room with a closet! 3 bedroom septic has been freshly pumped and ready to go! Schedule your showing today, before this one is gone! Agent has ownership interest.
Key facts
- Open-concept design
- Large kitchen
- Updated home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Manufactured Home; Structure type: Manufactured House; Lot size approximately 0.48 acres; Total building area 1,440; Single level; Directions: Hwy 62 in Trinity to Meadowbrook Rd
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Detached carport
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Built in 1998; Existing structure; Living room fireplace
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shallow foundation (crawl space)
- Exterior features: Public-maintained road; Public water
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating and cooling; Electric heating
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $213k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($105/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.4% in Trinity — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#161 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Randolph County School System (rural): math 43% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #94 of 178 in NC (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 789 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randolph County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.51%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $252,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3425 Marie Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+11%) | 16mo | $280,250 | $175 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-33,992
- Equity at exit
- $31,759
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-29,023
- Equity at exit
- $18,416
Cash invested: $59,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27370
- Home prices YoY
- -9.9%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,747 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,117
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,194/yr
- Insurance
- −$89
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $129 | -5% $69 | +0% $9 | +5% $-52 | +10% $-112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-129 | -5% $-60 | +0% $9 | +5% $78 | +10% $147 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $116 | -0.5pp $63 | base $9 | +0.5pp $-46 | +1.0pp $-103 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,250
- Closing costs
- $6,390
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $213,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $213,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $215,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $215,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$215,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,194 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,747 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$553/yr (+$46/mo · 46.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,969
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,931
- − Property taxes
- −$1,194
- − Insurance
- −$1,862
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,678
- − Management
- −$1,678
- − Depreciation
- −$6,196
- Taxable loss
- −$3,570
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$857
- After-tax cash flow
- $962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Randolph County School System
- NCES district ID
- 3703780
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,490
- Composite
- 36.37/100
- National rank
- #4686
- State rank
- #94 of 178 in NC
Livability — Trinity
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #8823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trinity, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,223
Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 142,640 people
- By 2030
- 140,911 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 135,692 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 128,575 · -9.9%
- By 2075
- 111,507 · -21.8%
- By 2100
- 93,376 · -34.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 5% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randolph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -42.3pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+56.7 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+42.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.61%
- Current HPI
- 242.2984
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+184.8% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $215,000 Triad MLS
- 2024-11-12 Sold (MLS) $189,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-28 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-11 Sold (MLS) $189,900 Triad MLS
- 2024-10-09 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2024-09-18 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2024-08-30 Price Changed $189,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-30 Price Changed $189,900 Triad MLS
- 2024-08-19 Price Changed $194,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-16 Price Changed $194,900 Triad MLS
- 2024-08-05 Listed $199,900 Triad MLS
- 2024-08-05 Listed $199,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-13 Price Changed $189,900 Triad MLS
- 2024-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2023-02-15 Price Changed $185,000 Triad MLS
- 2007-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $75,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,194 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…