913 N High St · Bethlehem, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bright & spacious brick victoria row * Formal living & dining room * Family room * Eat in kitchen * 3 bedrooms * Attic could be 2 more bedrooms(need heat) * Deck * Full basement * Newer heating system & central air * HMS warranty * Stained woodwork thru-out, window in every room, updated kitchen, 3 full floors of living space * Bakers alley & 9 foot ceilings *
Key facts
- Fence in back yard
- Built 1900
- Listed 61 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $226k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.3% in Bethlehem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#138 in PA, #1,122 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Bethlehem Area SD (urban): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #342 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 103 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $93k; list at $240k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.85%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $317,680
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 E Union Blvd | 0.13mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,675 (+0%) | 15mo | $317,000 | $189 | 76 |
| 40 E Goepp St | 0.18mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,660 (-1%) | 13mo | $315,000 | $190 | 75 |
| 55 E North St | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,669 (-0%) | 8mo | $370,000 | $222 | 70 |
| 64 E Garrison St | 0.22mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,634 (-2%) | 19mo | $290,000 | $177 | 63 |
| 438 E Locust St | 0.38mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,666 (-0%) | 19mo | $305,000 | $183 | 61 |
| 1510 Easton Ave | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,524 (-9%) | 1mo | $289,000 | $190 | 53 |
| 733 High St | 0.14mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,914 (+14%) | 15mo | $343,000 | $179 | 52 |
| 339 E Washington Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,621 (-3%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $222 | 48 |
| 805 N New St | 0.29mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,881 (+12%) | 24mo | $275,000 | $146 | 39 |
| 384 Hickory St | 0.60mi | 5/2.0 | 1,440 (-14%) | 11mo | $320,000 | $222 | 36 |
| 1440 Madison | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,470 (-12%) | 22mo | $280,000 | $190 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-19,850
- Equity at exit
- $35,783
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-7,052
- Equity at exit
- $20,750
Cash invested: $67,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18018
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,567 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$286 /mo · $3,426/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$539
- Net cashflow
- $384
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,998
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316 E Union Blvd Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,145 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 802 Elm St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $2,800 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 68 W Union Blvd Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1804 | $2,295 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 87 W Broad St Unit 2 Bethlehem, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 42 E Wall St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1474 | $2,550 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 409 E Washington Ave Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $2,645 | $1.60 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 314 State St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1654 | $2,650 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 436 Pierce St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,250 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 612 E 5th St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1814 | $2,500 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1122 E 4th St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 435 Montclair Ave Bethlehem, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2051 | $3,375 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 13 events
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2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-16price $239,990
-
2026-03-31price $249,000
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2026-02-23$259,900 Active
-
2011-07-01soldstatus $93,000
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2011-06-30soldstatus $93,000 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
Bright & spacious brick victoria row * Formal living & dining room * Family room * Eat in kitchen * 3 bedrooms * Attic could be 2 more bedrooms(need heat) * Deck * Full basement * Newer heating system & central air * HMS warranty * Stained woodwork thru-out, window in every room, updated kitchen, 3 full floors of living space * Bakers alley & 9 foot ceilings *
-
2011-04-19$109,900 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
Bright & spacious brick victoria row * Formal living & dining room * Family room * Eat in kitchen * 3 bedrooms * Attic could be 2 more bedrooms(need heat) * Deck * Full basement * Newer heating system & central air * HMS warranty * Stained woodwork thru-out, window in every room, updated kitchen, 3 full floors of living space * Bakers alley & 9 foot ceilings *
-
2002-09-10soldstatus $77,000
-
2002-08-30soldstatus $76,900 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Pack your bags move in today Bright & spacious brick Victoria Row. Brand new carpet, freshly painted, stained woodwork thru-out, window in every room, updated kitchen, 3 full floors of living space. Bakers alley, 9 foot ceilings, newer roof 1994 with transferrable warranty. Show it today!
-
2002-06-20$76,900 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Pack your bags move in today Bright & spacious brick Victoria Row. Brand new carpet, freshly painted, stained woodwork thru-out, window in every room, updated kitchen, 3 full floors of living space. Bakers alley, 9 foot ceilings, newer roof 1994 with transferrable warranty. Show it today!
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2002-06-19historical
-
2002-02-18$76,900
-
1985-06-01soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,426 · $286/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,609 · $301/mo
- Expected delta
- +$183/yr (+$15/mo · 5.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,803
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,443
- − Property taxes
- −$3,426
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,464
- − Management
- −$2,464
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $824
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$198
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,408/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethlehem Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,124
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5068
- State rank
- #342 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bethlehem
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #1122
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bethlehem, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 129,661
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,965
- Household income
- $75,417
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1361.0
Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 312,227 people
- By 2030
- 314,769 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 316,914 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 318,037 · +1.9%
- By 2075
- 334,003 · +7.0%
- By 2100
- 344,696 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 2% Polish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Northampton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.46%
- Current HPI
- 301.1699
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.85%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+531.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $239,990 GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $249,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $259,900 GLVRMLS
- 2011-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 2011-06-30 Sold (MLS) $93,000 GLVRMLS
- 2011-04-19 Listed $109,900 GLVRMLS
- 2002-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 2002-08-30 Sold (MLS) $76,900 GLVRMLS
- 2002-06-20 Listed $76,900 GLVRMLS
- 2002-06-19 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2002-02-18 Listed $76,900 GLVRMLS
- 1985-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $3,426 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…