637 Clearview Dr · East Flat Rock, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Hendersonville NC. Single level floorplan inc a large living room and spacious kitchen with adj laundry room. 3 bedrooms with a master suite. Outbuilding for your storage needs. Property needs work and is priced accordingly. Property sold AS-IS/WHERE-IS with ALL FAULTS. Buyer or buyers agent to verify all stats.
Key facts
- Master suite
- Adj laundry room
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 3.5% in East Flat Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#536 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Henderson County Schools (suburban): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #64 of 178 in NC (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,534 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,171/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1420% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henderson County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $80k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.01%
- DSCR
- 3.85
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.88×
- Total profit
- $64,462
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 68.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.14×
- Total profit
- $159,821
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28792
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 364
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,171 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $833/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$456
- Net cashflow
- $1,193
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Hill Branch Rd Flat Rock, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $2,349 | $2.20 | 14d | 54 | 0.42mi |
| 119 Sharons Way East Flat Rock, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,100 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 18 Grove Hills Dr Flat Rock, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,800 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 52 Charleston View Ct Hendersonville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 887 | $1,395 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-03-19$79,900 Active
-
2024-08-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-08-06price $119,000
-
2024-08-06price $119,000
-
2024-08-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-07-29price $124,999
-
2024-07-29price $124,999
-
2024-07-22price $134,999
-
2024-07-22price $134,999
-
2024-07-17$144,999 Active
-
2024-06-28price $144,999
-
2024-06-06price $149,999
-
2024-05-13price $159,000
-
2024-05-05price $164,500
-
2024-04-27price $169,000
-
2024-04-10price $179,000
-
2024-01-22$199,000 Active
-
2023-12-31historical
-
1998-04-29soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $833 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $833 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$833
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,084
- − Management
- −$2,084
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $13,852
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,324
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,997/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henderson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702100
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,101
- Composite
- 42.5/100
- National rank
- #3206
- State rank
- #64 of 178 in NC
Livability — East Flat Rock
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #536
- US rank
- #19704
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Flat Rock, NC
- County
- Henderson County · 78,587 people
- City population
- 4,373
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,645
- Household income
- $55,522
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1420.0
Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,075 people
- By 2030
- 129,690 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 139,898 · +12.8%
- By 2050
- 148,298 · +19.5%
- By 2075
- 163,980 · +32.2%
- By 2100
- 166,962 · +34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 16%
Political lean MEDSL · Henderson
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.6) · D 42.1% · R 56.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.5pp toward D · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -14.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.6 2020: R+18.8 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+21.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.29%
- Current HPI
- 214.0215
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.63%
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+166.3% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Listed $79,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-06 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-06 Price Changed $119,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-06 Price Changed $119,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-06 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-29 Price Changed $124,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-29 Price Changed $124,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-22 Price Changed $134,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-22 Price Changed $134,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-17 Listed $144,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-28 Price Changed $144,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-06 Price Changed $149,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-13 Price Changed $159,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-05 Price Changed $164,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-27 Price Changed $169,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-10 Price Changed $179,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-22 Listed $199,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-31 Coming Soon — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.9%/yrLatest (2025): $833 · -8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…