147 Horton St · Chester Hill, PA 16866

$54,900

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Other · 8 Days on market

Built 1887 2.19 ac lot $70/sqft · 42% below area Est $94k · 42% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Key facts

• Two new windows
• Finished attic
• 2 acre lot

Tags

• 2 ACRE LOT
• OPEN DINING AND LIVING ROOM
• FINISHED ATTIC
• TWO NEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Private well water
• Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding
• Exterior features: Shingle roof; Approximately 2.19-acre lot

Interior

• Flooring: Wood; Carpet
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating
• Interior features: Wood and carpet flooring; Basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $615 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,336 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD (town): math 42% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #258 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Clearfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Clearfield County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1887 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $54,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1887 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.35% ✓
• Cap rate: 19.74%
• Cash-on-cash: 48.03%
• DSCR: 3.14
• GRM: 3.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $94,500
• List price: $54,900
• Delta: -41.90%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 7 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 61.9%
• Equity multiple: 5.50×
• Total profit: $69,118
• Equity at exit: $49,458

10-year hold

• IRR: 55.5%
• Equity multiple: 12.24×
• Total profit: $172,793
• Equity at exit: $106,659

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 16866

• Home prices YoY: 12.0%
• Active inventory: 36
• Price-to-rent: 3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,288 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$92 /mo · $1,098/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$270
• Net cashflow: $615

Break-even live

Break-even rent $509

Max offer price $54,900

Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,725
• Closing costs: $1,647
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-05
   status Pending 380-char remark
2. 2026-04-27
   listed $54,900 Active 380-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,098 · $92/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,098 · $92/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,456
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,075
• − Property taxes: −$1,098
• − Insurance: −$274
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,237
• − Management: −$1,237
• − Depreciation: −$1,597
• Taxable income: $6,938
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,665
• After-tax cash flow: $5,718/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD
• NCES district ID: 4219020
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $40,645
• Composite: 39.37/100
• National rank: #3977
• State rank: #258 of 539 in PA

Livability — Chester Hill

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #1336
• US rank: #16535

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 8,924

Population outlook (Clearfield County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 79,658 people
• By 2030: 78,358 · -1.6%
• By 2040: 74,670 · -6.3%
• By 2050: 70,186 · -11.9%
• By 2075: 60,391 · -24.2%
• By 2100: 46,886 · -41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Two or more races 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Polish 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Clearfield

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.9% · R 75.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -39.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.1pp · 2024: -51.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+49.6 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+12.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 30.47%
• Current HPI: 284.148
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-05 Pending — AHARMLS
• 2026-04-27 Listed $54,900 AHARMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,098 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.