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124 Arthur Ave
C+ Composite 62.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

124 Arthur Ave · Mansfield, OH 44903
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,356 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1930 $74/sqft · 56% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 124 Arthur Avenue, a completely remodeled 3-bed, 1.5-bath home offering 1,356 sq ft in Mansfield City Schools. Major 2026 updates include a new roof, siding, windows, furnace, A/C, water heater, electrical panel & wiring, plumbing, and block basement windows—providing peace of mind with top-to-bottom improvements throughout. Inside features tall ceilings and an open-concept living, kitchen & dining area with all new flooring & carpet, cabinets, countertops, stainless steel appliances, light fixtures, interior doors, outlets & switches, plus fresh interior paint. Both bathrooms were remodeled in 2026 with updated vanities, toilets, mirrors, tubs &

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • New siding
  • New water heater

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW SIDINGNEW WINDOWSNEW FURNACENEW A/CNEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking; Shared driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.3% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#224 in OH, #3,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities D-.
  • Mansfield City (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #590 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $100k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.87%
Cash-on-cash
12.79%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,115
List price
$99,900
Delta
55.81%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
175 S Mulberry St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,405 (+4%) 3mo $100,000 $71 77
453 W Dickson Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,352 (-0%) 2mo $79,000 $58 69
282 Vennum Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,416 (+4%) 3mo $94,000 $66 65
22 Small Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,394 (+3%) 3mo $137,600 $99 63
487 Davey Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,408 (+4%) 4mo $136,000 $97 62
126 Dawson Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,310 (-3%) 2mo $142,500 $109 61
108 S Stewart Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,404 (+4%) 1mo $85,000 $61 59
71 Dawson Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-8%) 2mo $165,000 $132 54
133 S Stewart Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,248 (-8%) 3mo $170,000 $136 49
228 Bowland Rd 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,555 (+15%) 0mo $207,000 $133 45
195 Hedges St 0.70mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,483 (+9%) 1mo $141,500 $95 43
183 E First St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-13%) 3mo $89,900 $76 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$2,758
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$26,677
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44903

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,127 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $321/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $750
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $355 -5% $326 +0% $298 +5% $270 +10% $242
Rent -10% $209 -5% $254 +0% $298 +5% $343 +10% $387
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $324 base $298 +0.5pp $272 +1.0pp $246

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
243 W 1st St Mansfield, OH 4.0 1.0 1470 $1,195 $0.81 44d 1 0.13mi
147 Ford St Mansfield, OH 3.0 1.5 1286 $995 $0.77 44d 1 0.77mi
19 State St Mansfield, OH 3.0 1.0 1040 $995 $0.96 44d 1 0.84mi
520 Lida St Mansfield, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $850 $0.65 44d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $99,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,900 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $109,900 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,900 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    listed $119,900 Active 984-char remark
  19. 2026-05-14
    listed $119,900 Active
  20. 2026-05-14
    listed $119,900 Active
  21. 2006-08-14
    soldstatus $53,500
  22. 1998-04-09
    soldstatus $30,000
  23. 1998-04-09
    soldstatus $14,000
  24. 1991-07-12
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$321 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$940 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$619/yr (+$52/mo · 192.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,526
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$321
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,082
− Management
−$1,082
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,038
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$489
After-tax cash flow
$3,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mansfield City
NCES district ID
3904429
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$32,435
Composite
23.25/100
National rank
#7934
State rank
#590 of 656 in OH

Livability — Mansfield

Score
76/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#3525

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mansfield, OH
County
Richland · 128,966 people
City population
16,349
Metro
Mansfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
26,804
Household income
$65,421
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
9.5

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
115,577 people
By 2030
111,669 · -3.4%
By 2040
103,323 · -10.6%
By 2050
95,135 · -17.7%
By 2075
76,719 · -33.6%
By 2100
57,188 · -50.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.4% · R 70.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -42.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.3 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.50%
Current HPI
241.9342
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+899.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $99,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $99,900 CBRMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $99,900 MARMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $109,900 MARMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $109,900 CBRMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $109,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $119,900 MARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $119,900 CBRMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $119,900 MLSNOW
  • 2006-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
  • 1998-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
  • 1998-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 1991-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $321 · -44.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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