124 Arthur Ave · Mansfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 124 Arthur Avenue, a completely remodeled 3-bed, 1.5-bath home offering 1,356 sq ft in Mansfield City Schools. Major 2026 updates include a new roof, siding, windows, furnace, A/C, water heater, electrical panel & wiring, plumbing, and block basement windows—providing peace of mind with top-to-bottom improvements throughout. Inside features tall ceilings and an open-concept living, kitchen & dining area with all new flooring & carpet, cabinets, countertops, stainless steel appliances, light fixtures, interior doors, outlets & switches, plus fresh interior paint. Both bathrooms were remodeled in 2026 with updated vanities, toilets, mirrors, tubs &
Key facts
- New furnace
- New siding
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking; Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.3% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#224 in OH, #3,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities D-.
- Mansfield City (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #590 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $100k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.79%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $64,115
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 55.81%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175 S Mulberry St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,405 (+4%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $71 | 77 |
| 453 W Dickson Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (-0%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $58 | 69 |
| 282 Vennum Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,416 (+4%) | 3mo | $94,000 | $66 | 65 |
| 22 Small Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,394 (+3%) | 3mo | $137,600 | $99 | 63 |
| 487 Davey Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (+4%) | 4mo | $136,000 | $97 | 62 |
| 126 Dawson Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,310 (-3%) | 2mo | $142,500 | $109 | 61 |
| 108 S Stewart Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,404 (+4%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $61 | 59 |
| 71 Dawson Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-8%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $132 | 54 |
| 133 S Stewart Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (-8%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $136 | 49 |
| 228 Bowland Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,555 (+15%) | 0mo | $207,000 | $133 | 45 |
| 195 Hedges St | 0.70mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,483 (+9%) | 1mo | $141,500 | $95 | 43 |
| 183 E First St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-13%) | 3mo | $89,900 | $76 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,758
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $26,677
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44903
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,127 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $321/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $355 | -5% $326 | +0% $298 | +5% $270 | +10% $242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $209 | -5% $254 | +0% $298 | +5% $343 | +10% $387 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $348 | -0.5pp $324 | base $298 | +0.5pp $272 | +1.0pp $246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243 W 1st St Mansfield, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,195 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 147 Ford St Mansfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1286 | $995 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 19 State St Mansfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $995 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 520 Lida St Mansfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $850 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $99,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $109,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$119,900 Active 984-char remark
-
2026-05-14$119,900 Active
-
2026-05-14$119,900 Active
-
2006-08-14soldstatus $53,500
-
1998-04-09soldstatus $30,000
-
1998-04-09soldstatus $14,000
-
1991-07-12soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $321 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $940 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$619/yr (+$52/mo · 192.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,526
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$321
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,082
- − Management
- −$1,082
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,038
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$489
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,088/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mansfield City
- NCES district ID
- 3904429
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,435
- Composite
- 23.25/100
- National rank
- #7934
- State rank
- #590 of 656 in OH
Livability — Mansfield
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #3525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mansfield, OH
- County
- Richland · 128,966 people
- City population
- 16,349
- Metro
- Mansfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,804
- Household income
- $65,421
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9.5
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 115,577 people
- By 2030
- 111,669 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 103,323 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 95,135 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 76,719 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 57,188 · -50.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.4% · R 70.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -42.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.3 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.50%
- Current HPI
- 241.9342
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+899.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $99,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $99,900 MARMLS
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $109,900 MARMLS
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $109,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $109,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-14 Listed $119,900 MARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $119,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $119,900 MLSNOW
- 2006-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
- 1998-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 1998-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1991-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.3%/yrLatest (2025): $321 · -44.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…