Duplex
401 W Park Ave · Vineland, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Large duplex with corner property! 2 bedroom, 1 bath and 1/2 basement for each side. All seperate utilities. Rents are $800 & $850. Living room, dining room and eat in kitchen on both sides!
Key facts
- Large corner lot
- Kitchen
- Living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No rent control
- Financial info: Ground rent paid annually; Existing leases include month-to-month and yearly tenants; Two units currently leased; One unit on month-to-month; Assessor listed above-grade finished area: 1,772; Improvement and land assessed values recorded
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking (5 spaces total, driveway provides 5 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property; 2 total levels; Fee simple ownership; Property in good condition
- Construction: Asbestos construction materials; Stone foundation; Architectural shingle roof; Built according to assessor year built source
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Other structures above and below grade
Interior
- Kitchen: Single oven
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (multi-unit property)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Heating & cooling: Hot water radiator heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; 100 Amp electric service
- Interior features: Traditional floor plan; Full unfinished basement with interior access and outside entrance
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $878 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $439/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.5% in Vineland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#363 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Vineland Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,321/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1328% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $260k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.48%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $331,364
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 636 E Pear St | 0.39mi | 3/— (-1) | 1,588 (-10%) | 5mo | $315,000 | $198 | 55 |
| 113 S 4th St | 0.48mi | 4/— | 1,956 (+10%) | 9mo | $365,000 | $187 | 53 |
| 329 W Grape St | 0.52mi | 3/— (-1) | 1,954 (+10%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $136 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $13,823
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $84,119
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08360
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,321 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$274 /mo · $3,292/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$697
- Net cashflow
- $878
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,025 | -5% $952 | +0% $878 | +5% $804 | +10% $731 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $616 | -5% $747 | +0% $878 | +5% $1,009 | +10% $1,140 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,009 | -0.5pp $944 | base $878 | +0.5pp $811 | +1.0pp $742 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,320 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,660 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,660 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,321 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-01$259,900 Active
-
2011-05-05soldstatus $95,000
-
2011-05-04soldstatus $95,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
LARGE DUPLEX WITH CORNER PROPERTY! 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH AND 1/2 BASEMENT FOR EACH SIDE. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. RENTS ARE $800 & $850. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM AND EAT IN KITCHEN ON BOTH SIDES!
-
2011-05-04soldstatus $95,000 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
LARGE DUPLEX WITH CORNER PROPERTY! 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH AND 1/2 BASEMENT FOR EACH SIDE. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. RENTS ARE $800 & $850. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM AND EAT IN KITCHEN ON BOTH SIDES!
-
2011-04-18historical 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
LARGE DUPLEX WITH CORNER PROPERTY! 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH AND 1/2 BASEMENT FOR EACH SIDE. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. RENTS ARE $800 & $850. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM AND EAT IN KITCHEN ON BOTH SIDES!
-
2011-04-08historical 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Large duplex with corner property! 2 bedroom, 1 bath and 1/2 basement for each side. All seperate utilities. Rents are $800 & $850. Living room, dining room and eat in kitchen on both sides!
-
2011-01-05$124,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
LARGE DUPLEX WITH CORNER PROPERTY! 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH AND 1/2 BASEMENT FOR EACH SIDE. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. RENTS ARE $800 & $850. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM AND EAT IN KITCHEN ON BOTH SIDES!
-
2011-01-05$124,900 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
LARGE DUPLEX WITH CORNER PROPERTY! 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH AND 1/2 BASEMENT FOR EACH SIDE. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. RENTS ARE $800 & $850. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM AND EAT IN KITCHEN ON BOTH SIDES!
-
2011-01-01historical
-
2010-12-31historical
-
2010-03-28$139,000
-
2010-03-28$139,000
-
1988-03-10soldstatus $45,000
-
1984-06-13soldstatus $23,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,292 · $274/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,882 · $407/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,590/yr (+$132/mo · 48.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,852
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$3,292
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,188
- − Management
- −$3,188
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable income
- $6,765
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,623
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,912/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vineland Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416800
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,168
- Composite
- 19.17/100
- National rank
- #8819
- State rank
- #418 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Vineland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #12180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vineland, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 45,038
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,038
- Household income
- $65,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 33% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 37% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -320.06%
- Current HPI
- 278.786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+1006.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $259,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2011-05-04 Sold (MLS) $95,000 SJSRMLS
- 2011-05-04 Sold (MLS) $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-04-18 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2011-04-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-01-05 Listed $124,900 SJSRMLS
- 2011-01-05 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-01-01 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2010-12-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-03-28 Listed $139,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-03-28 Listed $139,000 SJSRMLS
- 1988-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1984-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,292 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…