5884 Leon Dr · Sun Valley, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$294,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover a property offering flexibility and privacy. This property features two bedrooms and three bathrooms, along with three separate living areas, making it ideal for multigenerational living. It also presents a great investment opportunity. Located on a quiet cul-de-sac, this gated, and fully fenced property provides added security and room to make it your own. The property is being sold as-is, offering outstanding potential for the right buyer. Buyer Agent please see Private Remarks
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Gated
- 0.26 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $294k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (10.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $259k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.7% in Sun Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#72 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Washoe County School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 17 in NV (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,085 units permitted in Washoe County in 2024 (1,634 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Washoe County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $82k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $200k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.34%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $342,500
- List price
- $294,500
- Delta
- -14.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6120 Leon Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (-1%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $236 | 68 |
| 240 Elquist Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,502 (-9%) | 13mo | $345,000 | $230 | 63 |
| 230 Penelope Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (-14%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $207 | 54 |
| 6040 Smokey Canyon Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-13%) | 14mo | $300,000 | $208 | 47 |
| 6140 Dutch Flat Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,708 (+4%) | 11mo | $249,000 | $146 | 46 |
| 5743 Yukon | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+9%) | 12mo | $348,000 | $193 | 46 |
| 200 Harmony Ln | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,760 (+7%) | 8mo | $405,000 | $230 | 45 |
| 5759 Sidehill Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,760 (+7%) | 9mo | $425,000 | $241 | 43 |
| 5742 Yukon Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-13%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $191 | 43 |
| 5761 Sidehill Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,760 (+7%) | 12mo | $419,900 | $239 | 41 |
| 180 Staci Way | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,816 (+10%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $179 | 39 |
| 6235 Dutch Flat Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-13%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $240 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $26,037
- Equity at exit
- $97,675
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $104,163
- Equity at exit
- $127,617
Cash invested: $82,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89433
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,643 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,544
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $649/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$555
- Net cashflow
- $367
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,625
- Closing costs
- $8,835
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5363 Crest Cove Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5363 Crest Cove Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 419 Leland Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 425 Leland Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 431 Leland Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5370 Beverly Lake Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5366 Beverly Lake Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5377 Camino Carlos Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5362 Beverly Lake Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5373 Camino Carlos Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5359 Beverly Lake Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,700 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5360 Corral Dr Sun Valley, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $294,500 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $294,500 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $294,500 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $294,500 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $294,500 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $294,500 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $294,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $294,500 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $294,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $294,500 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $294,500 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $294,500 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $294,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $294,500 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $294,500 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $294,500 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Discover a property offering flexibility and privacy. This property features two bedrooms and three bathrooms, along with three separate living areas, making it ideal for multigenerational living. It also presents a great investment opportunity. Located on a quiet cul-de-sac, this gated, and fully fenced property provides added security and room to make it your own. The property is being sold as-is, offering outstanding potential for the right buyer. Buyer Agent please see Private Remarks
-
2025-12-11$310,000 Active 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Discover a property offering flexibility and privacy. This property features two bedrooms and three bathrooms, along with three separate living areas, making it ideal for multigenerational living. It also presents a great investment opportunity. Located on a quiet cul-de-sac, this gated, and fully fenced property provides added security and room to make it your own. The property is being sold as-is, offering outstanding potential for the right buyer. Buyer Agent please see Private Remarks
-
2022-12-15historical
-
2022-08-01$315,000 Active - New
-
2018-03-21price $215,000
-
2018-03-21status Active - Extended
-
2018-03-16soldstatus $200,000 Sold
-
2018-03-16soldstatus $200,000
-
2018-02-19status Pending
-
2018-02-19historical
-
2018-02-10$215,000 Active - New
-
2018-02-10historical
-
2017-11-03status Active - Back on Market
-
2017-10-25historical Active - Pending
-
2017-10-13price $119,900
-
2017-09-28price $126,900
-
2017-09-06price $131,900
-
2017-08-10$141,900 Active - New
-
2003-04-17historical
-
2002-05-09$107,500
-
2000-06-30historical
-
1999-04-27$94,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $649 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,089/yr (+$91/mo · 167.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,719
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,497
- − Property taxes
- −$649
- − Insurance
- −$1,472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,537
- − Management
- −$2,537
- − Depreciation
- −$8,567
- Taxable loss
- −$542
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$130
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,534/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washoe County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200480
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,025
- Composite
- 32.44/100
- National rank
- #5721
- State rank
- #6 of 17 in NV
Livability — Sun Valley
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #17949
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sun Valley, NV
- City population
- 23,385
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,385
Population outlook (Washoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 499,260 people
- By 2030
- 523,429 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 564,420 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 595,548 · +19.3%
- By 2075
- 652,375 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 661,518 · +32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 39% Two or more races 16% Native American 3% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 46%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washoe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.3% · R 48.3% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 1.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.0 2020: D+4.5 2016: D+1.2 2012: D+3.6 2008: D+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Current HPI
- 310.5538
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+210.3% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $294,500 NNRMLS
- 2025-12-11 Listed $310,000 NNRMLS
- 2022-12-15 Listing Removed — NNRMLS
- 2022-08-01 Listed $315,000 NNRMLS
- 2018-03-21 Price Changed $215,000 NNRMLS
- 2018-03-21 Relisted — NNRMLS
- 2018-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-16 Sold (MLS) $200,000 NNRMLS
- 2018-02-19 Pending — NNRMLS
- 2018-02-19 Listing Removed — NNRMLS
- 2018-02-10 Listing Removed — NNRMLS
- 2018-02-10 Listed $215,000 NNRMLS
- 2017-11-03 Relisted — NNRMLS
- 2017-10-25 Contingent — NNRMLS
- 2017-10-13 Price Changed $119,900 NNRMLS
- 2017-09-28 Price Changed $126,900 NNRMLS
- 2017-09-06 Price Changed $131,900 NNRMLS
- 2017-08-10 Listed $141,900 NNRMLS
- 2003-04-17 Listing Removed — NNRMLS
- 2002-05-09 Listed $107,500 NNRMLS
- 2000-06-30 Listing Removed — NNRMLS
- 1999-04-27 Listed $94,900 NNRMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $649 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…