434 Mansfield K · Boca Raton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
STEP INTO YOUR FIRST-FLOOR DREAM CONDO IN AN ACTIVE 55 + COMMUNITY, JUST STEPS FROM THE PARKING SPOT! THIS BRIGHT CORNER UNIT OFFERS EXTRA WINDOWS, AN UPDATED KITCHEN WITH STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, AND UPDATED FLOORING. RELAX IN THE UPDATED BATHROOM FEATURING A VERY STYLISH STALL SHOWER. PLANTATION SHUTTERS ADD ELEGANCE, AND THE CONVENIENT FIRST-FLOOR ACCESS MAKES EVERYDAY LIVING A BREEZE! ALSO PERFECT FOR INVESTORS.
Key facts
- Stall shower
- Updated kitchen
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed; Senior community
- HOA & community: Community association with monthly fee; Association amenities include billiard room, elevators, fitness center, game room, indoor pool, laundry, parking, outdoor pool, shuffleboard court, storage, tennis courts, bocce ball, courtesy bus, library, and pickleball courts; Association fee is paid monthly and includes maintenance of grounds, security, trash, water, elevator, and recreation facilities
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
- Security: Gated community with guard
- Utilities: Water available
- Home design: Condominium; Multi/split levels; Faces east; Resale property
- Construction: CBS construction; Tar/gravel roof; Three-story building; Built as part of condominium (public records building area listed)
- Exterior features: Screened patio; Patio; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bath; One half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Stacked bedroom layout; Double hung metal windows; Single hung metal windows; Sliding windows
- Laundry & utility: Community laundry (association amenity)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.8% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Whispering Pines Elementary School (math 62% / reading 69%, grade B+, #500 of 2,144 statewide, top 24%, 1,015 students, 25% FRL); Eagles Landing Middle School (math 66% / reading 67%, grade A-, #84 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,508 students, 27% FRL); Olympic Heights Community High (math 52% / reading 64%, grade C, #120 of 667 statewide, top 18%, 2,602 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 27% FRL vs 52% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 63% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 421 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $120k implies a 380% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.74%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-11,078
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-3,989
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33434
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 421
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,864 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,603/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $229 | -5% $195 | +0% $161 | +5% $127 | +10% $93 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13 | -5% $87 | +0% $161 | +5% $234 | +10% $308 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $221 | -0.5pp $191 | base $161 | +0.5pp $130 | +1.0pp $98 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 Mansfield B #84 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,550 | $1.85 | 0d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 540 Mansfield M Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,400 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 86 Mansfield C Unit C Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,700 | $2.36 | 12d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 256 Mansfield G Unit G Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 19d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 375 Mansfield I Unit I Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,625 | $1.93 | 0d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 534 Mansfield M #534 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 715 | $1,300 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 445 Mansfield K #445 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,700 | $2.02 | 8d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4014 Newcastle A Unit A Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 738 | $1,495 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1025 Newcastle B #1025 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 17d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2017 Newcastle A Unit 2017 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 332 Mansfield H Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,650 | $1.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 202 Mansfield E Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,450 | $2.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 144 Mansfield D Unit d Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,500 | $1.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 457 Mansfield I Unit 457 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,700 | $2.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 99 Mansfield D #99 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,500 | $1.79 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 517 Mansfield M Unit 517 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 715 | $1,550 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 474 Mansfield L Unit L Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,400 | $1.94 | 11d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 77 Preston Way #77 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,450 | $2.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 162 Preston D Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,495 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 77 Preston Way #77 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,350 | $2.25 | 8d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 351 Mansfield Dr #351 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $2,300 | $2.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 497 Mansfield L Unit L Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,500 | $1.85 | 0d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 445 Mansfield M Unit 445 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,700 | $2.02 | 8d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4047 Lincoln C Unit C Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $2,100 | $2.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 543 Mansfield M #543 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 835 | $1,890 | $2.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 9 Mansfield B #9 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 810 | $1,400 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 431 Mansfield K Unit K Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 835 | $1,600 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 392 Mansfield I Unit I Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,850 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 588 Mansfield M Unit M Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 835 | $1,475 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 84 Mansfield Dr Unit 84 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,583 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4019 Lincoln A Unit A Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,600 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4030 Rexford B Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $1,700 | $1.86 | 19d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2039 Rexford C Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,550 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1030 Rexford B Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 149 Preston Way #149 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,300 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 91 Preston Way Unit 91 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,500 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 74 Preston Way Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 74 Preston Way Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 204 Preston Way #204 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,500 | $1.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 149 Preston Way #149 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,350 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $119,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $129,900
-
2026-04-08price $134,900
-
2026-03-07$139,900 Active
-
2011-11-29soldstatus $25,000
-
1994-03-02soldstatus $54,000
-
1981-08-01soldstatus $44,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,603 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,603 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,374
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,603
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,790
- − Management
- −$1,790
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $387
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$93
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,835/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Boca Raton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #3070
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 250,102
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,686
- Household income
- $77,269
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 812.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 8% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -279.89%
- Current HPI
- 271.1328
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+193.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $129,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $134,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-07 Listed $139,900 Beaches MLS
- 2011-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1994-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 1981-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,603 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…