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197 Church St
C+ Composite 61.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$140,000

197 Church St · Hoosick Falls, NY 12090
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1870 6,969 sqft lot $97/sqft · 20% below area Est $175k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move right in. Nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath village home in great neighborhood. Walking distance to village and town offices, post office, stores, churches, pool, playground, skating rink, and golf course. Large fenced back yard.

Key facts

  • Walking distance
  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

LARGE FENCED BACK YARDWALKING DISTANCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.7% in Hoosick Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#371 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hoosick Falls Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #469 of 755 in NY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $123,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.73%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,930
List price
$140,000
Delta
-19.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
166 Church St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,440 (0%) 8mo $240,000 $167 84
20 Carey Ave 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,493 (+4%) 8mo $160,000 $107 79
115 Railroad Ave 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,338 (-7%) 10mo $149,460 $112 75
31 Carey Ave 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,337 (-7%) 2mo $134,900 $101 75
3 Estabrook Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,515 (+5%) 6mo $192,000 $127 72
6 1st St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,510 (+5%) 13mo $152,600 $101 69
36 3rd St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,344 (-7%) 3mo $32,500 $24 64
7 4th St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,374 (-5%) 15mo $153,000 $111 62
8 Carey Ave 0.12mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,596 (+11%) 13mo $160,000 $100 61
84 Richmond Ave 0.56mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,447 (+0%) 9mo $155,000 $107 60
18 Carey Ave 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,636 (+14%) 9mo $79,500 $49 57
12 Mccaffrey St 0.31mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,607 (+12%) 9mo $220,000 $137 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$8,553
Equity at exit
$47,942
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$41,678
Equity at exit
$63,825

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12090

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,516 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$316 /mo · $3,794/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,403
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $169 -5% $129 +0% $89 +5% $50 +10% $10
Rent -10% $-31 -5% $29 +0% $89 +5% $149 +10% $209
Rate -1.0pp $160 -0.5pp $125 base $89 +0.5pp $53 +1.0pp $16

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Move right in. Nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath village home in great neighborhood. Walking distance to village and town offices, post office, stores, churches, pool, playground, skating rink, and golf course. Large fenced back yard.

  2. 2026-05-04
    historical Contingent 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Move right in. Nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath village home in great neighborhood. Walking distance to village and town offices, post office, stores, churches, pool, playground, skating rink, and golf course. Large fenced back yard.

  3. 2026-04-28
    status Active 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Move right in. Nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath village home in great neighborhood. Walking distance to village and town offices, post office, stores, churches, pool, playground, skating rink, and golf course. Large fenced back yard.

  4. 2026-01-22
    status Pending 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Move right in. Nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath village home in great neighborhood. Walking distance to village and town offices, post office, stores, churches, pool, playground, skating rink, and golf course. Large fenced back yard.

  5. 2026-01-14
    historical Contingent 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Move right in. Nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath village home in great neighborhood. Walking distance to village and town offices, post office, stores, churches, pool, playground, skating rink, and golf course. Large fenced back yard.

  6. 2025-12-09
    price $140,000 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Move right in. Nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath village home in great neighborhood. Walking distance to village and town offices, post office, stores, churches, pool, playground, skating rink, and golf course. Large fenced back yard.

  7. 2025-10-25
    status Active 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Move right in. Nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath village home in great neighborhood. Walking distance to village and town offices, post office, stores, churches, pool, playground, skating rink, and golf course. Large fenced back yard.

  8. 2025-10-20
    historical Contingent 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Move right in. Nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath village home in great neighborhood. Walking distance to village and town offices, post office, stores, churches, pool, playground, skating rink, and golf course. Large fenced back yard.

  9. 2025-10-02
    listed $159,000 Active 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Move right in. Nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath village home in great neighborhood. Walking distance to village and town offices, post office, stores, churches, pool, playground, skating rink, and golf course. Large fenced back yard.

  10. 2018-11-25
    historical
  11. 2018-08-10
    price $69,900
  12. 2018-03-30
    price $84,000
  13. 2017-11-25
    price $89,000
  14. 2017-11-24
    status Price Change
  15. 2017-11-24
    listed $89,000 New
  16. 2017-11-24
    historical
  17. 2016-11-28
    historical
  18. 2016-08-21
    listed $99,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,794 · $316/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,794 · $316/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,197
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$3,794
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,456
− Management
−$1,456
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$1,124
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$270
After-tax cash flow
$1,341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hoosick Falls Central School District
NCES district ID
3614760
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,349
Composite
44.44/100
National rank
#6093
State rank
#469 of 755 in NY

Livability — Hoosick Falls

Score
72/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#6412

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hoosick Falls, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,874

Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,400 people
By 2030
161,746 · -0.4%
By 2040
158,095 · -2.7%
By 2050
152,966 · -5.8%
By 2075
140,767 · -13.3%
By 2100
124,727 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.02%
Current HPI
218.9096
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.4% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent Global MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted Global MLS
  • 2026-01-22 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Contingent Global MLS
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $140,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-10-25 Relisted Global MLS
  • 2025-10-20 Contingent Global MLS
  • 2025-10-02 Listed $159,000 Global MLS
  • 2018-11-25 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2018-08-10 Price Changed $69,900 Global MLS
  • 2018-03-30 Price Changed $84,000 Global MLS
  • 2017-11-25 Price Changed $89,000 Global MLS
  • 2017-11-24 Relisted Global MLS
  • 2017-11-24 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2017-11-24 Listed $89,000 Global MLS
  • 2016-11-28 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2016-08-21 Listed $99,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,794 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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