CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
505 Spear Ave
D Composite 44.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$284,900

505 Spear Ave · Duluth, MN 55803
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,221 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1920 6,969 sqft lot $233/sqft · at area comps Est $272k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely updated and move-in ready, this charming bungalow at 505 Spear Ave offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and thoughtful upgrades throughout. The home features new flooring across multiple spaces, an updated primary bedroom with a spacious closet, and a bright, open layout with a large kitchen showcasing butcher block countertops, electric stove, dishwasher, and newer appliances. Enjoy a formal dining area and an oversized deck - perfect for entertaining - along with a fully fenced yard. Additional improvements include a new basement shower (3/4 bath), new basement stairs, newer washer and dryer, and vinyl windows. The exterior offers cedar shake siding on the home, vinyl siding on the garage, a detached 2-car garage plus additional parking pad, and a raised porch with new flooring. Situated on a private lot with great functionality inside and out, this home blends classic character with modern updates, just minutes from Morley Park and offering quick access to the scenic trails, nature, and year-round recreation of Hartley Park and Amity Park.

Key facts

  • Cedar shake siding
  • Oversized deck
  • New basement shower

Tags

UPDATED PRIMARY BEDROOMBUTCHERBLOCK COUNTERTOPSOVERSIZED DECKFULLY FENCED YARDNEW BASEMENT SHOWERCEDAR SHAKE SIDING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage (2 garage spaces)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric service provided by Minnesota Power; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One and one-half story design; Above-grade finished area about 1,225 square feet
  • Construction: Poured concrete foundation (approx. 37 x 22 foundation dimensions); Built area / foundation area about 1,225
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior; Full yard fencing; Lot roughly 0.16 acres (approx. 55 x 127)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two on upper level, one on main level)
  • Bathrooms: Main floor full bathroom; Lower level 3/4 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Full poured concrete basement; One and one-half levels
  • Laundry & utility: Natural gas fuel for heating/utility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (10.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $256k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Congdon Elementary (math 71% / reading 76%, grade A, #41 of 857 statewide, top 5%, 452 students, 20% FRL); Ordean East Middle School (math 45% / reading 61%, grade C+, #53 of 258 statewide, top 22%, 989 students, 26% FRL); East High School (math 42% / reading 73%, grade C, #59 of 471 statewide, top 13%, 1,494 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 39% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $225k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $255,903 (10.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.36%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$272,302
List price
$284,900
Delta
4.63%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
521 Sparkman Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,157 (-5%) 7mo $250,000 $216 77
552 Park St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,220 (-0%) 10mo $244,900 $201 77
555 Park St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,170 (-4%) 2mo $312,000 $267 70
219 Mygatt Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,152 (-6%) 11mo $325,000 $282 61
2346 Vermilion Rd 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,360 (+11%) 23mo $327,500 $241 46
111 Snively Rd 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,141 (-7%) 22mo $275,000 $241 44
16 E St. Andrews St 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,368 (+12%) 20mo $335,000 $245 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-36,200
Equity at exit
$42,480
10-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-18,759
Equity at exit
$24,633

Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55803

Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,559 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,494
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,024/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$537
Net cashflow
$157

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,360
Max offer price $284,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $318 -5% $238 +0% $157 +5% $76 +10% $-4
Rent -10% $-45 -5% $56 +0% $157 +5% $258 +10% $359
Rate -1.0pp $300 -0.5pp $229 base $157 +0.5pp $83 +1.0pp $8

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,225
Closing costs
$8,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3780 London Rd Duluth, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1312 $3,485 $2.66 14d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $284,900 Pending 35 DOM
    Show marketing remark (1064 chars)

    Completely updated and move-in ready, this charming bungalow at 505 Spear Ave offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and thoughtful upgrades throughout. The home features new flooring across multiple spaces, an updated primary bedroom with a spacious closet, and a bright, open layout with a large kitchen showcasing butcher block countertops, electric stove, dishwasher, and newer appliances. Enjoy a formal dining area and an oversized deck - perfect for entertaining - along with a fully fenced yard. Additional improvements include a new basement shower (3/4 bath), new basement stairs, newer washer and dryer, and vinyl windows. The exterior offers cedar shake siding on the home, vinyl siding on the garage, a detached 2-car garage plus additional parking pad, and a raised porch with new flooring. Situated on a private lot with great functionality inside and out, this home blends classic character with modern updates, just minutes from Morley Park and offering quick access to the scenic trails, nature, and year-round recreation of Hartley Park and Amity Park.

  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $284,900 Contingent - Inspection 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $284,900 Contingent - Inspection 33 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $284,900 Contingent - Inspection 32 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $284,900 Contingent - Inspection 31 DOM
  6. 2026-05-04
    historical Contingent - Inspection 1063-char remark
  7. 2026-04-29
    listed $284,900 Active 1064-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1064 chars)

    Completely updated and move-in ready, this charming bungalow at 505 Spear Ave offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and thoughtful upgrades throughout. The home features new flooring across multiple spaces, an updated primary bedroom with a spacious closet, and a bright, open layout with a large kitchen showcasing butcher block countertops, electric stove, dishwasher, and newer appliances. Enjoy a formal dining area and an oversized deck - perfect for entertaining - along with a fully fenced yard. Additional improvements include a new basement shower (3/4 bath), new basement stairs, newer washer and dryer, and vinyl windows. The exterior offers cedar shake siding on the home, vinyl siding on the garage, a detached 2-car garage plus additional parking pad, and a raised porch with new flooring. Situated on a private lot with great functionality inside and out, this home blends classic character with modern updates, just minutes from Morley Park and offering quick access to the scenic trails, nature, and year-round recreation of Hartley Park and Amity Park.

  8. 2026-04-29
    listed $284,900 Active 1063-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1064 chars)

    Completely updated and move-in ready, this charming bungalow at 505 Spear Ave offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and thoughtful upgrades throughout. The home features new flooring across multiple spaces, an updated primary bedroom with a spacious closet, and a bright, open layout with a large kitchen showcasing butcher block countertops, electric stove, dishwasher, and newer appliances. Enjoy a formal dining area and an oversized deck - perfect for entertaining - along with a fully fenced yard. Additional improvements include a new basement shower (3/4 bath), new basement stairs, newer washer and dryer, and vinyl windows. The exterior offers cedar shake siding on the home, vinyl siding on the garage, a detached 2-car garage plus additional parking pad, and a raised porch with new flooring. Situated on a private lot with great functionality inside and out, this home blends classic character with modern updates, just minutes from Morley Park and offering quick access to the scenic trails, nature, and year-round recreation of Hartley Park and Amity Park.

  9. 2022-07-25
    soldstatus $225,000
  10. 2022-07-14
    soldstatus $225,000
    Show marketing remark (811 chars)

    A character filled traditional home in Hunter's Park neighborhood! This charming home features a large living room, formal dining room, lovely updated kitchen, main floor bedroom, and a newly remodeled full bath. The upper level has two bedrooms with ample closet space. The lower level hosts a 3/4 bath, utility space, and tons of storage. Enjoy the backyard deck and a fully fenced yard! Be sure not to miss the 2+ car BEAUTIFUL garage! Seller's updates include a water heater, some new windows, freshly painted living/dining rooms, newly painted cabinets, exposed chimney brick in the kitchen, six-panel doors, and sheetrock (upper bedrooms). Only a few steps away from the Morley Park neighborhood park! Plus minutes from Trails in Hartley Park & Amity Park. Come take a look at this sweet home today!

  11. 2022-05-31
    listed $225,000
    Show marketing remark (811 chars)

    A character filled traditional home in Hunter's Park neighborhood! This charming home features a large living room, formal dining room, lovely updated kitchen, main floor bedroom, and a newly remodeled full bath. The upper level has two bedrooms with ample closet space. The lower level hosts a 3/4 bath, utility space, and tons of storage. Enjoy the backyard deck and a fully fenced yard! Be sure not to miss the 2+ car BEAUTIFUL garage! Seller's updates include a water heater, some new windows, freshly painted living/dining rooms, newly painted cabinets, exposed chimney brick in the kitchen, six-panel doors, and sheetrock (upper bedrooms). Only a few steps away from the Morley Park neighborhood park! Plus minutes from Trails in Hartley Park & Amity Park. Come take a look at this sweet home today!

  12. 2008-05-05
    soldstatus $117,951
  13. 2007-04-09
    soldstatus $115,000
  14. 2007-04-09
    soldstatus $117,950
  15. 2005-06-01
    historical
  16. 2005-05-03
    listed $147,900
  17. 2001-07-31
    soldstatus $89,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,024 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,107 · $259/mo
Expected delta
+$83/yr (+$7/mo · 2.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,708
− Mortgage interest
−$15,959
− Property taxes
−$3,024
− Insurance
−$1,424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,457
− Management
−$2,457
− Depreciation
−$8,288
Taxable loss
−$2,900
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$696
After-tax cash flow
$2,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duluth Public School District
NCES district ID
2711040
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,692
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3360
State rank
#132 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
71,097
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
17,662
Household income
$105,888
Rent vs Own
16.5% rent · 83.5% own
Severe rent burden
322.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 16% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -363.34%
Current HPI
197.6712
Rent YoY
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+220.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Pending LSAR
  • 2026-06-03 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $284,900 LSAR
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $284,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-14 Sold (MLS) $225,000 LSAR
  • 2022-05-31 Listed $225,000 LSAR
  • 2008-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $117,951 Public Records
  • 2007-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $117,950 Public Records
  • 2007-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-01 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-05-03 Listed $147,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,024 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…