213 E Lakeview Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has great potential for the right person. Home needs work. .. .. .
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1950
- Listed 184 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 34.6% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 101.23%
- DSCR
- 5.50
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $77,532
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 352 Buckingham Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,055 (-3%) | 0mo | $98,500 | $93 | 67 |
| 326 Burroughs Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-8%) | 2mo | $47,500 | $47 | 61 |
| 612 Alvord Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,082 (-1%) | 4mo | $76,500 | $71 | 58 |
| 609 Lippincott Blvd | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-1%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $37 | 53 |
| 701 Waldman Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,063 (-3%) | 11mo | $37,000 | $35 | 52 |
| 4133 Custer Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 | 1,192 (+9%) | 3mo | $114,000 | $96 | 50 |
| 2041 Warner Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,001 (-8%) | 1mo | $24,000 | $24 | 47 |
| 515 Leland St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,209 (+11%) | 8mo | $93,000 | $77 | 44 |
| 616 Waldman Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 956 (-12%) | 9mo | $15,900 | $17 | 41 |
| 727 Waldman Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 956 (-12%) | 5mo | $79,600 | $83 | 38 |
| 601 Buckingham Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 942 (-14%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $48 | 38 |
| 4526 Milton Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 929 (-15%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $97 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.58×
- Total profit
- $39,064
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.35×
- Total profit
- $107,479
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48503
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,033 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,005/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $591
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $605 | -5% $598 | +0% $591 | +5% $583 | +10% $576 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $509 | -5% $550 | +0% $591 | +5% $631 | +10% $672 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $603 | -0.5pp $597 | base $591 | +0.5pp $584 | +1.0pp $577 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Lippincott Blvd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $695 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4411 Red Arrow Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 912 Waldman Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $675 | $0.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $850 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3291 Glengary St Burton, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,075 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 805 E Hemphill Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1034 McKeighan Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,250 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 666 | $960 | $1.44 | 14d | 19 | 1.22mi |
| 4509 Cheyenne Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2266 Donovan St Burton, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 132 Pine Blf Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $953 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2024-12-17status Pending
-
2023-04-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
This home has great potential for the right person. Home needs work. .. .. .
-
2023-04-20status Pending 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
This home has great potential for the right person. Home needs work. .. .. .
-
2022-10-18$25,000 Active
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
This home has great potential for the right person. Home needs work. .. .. .
-
2022-10-18$25,000 Active 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
This home has great potential for the right person. Home needs work. .. .. .
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,005 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,005 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$1,005
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$991
- − Management
- −$991
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $7,151
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,716
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,370/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,347
- Household income
- $44,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1293.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.84%
- Current HPI
- 130.1152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.35%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-04-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-04-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-18 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-18 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,005 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…