402 Ohio St · Ashland, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Need garage space? Check out this 3+ car garage home with renovation potential and a layout that is hard to find at this price point. This two-story home includes a main-floor bedroom, two upstairs bedrooms, and a flex/bonus room that could serve as a large closet, office, or additional finished space depending on your needs. The main level also features a full bath, a large oak cabinet kitchen, a separate dining room, and an extra-large living room. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the standout feature is the three-plus car garage, offering room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or workshop use. Built in 1903, the home has approximately 1,468 square feet and sits on a city lot in Ashland. The home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, garage capacity, and renovation potential.
Key facts
- Main-floor bedroom
- Flex bonus room
- Separate dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $127k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
- Recommended offer: $125k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.8% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Ashland City (town): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #165 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.35%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,869
- List price
- $127,000
- Delta
- -5.13%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 Myers Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (-4%) | 4mo | $151,000 | $107 | 82 |
| 846 Sandusky St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,482 (+1%) | 3mo | $219,900 | $148 | 78 |
| 410 Ohio St | 0.02mi | 3/1.5 | 1,288 (-12%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $116 | 74 |
| 1407 Cottage St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-7%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $37 | 70 |
| 1210 Cottage St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,564 (+6%) | 4mo | $72,500 | $46 | 68 |
| 316 Lindale Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+10%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $102 | 67 |
| 122 Lindale Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-10%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $95 | 61 |
| 605 Evergreen St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,276 (-13%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $125 | 60 |
| 827 Orange St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,664 (+13%) | 6mo | $231,900 | $139 | 56 |
| 1411 Orange Rd | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,550 (+6%) | 2mo | $218,000 | $141 | 56 |
| 857 Sandusky St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-12%) | 4mo | $204,000 | $157 | 55 |
| 1008 Valley Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-10%) | 6mo | $287,400 | $218 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,119
- Equity at exit
- $18,936
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $41,858
- Equity at exit
- $10,981
Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44805
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,316 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$666
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $290 | -5% $254 | +0% $218 | +5% $182 | +10% $146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $114 | -5% $166 | +0% $218 | +5% $270 | +10% $322 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $282 | -0.5pp $250 | base $218 | +0.5pp $185 | +1.0pp $151 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,750
- Closing costs
- $3,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Race St Unit 200 Ashland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1532 | $735 | $0.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 917 Birch St Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 510 Broad St Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1681 | $1,650 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 222 E Walnut St Unit 212 Ashland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $900 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 606 Edgehill Ave Ashland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $1,850 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $127,000 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $127,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $127,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $127,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricestatus $139,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Pending 812-char remark
Show marketing remark (812 chars)
Need garage space? Check out this 3+ car garage home with renovation potential and a layout that is hard to find at this price point. This two-story home includes a main-floor bedroom, two upstairs bedrooms, and a flex/bonus room that could serve as a large closet, office, or additional finished space depending on your needs. The main level also features a full bath, a large oak cabinet kitchen, a separate dining room, and an extra-large living room. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the standout feature is the three-plus car garage, offering room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or workshop use. Built in 1903, the home has approximately 1,468 square feet and sits on a city lot in Ashland. The home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, garage capacity, and renovation potential.
-
2026-05-01status Active 812-char remark
Show marketing remark (812 chars)
Need garage space? Check out this 3+ car garage home with renovation potential and a layout that is hard to find at this price point. This two-story home includes a main-floor bedroom, two upstairs bedrooms, and a flex/bonus room that could serve as a large closet, office, or additional finished space depending on your needs. The main level also features a full bath, a large oak cabinet kitchen, a separate dining room, and an extra-large living room. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the standout feature is the three-plus car garage, offering room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or workshop use. Built in 1903, the home has approximately 1,468 square feet and sits on a city lot in Ashland. The home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, garage capacity, and renovation potential.
-
2026-03-28status Pending 812-char remark
Show marketing remark (812 chars)
Need garage space? Check out this 3+ car garage home with renovation potential and a layout that is hard to find at this price point. This two-story home includes a main-floor bedroom, two upstairs bedrooms, and a flex/bonus room that could serve as a large closet, office, or additional finished space depending on your needs. The main level also features a full bath, a large oak cabinet kitchen, a separate dining room, and an extra-large living room. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the standout feature is the three-plus car garage, offering room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or workshop use. Built in 1903, the home has approximately 1,468 square feet and sits on a city lot in Ashland. The home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, garage capacity, and renovation potential.
-
2026-03-25$130,000 Active 812-char remark
Show marketing remark (812 chars)
Need garage space? Check out this 3+ car garage home with renovation potential and a layout that is hard to find at this price point. This two-story home includes a main-floor bedroom, two upstairs bedrooms, and a flex/bonus room that could serve as a large closet, office, or additional finished space depending on your needs. The main level also features a full bath, a large oak cabinet kitchen, a separate dining room, and an extra-large living room. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the standout feature is the three-plus car garage, offering room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or workshop use. Built in 1903, the home has approximately 1,468 square feet and sits on a city lot in Ashland. The home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, garage capacity, and renovation potential.
-
2021-07-09soldstatus $88,000
-
2001-09-07soldstatus $67,000
-
1990-02-09soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,236 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,609 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- +$372/yr (+$31/mo · 30.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,792
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,114
- − Property taxes
- −$1,236
- − Insurance
- −$635
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,263
- − Management
- −$1,263
- − Depreciation
- −$3,695
- Taxable income
- $586
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$141
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland City
- NCES district ID
- 3904350
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,164
- Composite
- 58.31/100
- National rank
- #1015
- State rank
- #165 of 656 in OH
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #373
- US rank
- #6095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, OH
- County
- Ashland County · 30,805 people
- City population
- 30,805
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,805
- Household income
- $68,299
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 706.0
Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,732 people
- By 2030
- 51,728 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 48,956 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 46,070 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 38,945 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 30,883 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.5% · R 74.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.79%
- Current HPI
- 201.96
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.07%
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+584.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — ABOR
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — ABOR
- 2026-03-28 Pending — ABOR
- 2026-03-25 Listed $130,000 ABOR
- 2021-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2001-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1990-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,236 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…