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402 Ohio St
C+ Composite 61.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,000

402 Ohio St · Ashland, OH 44805
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,468 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1903 6,347 sqft lot $87/sqft · 5% below area Est $134k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Need garage space? Check out this 3+ car garage home with renovation potential and a layout that is hard to find at this price point. This two-story home includes a main-floor bedroom, two upstairs bedrooms, and a flex/bonus room that could serve as a large closet, office, or additional finished space depending on your needs. The main level also features a full bath, a large oak cabinet kitchen, a separate dining room, and an extra-large living room. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the standout feature is the three-plus car garage, offering room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or workshop use. Built in 1903, the home has approximately 1,468 square feet and sits on a city lot in Ashland. The home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, garage capacity, and renovation potential.

Key facts

  • Main-floor bedroom
  • Flex bonus room
  • Separate dining room

Tags

RENOVATION POTENTIALMAIN-FLOOR BEDROOMFLEX BONUS ROOMLARGE OAK CABINET KITCHENSEPARATE DINING ROOMEXTRA-LARGE LIVING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $127k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.8% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Ashland City (town): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #165 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $88k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $125,095 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.35%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,869
List price
$127,000
Delta
-5.13%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
803 Myers Ave 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,414 (-4%) 4mo $151,000 $107 82
846 Sandusky St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,482 (+1%) 3mo $219,900 $148 78
410 Ohio St 0.02mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-12%) 6mo $150,000 $116 74
1407 Cottage St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,368 (-7%) 1mo $50,000 $37 70
1210 Cottage St 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,564 (+6%) 4mo $72,500 $46 68
316 Lindale Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,620 (+10%) 0mo $165,000 $102 67
122 Lindale Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-10%) 2mo $125,000 $95 61
605 Evergreen St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,276 (-13%) 2mo $160,000 $125 60
827 Orange St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,664 (+13%) 6mo $231,900 $139 56
1411 Orange Rd 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,550 (+6%) 2mo $218,000 $141 56
857 Sandusky St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-12%) 4mo $204,000 $157 55
1008 Valley Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-10%) 6mo $287,400 $218 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,119
Equity at exit
$18,936
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$41,858
Equity at exit
$10,981

Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44805

Rents YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,316 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$666
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,040
Max offer price $127,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $290 -5% $254 +0% $218 +5% $182 +10% $146
Rent -10% $114 -5% $166 +0% $218 +5% $270 +10% $322
Rate -1.0pp $282 -0.5pp $250 base $218 +0.5pp $185 +1.0pp $151

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,750
Closing costs
$3,810
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 Race St Unit 200 Ashland, OH 2.0 1.0 1532 $735 $0.48 44d 1 0.35mi
917 Birch St Ashland, OH 3.0 1.0 1116 $1,175 $1.05 44d 1 0.63mi
510 Broad St Ashland, OH 3.0 1.0 1681 $1,650 $0.98 45d 1 0.63mi
222 E Walnut St Unit 212 Ashland, OH 2.0 1.0 970 $900 $0.93 44d 1 0.86mi
606 Edgehill Ave Ashland, OH 4.0 2.0 1858 $1,850 $1.00 44d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $127,000 Pending 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $127,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $127,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $127,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $127,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    pricestatus $139,000 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 812-char remark
    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Need garage space? Check out this 3+ car garage home with renovation potential and a layout that is hard to find at this price point. This two-story home includes a main-floor bedroom, two upstairs bedrooms, and a flex/bonus room that could serve as a large closet, office, or additional finished space depending on your needs. The main level also features a full bath, a large oak cabinet kitchen, a separate dining room, and an extra-large living room. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the standout feature is the three-plus car garage, offering room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or workshop use. Built in 1903, the home has approximately 1,468 square feet and sits on a city lot in Ashland. The home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, garage capacity, and renovation potential.

  14. 2026-05-01
    status Active 812-char remark
    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Need garage space? Check out this 3+ car garage home with renovation potential and a layout that is hard to find at this price point. This two-story home includes a main-floor bedroom, two upstairs bedrooms, and a flex/bonus room that could serve as a large closet, office, or additional finished space depending on your needs. The main level also features a full bath, a large oak cabinet kitchen, a separate dining room, and an extra-large living room. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the standout feature is the three-plus car garage, offering room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or workshop use. Built in 1903, the home has approximately 1,468 square feet and sits on a city lot in Ashland. The home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, garage capacity, and renovation potential.

  15. 2026-03-28
    status Pending 812-char remark
    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Need garage space? Check out this 3+ car garage home with renovation potential and a layout that is hard to find at this price point. This two-story home includes a main-floor bedroom, two upstairs bedrooms, and a flex/bonus room that could serve as a large closet, office, or additional finished space depending on your needs. The main level also features a full bath, a large oak cabinet kitchen, a separate dining room, and an extra-large living room. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the standout feature is the three-plus car garage, offering room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or workshop use. Built in 1903, the home has approximately 1,468 square feet and sits on a city lot in Ashland. The home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, garage capacity, and renovation potential.

  16. 2026-03-25
    listed $130,000 Active 812-char remark
    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Need garage space? Check out this 3+ car garage home with renovation potential and a layout that is hard to find at this price point. This two-story home includes a main-floor bedroom, two upstairs bedrooms, and a flex/bonus room that could serve as a large closet, office, or additional finished space depending on your needs. The main level also features a full bath, a large oak cabinet kitchen, a separate dining room, and an extra-large living room. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the standout feature is the three-plus car garage, offering room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or workshop use. Built in 1903, the home has approximately 1,468 square feet and sits on a city lot in Ashland. The home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, garage capacity, and renovation potential.

  17. 2021-07-09
    soldstatus $88,000
  18. 2001-09-07
    soldstatus $67,000
  19. 1990-02-09
    soldstatus $19,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,236 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,609 · $134/mo
Expected delta
+$372/yr (+$31/mo · 30.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,792
− Mortgage interest
−$7,114
− Property taxes
−$1,236
− Insurance
−$635
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,263
− Management
−$1,263
− Depreciation
−$3,695
Taxable income
$586
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$141
After-tax cash flow
$2,472/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ashland City
NCES district ID
3904350
Math proficiency
70% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,164
Composite
58.31/100
National rank
#1015
State rank
#165 of 656 in OH

Livability — Ashland

Score
72/100
State rank
#373
US rank
#6095

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ashland, OH
County
Ashland County · 30,805 people
City population
30,805
Metro
Ashland, OH
Population (ZIP)
30,805
Household income
$68,299
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
706.0

Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
52,732 people
By 2030
51,728 · -1.9%
By 2040
48,956 · -7.2%
By 2050
46,070 · -12.6%
By 2075
38,945 · -26.1%
By 2100
30,883 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashland

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.5% · R 74.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -196.79%
Current HPI
201.96
Rent YoY
▲ 7.07%
Metro
Ashland, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+584.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending ABOR
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted ABOR
  • 2026-03-28 Pending ABOR
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $130,000 ABOR
  • 2021-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
  • 2001-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 1990-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,236 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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