14107 Whisper Rill Ln #854 · Pflugerville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.9
$109,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home! This brand-new manufactured home offers a fresh start with modern finishes and a thoughtful layout designed for comfortable, everyday living. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, there's plenty of room for the whole family. One of the standout features of this home is the large pantry a rare find that provides generous storage space for all your kitchen essentials and more. The open layout ensures you'll never feel cramped, with plenty of room to spread out, entertain, or simply relax. Best of all, this home is carpet-free throughout easy to clean, allergy-friendly, and beautifully low maintenance.
Key facts
- Carpet-free
- Large pantry
- Built 2026
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.8% in Pflugerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#26 in TX, #1,492 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Pflugerville ISD (suburban): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #421 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Dessau El (math 10% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,138 of 4,322 statewide, top 96%, 575 students, 70% FRL); Cele Middle (math 39% / reading 46%, grade D-, #553 of 1,662 statewide, top 34%, 747 students, 22% FRL); Hendrickson H S (math 44% / reading 64%, grade C-, #422 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 2,175 students, 24% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 1246 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 38d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($113k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.13%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $312,500
- List price
- $109,995
- Delta
- -64.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13800 Levy Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (-2%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $201 | 63 |
| 2717 Towy Rd | 1.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,533 (-2%) | 0mo | $342,750 | $224 | 62 |
| 13404 Underbank Rd | 1.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,533 (-2%) | 2mo | $336,550 | $220 | 61 |
| 14309 Macquarie Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,707 (+9%) | 1mo | $324,990 | $190 | 60 |
| 2604 Shimsham Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-8%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $215 | 58 |
| 14200 Lyndora Ln | 0.76mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-7%) | 0mo | $299,000 | $206 | 53 |
| 13409 Underbank Rd | 1.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,468 (-6%) | 0mo | $339,900 | $232 | 50 |
| 2702 Derwent Dr | 1.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,468 (-6%) | 1mo | $333,310 | $227 | 49 |
| 1220 Crumpton Dr | 1.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,695 (+9%) | 1mo | $399,940 | $236 | 45 |
| 13918 Belzer Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,779 (+14%) | 2mo | $314,000 | $177 | 43 |
| 1208 Carvin Way | 0.85mi | 3/2.5 | 1,737 (+11%) | 2mo | $399,990 | $230 | 42 |
| 2200 Forgetmenot Ln | 0.91mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,856 (+19%) | 2mo | $329,999 | $178 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $8,834
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $30,125
- Equity at exit
- $9,510
Cash invested: $30,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active
- Median asking
- $114,995 ($64/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 49 d
- This list price
- 20% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +213.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78660
- Home prices YoY
- -34.0%
- Rents YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 1246
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,584 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $491
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $567 | -5% $529 | +0% $491 | +5% $453 | +10% $415 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $366 | -5% $428 | +0% $491 | +5% $554 | +10% $616 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $546 | -0.5pp $519 | base $491 | +0.5pp $463 | +1.0pp $434 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,499
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3300 Golden Aspen Loop Pflugerville, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1460 | $1,449 | $0.99 | 11d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2800 Halite Bnd #1105 Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 67d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2804 Halite Bnd #1103 Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 14417 Koti Way Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,999 | $1.36 | 93d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 14408 Koti Way Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 47d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 14408 Koti Way Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 93d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2809 Schwartz Ln Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1856 | $2,175 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 14307 Macquarie Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2025 | $2,275 | $1.12 | 35d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2808 Schwartz Ln Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $1,850 | $1.25 | 47d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2920 Tweedy Trl Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $5,325 | $3.60 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2920 Tweedy Trl Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $5,000 | $3.38 | 60d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2909 Tweedy Trl Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2188 | $2,200 | $1.01 | 34d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 14213 Cantarra Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 14425 Treyvon Rd Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $2,250 | $1.32 | 32d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 14128 Macquarie Dr Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,860 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 14105 Cantarra Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1992 | $2,250 | $1.13 | 73d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2612 Schwartz Ln Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1653 | $2,099 | $1.27 | 60d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 14013 Heywood Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 47d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2712 Louris Ln Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $2,099 | $1.72 | 17d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 14015 Macquarie Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2141 | $2,300 | $1.07 | 35d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14108 Boquist Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1999 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3103 Crystal Bend Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2189 | $2,200 | $1.01 | 73d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 14101 Heimhome Bnd Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1984 | $2,100 | $1.06 | 93d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2528 Willkomen Way Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $2,199 | $1.29 | 32d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 14017 Saving Grace Way Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1627 | $2,050 | $1.26 | 36d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 14305 Sandrock Bnd Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,895 | $1.50 | 11d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2541 Forgetmenot Ln Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2003 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 93d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2537 Forgetmenot Ln Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,850 | $1.45 | 65d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 14212 Sandrock Bnd Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $1,950 | $1.21 | 35d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2513 Forgetmenot Ln Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2003 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 41d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 13701 Sloan St Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2121 | $2,705 | $1.28 | 93d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 13804 Cantarra Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2025 | $2,200 | $1.09 | 11d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 13804 Cantarra Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2033 | $2,200 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2601 Crystal Bend Dr Pflugerville, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1761 | $2,413 | $1.37 | 10d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 13721 Cantarra Dr Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1471 | $2,000 | $1.36 | 38d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2916 Bronx Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2081 | $2,800 | $1.35 | 73d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1620 Purple Martin Dr Pflugerville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2144 | $2,399 | $1.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1608 Purple Martin Dr Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 73d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3304 Ortman Dr Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1795 | $2,150 | $1.20 | 53d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3304 Ortman Dr Pflugerville, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1795 | $2,150 | $1.20 | 28d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Listing status: ActiveListing last modified May 15, 2026
- Financial info
- List price $109,995
Exterior
- Home design
- Spec new construction
- Construction
- Address: 14107 Whisper Rill Ln #854, Pflugerville, TX 78660
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,560
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Open living area
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-07-07days on market $109,995 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $109,995 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $109,995 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $109,995 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $109,995 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $109,995 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $109,995 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $109,995 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $109,995 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $109,995 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $109,995 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $109,995 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $109,995 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,995 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,995 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,995 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,995 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,995 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,995 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,995 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,995 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,995 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,995 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,995 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,995 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,995 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,995 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$109,995 Active 892-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,006
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,161
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,520
- − Management
- −$1,520
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $4,404
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,057
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,836/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This brand-new manufactured home offers a fresh start with modern finishes and a thoughtful layout, making it a move-in-ready property with excellent condition and minimal maintenance needs.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhancing the landscaping and curb appeal can increase both the resale and rental value of the home. ↑
- Both Interior updates — Updating the interior can improve the home's appeal and functionality, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pflugerville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834830
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,723
- Composite
- 33.99/100
- National rank
- #5321
- State rank
- #421 of 826 in TX
Livability — Pflugerville
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #26
- US rank
- #1492
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Travis County · 1,545,133 people
- City population
- 124,834
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 124,834
- Household income
- $113,205
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Travis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,545,133 people
- By 2030
- 1,729,269 · +11.9%
- By 2040
- 2,097,596 · +35.8%
- By 2050
- 2,463,890 · +59.5%
- By 2075
- 3,249,374 · +110.3%
- By 2100
- 3,801,868 · +146.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 35% White 34% Two or more races 19% Black 16% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Travis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.3) · D 68.8% · R 29.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.3 2020: D+45.0 2016: D+38.9 2012: D+23.9 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.36%
- Current HPI
- 225.8781
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.03%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…