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4031 E 2nd St
B- Composite 69.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

4031 E 2nd St · Superior, WI 54880
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · Other · 78 Days on market
Built 1906 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3+ bedroom home is ready for owners with a new vision. Situated on a corner lot, close to public transportation and short drive to nearby shops and restaurants. Spacious main level with formal living/dining area that holds a bonus space that could be used as a home office or kids' playroom. Bedrooms are all located on the second level along with a full bathroom. Large yard for any gardening enthusiasts along with a one stall garage for extra storage.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1906

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Home design: Two-plus story single-family home; Finished above-grade area about 1,232 sq ft
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.14-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (10 x 14)
  • Bedrooms: Upper-level bedroom (9 x 10); Upper-level bedroom (13 x 10); Upper-level bedroom (8 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Main-level living room; Main-level kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $679 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.6% in Superior — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in WI, #337 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-.
  • Superior School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #290 of 342 in WI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $105k implies a 377% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
14.05%
Cash-on-cash
27.71%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$25,811
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
29.5%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$76,447
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54880

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,708 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $912/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$679

Break-even live

Break-even rent $849
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Contingent 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Contingent 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Contingent 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Contingent 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Contingent 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Contingent 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Contingent 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Contingent 61 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Contingent 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $105,000 Contingent 59 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    historical Contingent 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    This 3+ bedroom home is ready for owners with a new vision. Situated on a corner lot, close to public transportation and short drive to nearby shops and restaurants. Spacious main level with formal living/dining area that holds a bonus space that could be used as a home office or kids' playroom. Bedrooms are all located on the second level along with a full bathroom. Large yard for any gardening enthusiasts along with a one stall garage for extra storage.

  16. 2026-04-01
    listed $105,000 Active 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    This 3+ bedroom home is ready for owners with a new vision. Situated on a corner lot, close to public transportation and short drive to nearby shops and restaurants. Spacious main level with formal living/dining area that holds a bonus space that could be used as a home office or kids' playroom. Bedrooms are all located on the second level along with a full bathroom. Large yard for any gardening enthusiasts along with a one stall garage for extra storage.

  17. 2026-04-01
    listed $105,000 Active 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    This 3+ bedroom home is ready for owners with a new vision. Situated on a corner lot, close to public transportation and short drive to nearby shops and restaurants. Spacious main level with formal living/dining area that holds a bonus space that could be used as a home office or kids' playroom. Bedrooms are all located on the second level along with a full bathroom. Large yard for any gardening enthusiasts along with a one stall garage for extra storage.

  18. 2000-07-11
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$912 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,427 · $119/mo
Expected delta
+$515/yr (+$43/mo · 56.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,497
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$912
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,640
− Management
−$1,640
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$6,844
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,643
After-tax cash flow
$6,505/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Superior School District
NCES district ID
5514670
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,659
Composite
24.31/100
National rank
#7711
State rank
#290 of 342 in WI

Livability — Superior

Score
86/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#337

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Superior, WI
County
Douglas County · 30,312 people
City population
30,312
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
30,312
Household income
$68,275
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
1018.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,505 people
By 2030
41,269 · -2.9%
By 2040
37,829 · -11.0%
By 2050
34,043 · -19.9%
By 2075
25,892 · -39.1%
By 2100
19,487 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.3) · D 52.0% · R 46.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.9pp toward R · 2008: 33.2pp · 2024: 5.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.3 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+7.6 2012: D+31.3 2008: D+33.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -167.80%
Current HPI
226.557
Rent YoY
▲ 2.76%
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+377.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent SAAR
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $105,000 LSAR
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $105,000 SAAR
  • 2000-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $912 · -42.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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