4031 E 2nd St · Superior, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3+ bedroom home is ready for owners with a new vision. Situated on a corner lot, close to public transportation and short drive to nearby shops and restaurants. Spacious main level with formal living/dining area that holds a bonus space that could be used as a home office or kids' playroom. Bedrooms are all located on the second level along with a full bathroom. Large yard for any gardening enthusiasts along with a one stall garage for extra storage.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1906
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Home design: Two-plus story single-family home; Finished above-grade area about 1,232 sq ft
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.14-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (10 x 14)
- Bedrooms: Upper-level bedroom (9 x 10); Upper-level bedroom (13 x 10); Upper-level bedroom (8 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Main-level living room; Main-level kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $679 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.6% in Superior — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in WI, #337 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-.
- Superior School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #290 of 342 in WI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $105k implies a 377% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.71%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $25,811
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $76,447
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54880
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,708 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $912/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $679
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Contingent 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Contingent 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Contingent 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Contingent 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Contingent 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Contingent 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Contingent 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Contingent 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Contingent 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $105,000 Contingent 59 DOM
-
2026-04-27historical Contingent 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
This 3+ bedroom home is ready for owners with a new vision. Situated on a corner lot, close to public transportation and short drive to nearby shops and restaurants. Spacious main level with formal living/dining area that holds a bonus space that could be used as a home office or kids' playroom. Bedrooms are all located on the second level along with a full bathroom. Large yard for any gardening enthusiasts along with a one stall garage for extra storage.
-
2026-04-01$105,000 Active 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
This 3+ bedroom home is ready for owners with a new vision. Situated on a corner lot, close to public transportation and short drive to nearby shops and restaurants. Spacious main level with formal living/dining area that holds a bonus space that could be used as a home office or kids' playroom. Bedrooms are all located on the second level along with a full bathroom. Large yard for any gardening enthusiasts along with a one stall garage for extra storage.
-
2026-04-01$105,000 Active 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
This 3+ bedroom home is ready for owners with a new vision. Situated on a corner lot, close to public transportation and short drive to nearby shops and restaurants. Spacious main level with formal living/dining area that holds a bonus space that could be used as a home office or kids' playroom. Bedrooms are all located on the second level along with a full bathroom. Large yard for any gardening enthusiasts along with a one stall garage for extra storage.
-
2000-07-11soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $912 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,427 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$515/yr (+$43/mo · 56.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,497
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$912
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,640
- − Management
- −$1,640
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $6,844
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,643
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,505/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Superior School District
- NCES district ID
- 5514670
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,659
- Composite
- 24.31/100
- National rank
- #7711
- State rank
- #290 of 342 in WI
Livability — Superior
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #337
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Superior, WI
- County
- Douglas County · 30,312 people
- City population
- 30,312
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,312
- Household income
- $68,275
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1018.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,505 people
- By 2030
- 41,269 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 37,829 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 34,043 · -19.9%
- By 2075
- 25,892 · -39.1%
- By 2100
- 19,487 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.3) · D 52.0% · R 46.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.9pp toward R · 2008: 33.2pp · 2024: 5.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.3 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+7.6 2012: D+31.3 2008: D+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.80%
- Current HPI
- 226.557
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.76%
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+377.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — SAAR
- 2026-04-01 Listed $105,000 LSAR
- 2026-04-01 Listed $105,000 SAAR
- 2000-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $912 · -42.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…