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404 N Ann St
B Composite 70.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

404 N Ann St · Nashville, GA 31639
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1950 6,534 sqft lot Est $137k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!! This property includes a NEW ROOF (Added October 2019) and NEW windows. Stop by and see the potential. No Seller's Disclosure.

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Updated interior
  • Modern finishes

Tags

NEW FLOORINGFRESH INTERIOR PAINTENERGY-EFFICIENT NEW WINDOWSUPDATED INTERIORMODERN FINISHESLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential home; One story; House
  • Construction: Brick veneer, Masonite, and wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.6% in Nashville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#90 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Berrien County (rural): math 48% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #24 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 96 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berrien County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.89%
Cash-on-cash
12.84%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$136,776
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
612 N Mathis St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 963 (-2%) 5mo $40,000 $42 80
803 Sixth St 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 935 (-5%) 5mo $30,000 $32 76
203 Guest Cir 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,050 (+7%) 6mo $153,700 $146 65
500 Perkins Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+6%) 14mo $145,900 $140 64
734 N Taylor St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+7%) 8mo $149,900 $143 60
105 E Smith Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 925 (-6%) 1mo $140,000 $151 59
301 Kirby Cir 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+11%) 3mo $139,900 $128 56
807 Zimmerman St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,075 (+9%) 15mo $149,900 $139 46
907 Zimmerman St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+7%) 23mo $149,900 $143 42
1227 Carter St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,118 (+14%) 18mo $109,900 $98 35
307 W Avera Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 836 (-15%) 18mo $76,000 $91 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$2,824
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$26,812
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31639

Home prices YoY
-8.3%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,123 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $269/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$299

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    remarks 501-char remark
  10. 2026-06-08
    listed $99,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$269 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$919 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$650/yr (+$54/mo · 241.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,476
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$269
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,078
− Management
−$1,078
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$492
After-tax cash flow
$3,099/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berrien County
NCES district ID
1300390
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,858
Composite
37.95/100
National rank
#4302
State rank
#24 of 174 in GA

Livability — Nashville

Score
70/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#7347

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nashville, GA
Population (ZIP)
10,635

Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,982 people
By 2030
17,282 · -3.9%
By 2040
15,676 · -12.8%
By 2050
13,876 · -22.8%
By 2075
9,689 · -46.1%
By 2100
6,430 · -64.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 12% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berrien

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.8) · D 15.0% · R 84.8%
2008→2024 swing
-16.6pp toward R · 2008: -53.2pp · 2024: -69.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.8 2020: R+66.5 2016: R+66.5 2012: R+57.7 2008: R+53.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.01%
Current HPI
210.1024
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+356.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $99,900 SGMLS
  • 2021-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
  • 2021-02-05 Sold (MLS) $17,500 SGMLS
  • 2021-01-20 Listed $21,900 SGMLS

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $269 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…